I see Switzerland as the favorite here. Serbia has been quite poor lately. Aside from their disappointing EURO campaign, where they finished winless with lackluster performances, they also struggled in the UEFA Nations League with two underwhelming outings.
In their 0-0 draw against Spain, Serbia parked the bus and played a very defensive game. They were fortunate, as Spain missed many chances despite dominating with 68% possession, 22 shots, and 1.49 expected goals. Serbia managed to hold on for a point but only due to Spain's inefficiency.
Serbia then suffered a well-deserved 2-0 defeat against Denmark, a team I consider to be on the same level as Switzerland. The truth is that Serbia has been inconsistent in recent months, failing to secure back-to-back victories. Since June 2023, they’ve played 16 matches but managed to win only 4, against relatively weak sides like Lithuania, Montenegro, Cyprus, and Sweden.
Serbia will be without key players, including Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Andrija Zivkovic, and Ivan Ilic, due to injuries. Juventus striker Dusan Vlahovic has also not been called up due to "family problems."
On the other hand, I believe Switzerland has a lot of potential. In the EURO, they had a fantastic tournament, avoiding defeat against hosts Germany, defeating Italy convincingly, and only losing to England on penalties. They demonstrated solid tactics and showed they are a very competitive team that’s hard to beat. However, their performances in this UEFA Nations League have been poor so far, suffering a 2-0 loss to Denmark and a 4-1 defeat to Spain.
Despite these recent setbacks, I expect Switzerland to bounce back and show the same form they displayed in the EURO. They have the same squad and the same tactical strength to achieve this.
Granit Xhaka and Nico Elvedi, who were suspended for the previous match after red cards in the opening Nations League fixture, are now available and expected to start in midfield and defense, respectively. Basel captain Dominik Schmid missed the September international break through injury but should be okay to return to the squad.
It’s important to remember that since their 2022 World Cup Round of 16 exit against Portugal, and before their two recent defeats in the Nations League, Switzerland had an impressive run of 18 games with just one loss (to Romania).
Switzerland has superior tactics and significantly more quality than Serbia in this match. For me, they are the clear favorites, and I expect them to rediscover their EURO form and win this fixture.
我认为瑞士是最受欢迎的。塞尔维亚最近相当贫穷。除了令人失望的欧洲杯,他们以平淡无奇的表现结束了一场比赛,他们在欧洲联盟联赛中也表现不佳,两场比赛表现平平。
在0-0战平西班牙的比赛中,塞尔维亚停下了脚步,踢了一场非常防守的比赛。他们很幸运,尽管西班牙队拥有68%的控球率、22次射门和1.49个预期进球,但他们错过了很多机会。塞尔维亚勉强保住了一分,但这完全是由于西班牙队的无能。
塞尔维亚随后以0比2惨败丹麦,这是他们应得的,我认为丹麦与瑞士处于同一水平。事实是,塞尔维亚最近几个月表现不稳定,未能取得背靠背的胜利。自2023年6月以来,他们已经打了16场比赛,但只赢了4场,对手是立陶宛、黑山、塞浦路斯和瑞典等实力相对较弱的球队。
由于伤病,塞尔维亚将失去包括米林科维奇-萨维奇、Vanja Milinkovic-Savic、Andrija Zivkovic和Ivan Ilic在内的关键球员。尤文图斯前锋杜桑·弗拉霍维奇也因为“家庭问题”没有被征召。
另一方面,我相信瑞士有很大的潜力。在欧洲杯上,他们有一场精彩的比赛,避免了东道主德国的失利,令人信服地击败了意大利,只在点球大战中输给了英格兰。他们展示了坚实的战术,展示了他们是一支非常有竞争力的球队,很难被击败。然而,到目前为止,他们在欧洲国家联赛中的表现不佳,0比2输给丹麦,4比1输给西班牙。
尽管最近出现了这些挫折,但我预计瑞士会反弹,并表现出与在欧元时一样的状态。他们有同样的阵容和同样的战术实力来实现这一目标。
在上一场比赛中因红牌被禁赛的格拉尼特·扎卡和尼科·埃尔维迪现在可以上场了,预计他们将分别在中场和后卫位置首发。巴塞尔队长多米尼克·施密德因伤错过了9月的国际比赛,但他应该可以重返国家队。
重要的是要记住,自2022年世界杯16强被葡萄牙淘汰以来,以及在最近的两场国家联赛失利之前,瑞士在18场比赛中只输了一场(输给罗马尼亚)。
在这场比赛中,瑞士队的战术和水平明显高于塞尔维亚队。对我来说,他们是最受欢迎的球队,我希望他们能找回欧洲杯的状态,赢得这场比赛。