Is Norway favorite here? 欧国联 挪威VS斯洛文尼
2024-10-10

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

I see Slovenia as fully capable of avoiding defeat here. Norway is a very unbalanced team: they have a strong attack with Sorloth and Haaland, but their defense is quite poor. In my opinion, they are almost on the same level as Slovenia. It's worth remembering that Norway failed to qualify for the EURO, and in the last two years (20 games), they've only managed to beat lower-tier teams like Kosovo, Faroe Islands, Cyprus, Jordan, and Ireland.

Their only somewhat "impressive" victory came recently against Austria (2-1), in a very tight game where a draw would have been the fairest result. Previosly, they drew 0:0 with Kazakhstan.

Norway will also miss Ödegaard for this match due to injury, and I expect them to struggle to keep a clean sheet.

Slovenia is the main reason for this pick. They’ve been really impressive in the EURO, avoiding defeat in all official games and only losing to Portugal on penalties. They are unbeaten since November 2023, when they beat Denmark 2-1, and their unbeaten run has now stretched to 12 games, including matches against strong teams like Portugal (twice), Denmark, the USA, and England.

They have a solid squad, with players like Sesko in great form. While Slovenia might not have Norway's firepower upfront, they are much stronger defensively, and I see them as a more competitive side. Sesko has been fantastic recently, scoring a hat-trick in the 3-0 victory over Kazakhstan and netting the goal in the 1-1 draw against Austria. He’s also been in great form for his club, RB Leipzig, scoring 6 goals in 9 games across all competitions. Sesko is definitely the main threat for Slovenia, but he's not the only one, as Oblak has also been in good form this season.

Norway's defense is their weak point, and Slovenia, with the danger posed by Sesko, will likely exploit it. Slovenia is a very competitive and tough team to beat, and I can see them scoring in this match, which will make it difficult for Norway to secure a victory. I expect either a draw or a narrow win for Norway, but in any case, I don’t see this being an easy game with a big goal difference in Norway’s favor.



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我认为斯洛文尼亚完全有能力在这里避免失败。挪威是一支非常不平衡的球队:他们有强大的进攻,索洛斯和哈兰德,但他们的防守相当糟糕。在我看来,他们几乎与斯洛文尼亚处于同一水平。值得记住的是,挪威没能晋级欧洲杯,而且在过去两年(20场比赛)里,他们只击败过科索沃、法罗群岛、塞浦路斯、约旦和爱尔兰等低级别球队。

他们唯一一次“令人印象深刻”的胜利是最近对奥地利的比赛(2-1),在一场势均力敌的比赛中,平局本来是最公平的结果。此前,他们与哈萨克斯坦0:0战平。

挪威队也将因伤缺席Ödegaard比赛,我希望他们能努力保持不失球。

斯洛文尼亚是这一选择的主要原因。他们在欧洲杯上的表现令人印象深刻,在所有正式比赛中都避免了失败,只在点球大战中输给了葡萄牙。自2023年11月2-1击败丹麦以来,他们一直保持不败,现在他们的不败纪录已经延长到12场,包括对阵葡萄牙(两次)、丹麦、美国和英格兰等强队。

他们有一个稳固的阵容,像Sesko这样的球员状态很好。虽然斯洛文尼亚可能没有挪威的锋线火力,但他们的防守要强大得多,我认为他们是一支更具竞争力的球队。舍斯科最近的表现非常出色,在3-0战胜哈萨克斯坦的比赛中上演了帽子戏法,在1-1战平奥地利的比赛中打进一球。他在莱比锡RB的状态也很好,在各项赛事的9场比赛中打进6球。塞斯科无疑是斯洛文尼亚的主要威胁,但他并不是唯一的威胁,因为奥布拉克本赛季的状态也很好。

挪威的防守是他们的软肋,而斯洛文尼亚在塞斯科的威胁下,很可能会利用这一点。斯洛文尼亚是一支非常有竞争力的球队,很难被击败,我可以看到他们在这场比赛中进球,这将使挪威很难取得胜利。我预计挪威队要么战平,要么险胜,但无论如何,我都不认为这是一场对挪威队有利的大比分比赛。

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