Fortuna Dusseldorf VS Hamburger SV

Dusseldorf welcome Hamburger SV for this German 2. Bundesliga round 8 clash at Merkur Spiel-Arena Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-best 2nd tier in the world, after the English Championship. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, of course – can expect a game of very high quality by this league's standards here! In addition to good entertainment, we have a fine betting opportunity to make more profit. We have won 8/11 last picks betting on this league. Dusseldorf performed better than Hamburger SV last season already.. Indeed, Dusseldorf played a very strong last season, finishing in third place with a fine 63 points to their account after the regular season! Their score difference was the best in this league – 72:40! Furthermore, the 72 scored was 10 goals more than the eventual 2. Bundesliga winners, St. Pauli managed to score! Indeed, Dusseldorf will surely score a lot of goals this season as well, more per game than they have scored so far.. They have netted the ball 11 times so far. Their defence seems to have improved from last season. They have conceded only four goals in this league this season. In my expert opinion Dusseldorf have a strong chance of being promoted to the Bundesliga for next season. This league is often somewhat balanced (top-6) though..

Dusseldorf came very close to being promoted last season as already! Indeed, they crushed Bochum, a Bundesliga team, in the first leg of the Relegation Final 3-0 away from home as solid underdogs on the betting market. They recorded more goal attempts and shots on target - 8-3. They also generated more in expected goals (xG) – 2.43-1.15 to be precise. However, they could not quite deal with the pressure - or perhaps excitement of being close to being promoted -  in the second leg, losing 0-4 at home. However, we must remember that Bochum also played extremely well in this match. They, in a way, had "nothing to lose" and kept pushing mercilessly right from the beginning, taking big (offensive) risks.. They managed to reach a "flow state" - silencing the shocked home fans.. However, let's remember that we are talking about a Bundesliga team, with lots of experience of tough, high-tempo  matches.. However, the final score is very misleading - the xG numbers were 2.04-2.65 in the visitors' favour. I see Dusseldorf getting this close to beating Bochum a positive indicator - not negative -  as it was described in the German football media after the second leg.. Dusseldorf are surely very annoyed by the promotion slipping away like this but they will surely be fired up to go for direct promotion (top-2) this season! They currently top the standings with an impressive 17 points – and zero defeats!

Hamburger SV are a pretty big team by 2. Bundesliga standards and finished in 4th place last season. However, they took five points less than Dusseldorf. Moreover, their score difference was only +20. 12 goals weaker than Dusseldorf's. The visitors are currently in 6th place with 12 points in their pocket and they, too, have a chance to be promoted to the first tier. They have scored 16 goals but their number of xG is smaller.. They have conceded eight goals and I have not been very impressed with their defence as a whole this season.. The teams last locked horns in March and Dusseldorf took a fine 2-0 home win! The xG numbers were 1.77-0.45 in their favour. The hosts will be without Pejcinovic, Siebert and Sobottka are out. As for Hamburger SV, Balde and Poreba are questionable at the time of posting this analysis. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, Dusseldorf deserve to be solid favourites here. Odds of around 2.45 are widely available on the betting market. We will take the Dusseldorf +0.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning – once again!

Dusseldorf have not lost any of their last five games, winning 4/5. Moreover, they have lost just one of their most recent nine matches. Hamburger SV, on the other hand, have won two of their last five games.. In their last game Dusseldorf faced a tricky opponent, Greuther Furth, on the road but took a 2-1 win. They generated a little more in xG – 2.77-2.34 to be precise. Before this Dusseldorf faced a very big team for this level, FC Köln, at home as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. Köln played in the Bundesliga last season. It was a 2-2 draw but Köln did record more goal attempts and xG. In round 5 Dusseldorf were excellent, beating Hertha Berlin 2-0 on the road. They had more shots on goal and also generated more in xG – 1.77-1.21. Hertha were the favourites to win the game according to the bookies. In round 4 Dusseldorf faced another tricky opponent, Hannover, at home but won after a terrific performance!. The visitors had only two shots on goal. Dusseldorf had five and also recorded 24 goal attempts. The hosts generated much more in xG - 2.32-0.71. 

Hamburger were priced around 1.85 to beat Paderborn at home in their last match. It was a disappointing, however, a 2-2 draw. Hamburger recorded only one more shot on goal. The xG numbers were 1.66-1.33. Based on the actual events on the pitch, Hamburger were clearly overrated on the betting market – once again! Before this Hamburger were pretty clear favourites against Kaiserslautern on the road. They did record more goal attempts but were also pretty imbalanced on the pitch for a big % of the 90 minutes. In round 5 Hamburger beat the current rock-bottom team, Regensburg, 5-0 at home. They were, of course, very big favourites in this match. Yes, they of course deserved the three points but still generated "only" 2.45 in xG - so the final score flatters them quite a lot..

GOOD LUCK and thanks to my fans!

