Who is the favorite in the derby?
2024-10-06

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Odds should be reversed here.

This is a derby where both teams play with high motivation. However, I see Betis as the favorite.

Sevilla is in a terrible moment, both institutionally and on the pitch, as they are playing poorly with bad results. The truth is, their squad has been getting weaker year after year due to their economic problems. This season, they've built a team whose main target is simply to avoid relegation, and that’s the reality. Sevilla doesn’t have a squad capable of fighting for European positions. Furthermore, the squad isn’t suited to the new coach's style. He wants to implement high pressing, put the defense high in the pitch, and control possession, but they have very slow defenders who struggle to defend with space behind them. Up front, they are generating very few chances, and due to a lack of quality, their effectiveness is low.

So far, they've only won two games: against Valladolid (2:1) and Getafe (1:0). Both were narrow wins against relegation-threatened teams, and in both games, they conceded a lot.

Moreover, for this match, they’ll be missing their best player so far, Saúl Ñíguez, who was a new transfer this season. Almost all of their players are in poor form, except for Ejuke, who has been one of the best, especially in the last two games.

On the other hand, Betis is a very solid team, difficult to beat, with a great squad. I see them fighting for the top 5, as they have a great coach, and the core of the team has remained the same as in previous seasons, with only minor changes that have raised the team’s level.

One of those changes is Lo Celso, who arrived to the team 5 rounds ago and has been the best player, a total game-changer. In the last 4 games where he has started, he has scored 5 goals. Another player in great form is Abde, who is generating a lot of danger, creating chances, and playing with great confidence in his dribbling.

Betis has only lost two league games so far: against Real Madrid (2-0) and Mallorca, a team in great form, whose victory (2-1) came in the 93rd minute when Betis was pushing to score and win the game.

The last 4 derbies ended in draws. For me, this is an evenly matched game, but Betis has more quality, confidence, and better tactics. I see them as the favorites to win here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这里的情况应该正好相反。

这是一场德比,两支球队都斗志昂扬。然而,我认为贝蒂斯是最受欢迎的。

塞维利亚正处于一个糟糕的时刻,无论是在制度上还是在球场上,因为他们踢得很糟糕,结果也很糟糕。事实是,由于经济问题,他们的阵容一年比一年弱。本赛季,他们建立了一支以保级为主要目标的球队,这就是现实。塞维利亚没有一支有能力争夺欧洲席位的球队。此外,这支球队并不适合新教练的风格。他想实施高压逼抢,把防守放在球场的高处,控制控球,但他们的防守速度很慢,在身后有空间的情况下很难防守。在前场,他们创造的机会很少,而且由于缺乏质量,他们的效率很低。

到目前为止,他们只赢了两场比赛:对阵巴利亚多利德(2:1)和赫塔菲(1:0)。两场比赛都是险胜保级球队,两场比赛都丢了很多球。

此外,在这场比赛中,他们将失去迄今为止最好的球员Saúl Ñíguez,他是本赛季新转会的。他们几乎所有的球员都处于糟糕的状态,除了埃朱克,他是最好的球员之一,尤其是在最近两场比赛中。

另一方面,贝蒂斯是一支非常稳固的球队,很难被击败,拥有一支伟大的阵容。我看到他们为前五名而战,因为他们有一个伟大的教练,球队的核心和前几个赛季一样,只有一些小的变化提高了球队的水平。

其中一个变化是洛塞尔索,他在5轮前来到球队,一直是最好的球员,完全改变了比赛。在他首发出场的最近4场比赛中,他进了5球。另一个状态很好的球员是阿伯德,他制造了很多危险,创造了很多机会,并且在他的盘带中表现得非常自信。

到目前为止,贝蒂斯只输掉了两场联赛:对阵皇马(2-0)和状态极佳的马洛卡队(2-1)。马洛卡队在比赛进行到第93分钟时取得了胜利,当时贝蒂斯队正在努力得分并赢得比赛。

最近4场德比战平。对我来说,这是一场势均力敌的比赛,但贝蒂斯更有实力,更有信心,战术也更好。我认为他们最有可能在这里获胜。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。