Same match as WC 1/2 finals!Same result? 英格兰vs克罗地亚
2021-06-13

Borja

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/13 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

I’m expecting a comfortable game for England.

England is between the 3-4 main candidates to win the trophy, along with France, Belgium and maybe Portugal or Germany. They have an excellent squad, especially with a very strong attack with the team leader Harry Kane, the main candidate to be the EURO topscorer.

English football already showed how strong they are in Europe in the UCL (english final between Man City and Chelsea) and playing the UEL final (Manchester United). And the Three Lions also showed how ready they are for this competition. They have experience (played ½ finals in the last World Cup) and made a great qualification stage.

Just Maguire is out who is an important defender, but England is a good defensive team who doesn't depend just on one player.

On the other hand, Croatia has very small chances of success in this tournament. They aren’t the same team who played the last World Cup final in 2018. Players are almost the same, but the level is very different.

In the last WC, Croatia had 3-4 top class players, with Modric and Rakitic as leaders. But now their squad is so poor, Rakitic is totally out of form, Modric (who has 35 years old) ended the season with Real Madrid exhausted, the defence is terrible with players like Vrsaljko who has been reserve in Atletico Madrid, and Lovren is doubtful (most probably will miss this game).

In attack, Croatia also doesn't have strong strikers as they had in the past. They had a very easy group in the qualification stage (Wales, Azerbaijan, Hungary, Slovakia) and only managed to win 5 of the 8 games played, scoring just 17 goals.

In summary, Croatia’s squad is almost the same as the World Cup but their level is much worse. There wasn’t any top player who irrumped in the national team in the last couple of years.

Their friendlies have not been convincing either: lost against Belgium and drew against Armenia, while England won both and are on a winning streak of 6 games in a row conceding just 1 goal (against weak sides, that’s true also).

I see England dominating at home. Will have fans support and they have motivation to win this tournament, whose final will be played in Wembley. They have enough quality to make a good tournament and winning against Croatia (the strongest team in their group) is the first step. Losing this match, Croatia will continue with many chances to qualify as the other two rivals are so poor (Scotland, Czech Republic).

我希望英格兰队能打一场舒服的比赛。

英格兰队与法国、比利时、或许还有葡萄牙或德国一道,在3-4支夺冠强队之间。他们有一支优秀的队伍,特别是队长哈里·凯恩的强大进攻,他是欧洲最佳射手的主要候选人。

英超联赛(曼城和切尔西之间的英格兰决赛)和欧联杯决赛(曼联)已经显示了他们在欧洲的实力三狮军团也展示了他们对这场比赛的准备。他们有经验(在上一届世界杯中打了半场决赛),并在预选赛中取得了不错的成绩。

只有马奎尔是一个重要的后卫,但英格兰是一个优秀的防守球队,他们并不仅仅依赖于一个球员。

另一方面,克罗地亚队在本届世界杯上获胜的机会非常小。他们不是上次参加2018年世界杯决赛的那支球队。玩家几乎是相同的,但关卡却非常不同。

上一届世界杯,克罗地亚有3-4名顶级球员,莫德里奇和拉基蒂奇是领头羊。但是现在他们的阵容非常糟糕,拉基蒂奇状态完全不佳,莫德里奇(35岁)在皇马疲惫的结束了这个赛季,后防线很糟糕,弗萨尔科是马德里竞技的替补球员,洛夫伦很可能会错过这场比赛。

在进攻方面,克罗地亚也不像过去那样拥有强大的前锋。在预选赛阶段,他们轻松进入小组(威尔士、阿塞拜疆、匈牙利、斯洛伐克),8场比赛中只赢了5场,只进了17球。

总而言之,克罗地亚的阵容和世界杯几乎一样,但他们的水平更差。在过去的几年里,没有一个顶级球员在国家队中失败了。

他们的友谊赛也没有令人信服:输给比利时,和亚美尼亚打成平手,而英格兰两场都赢了,而且连赢6场,只丢1球(对弱队也是如此)。

我看到英格兰在主场称霸。将会有球迷的支持,他们有动力去赢得这场将在温布利举行的决赛。他们有足够的实力参加一场精彩的比赛,而战胜克罗地亚队(小组最强的球队)是第一步。如果输掉这场比赛,克罗地亚将有很多机会晋级,因为另外两个对手(苏格兰和捷克)实力平平。

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