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财富杜塞尔多夫VS汉堡SV

杜塞尔多夫欢迎汉堡SV的德国2。北京时间周日晚，德甲联赛第8轮比赛将在默克斯皮尔竞技场进行。这是世界上第二好的二级联赛，仅次于英格兰联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——当然，要考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场按照联赛标准非常高质量的比赛!除了良好的娱乐，我们有一个很好的投注机会，以赚取更多的利润。我们上次赌这个联赛赢了8/11。杜塞尔多夫上赛季的表现已经比汉堡好了。事实上，杜塞尔多夫上赛季踢得非常强劲，常规赛结束后他们以63分的好成绩排名第三!他们的比分差距是联盟中最大的——72:40!此外，72比最终的2多进了10个球。德甲冠军，圣保利成功进球!事实上，杜塞尔多夫本赛季肯定也会进很多球，比他们迄今为止每场都进更多的球。到目前为止，他们已经把球打进了11次。他们的防守似乎比上个赛季有所改善。本赛季他们在联赛中只丢了4球。在我看来，杜塞尔多夫很有可能在下赛季升入德甲。这个联盟通常是比较平衡的(前6名)。

杜塞尔多夫上赛季已经非常接近升班线了!事实上，他们在保级决赛首回合客场3-0击败了德甲球队波鸿(Bochum)，在博彩市场上是绝对的弱者。他们记录了更多的进球尝试和射门——8比3。他们也产生了更多的预期进球(xG)——准确地说是2.43-1.15。然而，他们在第二回合主场0-4输掉了比赛，无法完全应对压力——或者可能是即将升班马的兴奋。然而，我们必须记住波鸿在这场比赛中也踢得非常好。在某种程度上，他们“没有什么可失去的”，从一开始就毫不留情地推进，冒着巨大的(进攻)风险……他们设法达到了一种“流动状态”——让震惊的主场球迷安静下来。然而，让我们记住，我们谈论的是一支德甲球队，有很多艰苦、快节奏的比赛经验……然而，最终的比分很容易误导人——xG的数字是2.04-2.65，这对客队有利。我认为杜塞尔多夫如此接近击败波鸿是一个积极的指标，而不是消极的，正如德国足球媒体在第二回合后所描述的那样。杜塞尔多夫肯定会对这样失去升班权感到恼火，但他们肯定会为本赛季直接升班权(前2名)而兴奋不已!他们目前以令人印象深刻的17分排名第一——零败!

汉堡SV是一支相当大的球队。上赛季以德甲联赛的标准排名第四。然而，他们比杜塞尔多夫少拿了5分。而且，他们的分数差距只有+20。比杜塞尔多夫少12球。客队目前以12分的成绩排在第6位，他们也有机会升入第一梯队。他们进了16个球，但他们的球员数量较少。他们已经丢了8个球，我对他们本赛季的整体防守印象不太好。两队上一次交锋是在三月份，杜塞尔多夫主场2:0大胜!他们的xG值为1.77-0.45。东道主将没有佩伊奇诺维奇，西伯特和索博特卡。至于汉堡SV，巴尔德和波雷巴在发表这篇分析时是值得怀疑的。有了预期的阵容，考虑到主场的优势，杜塞尔多夫应该是这里的大热门。2.45左右的赔率在博彩市场上随处可见。我们将采取杜塞尔多夫+0.5个进球障碍的选择，有很大的机会获胜-再一次!

杜塞尔多夫最近5场比赛没有输过一场，4胜5负。此外，他们在最近的9场比赛中只输了一场。另一方面，汉堡SV在最近的五场比赛中赢了两场。在他们的上一场比赛中，杜塞尔多夫在客场面对了一个棘手的对手，格鲁瑟弗斯，但最终以2-1获胜。他们在xG - 2.77-2.34中产生了更多。在此之前，杜塞尔多夫在主场面对这个级别的一支非常强大的球队FC Köln，在博彩市场上，他们显然处于劣势。Köln上赛季在德甲踢球。结果是2比2战平，但Köln的进球次数和进球次数确实更多。在第五轮比赛中，杜塞尔多夫表现出色，在客场2:0击败了柏林赫塔。在xG - 1.77-1.21的比赛中，他们有更多的射门机会，也产生了更多的进球。柏林赫塔

根据博彩公司的说法，我们是最有希望赢得比赛的人。在第四轮比赛中，杜塞尔多夫在主场面对另一个棘手的对手——汉诺威，但在出色的表现后，杜塞尔多夫赢得了比赛。客队只有两次射门击中球门。杜塞尔多夫有5次进球，还有24次射门。主机在xG - 2.32-0.71中生成的内容要多得多。

在上一场主场比赛中击败帕德伯恩，汉堡包的定价在1.85左右。然而，这是一个令人失望的2-2平局。汉堡只射门一次。xG值为1.66 ~ 1.33。根据球场上的实际情况，汉堡队显然被博彩市场高估了——再一次!在此之前，汉堡在客场对阵凯泽斯劳滕的比赛中是非常明显的热门。他们确实有更多的进球尝试，但在90分钟的大部分时间里，他们在球场上也相当不平衡。在第五轮比赛中，汉堡队在主场以5比0击败了目前排名垫底的雷根斯堡队。当然，他们是这场比赛的大热门。是的，他们当然配得上这三分，但在xG中仍然“只”产生了2.45分——所以最终的分数让他们非常高兴。

祝你好运，谢谢我的粉丝们!