Empoli VS Fiorentina
Empoli welcome Fiorentina for this Italian Serie A round 6 clash at Stadio Carlo Castellani. This is the 4th-best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, of course – can expect a game of somewhat average quality by this league's standards here.. However, we have yet another awesome betting opportunity to extend the winning streak of five picks/bets - at the time of posting this analysis. In the Serie A results have also been good! Fiorentina are undoubtedly the stronger team in terms of pure class here. They finished in 8th place last season with 60 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 54.67. Fiorentina also qualified for the the UEFA Europa Conference League final but lost to a Greek, team, Olympiacos, as favourites on the betting market. Empoli, on the other hand, finished in 17th place, with 36 points in their pocket, last season. However, their number of xPTS was 42.11. This season the difference between the two teams should be significantly smaller! Empoli have been a tricky opponent for Fiorentina. Indeed, they have last beaten Empoli away from home in 2016! Moreover, they have not won any of the last four games between the two teams. 3/4 have been draws though.. Last season Empoli won 2-0 away from home as huge underdogs. At Stadio Carlo Castellani in February it was a 1-1 draw. Both teams generated 1.22 in expected goals (xG).
Empoli have started the season very well, currently occupying 6th place in the standings! They have allowed only two goals, which is the 2nd-lowest number in this league! For example the reigning champions, Inter, have conceded six goals at the time of writing this analysis. Empoli do not have the most skilled defenders, of course, but defend in a very organized way. They have netted the ball five times in Serie A and do lack some firepower compared to the top-8 eight teams. Fiorentina have failed to impress me so far. They are in 11th place with seven points in their pocket. Their score difference is 7:7 and have no obvious strengths or weaknesses in their game. Empoli will be without Ebuehi and Sazonov. Belardellu, Fazzini, Perisan and Zurkowski are questionable. As for the visitors, Pongracic is questionable. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage Fiorentina deserve to be only narrow favourites here. Their current odds of around 2.20 are too low. Empoli +0-5 handicap is the obvious smart bet here! Let's keep in mind that Empoli have have lost only one of their last 11 home matches!
Fiorentina have won just one of their most recent eight matches in the 90 minutes of play. Indeed, on the 29th of last month Fiorentina defeated Puskas Academy 2-1 on the road after penalties. Hungarian Puskas Academy are a hugely smaller team than Fiorentina! It was a UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification final round 2nd leg. In their last game Fiorentina defeated Lazio 2-1 at home as favourites on the betting market. They did generate moderately more in xG but Lazio had many more goal attempts, 54% ball possession and also recorded one more shot on target. Before this Fiorentina lost 2-3 in Bergamo. Atalanta deservedly took all three points after generating much more than Fiorentina in xG. Before the trip to Hungary, Fiorentina were lame, playing four draws in a row! They were big favourites on the betting market in two of these games and clear favourites in the other two matches.. Empoli have been in terrific form recently, not losing any of their last seven matches. Empoli won four of these seven games! In their last game they beat Torino on the road as big underdogs, priced around 6.50 win in the 90 minutes of play. It was a Coppa Italia (Italian Cup) game. Let's remember that Torino top the Serie A standings at the moment! They did record three more shots on goal in this game - 5-2. I liked the way Empoli shut down the very dangerous Torino offense! Before this Empoli beat Cagliari on the road, priced around 4.00 to win by the bookies. This was clearly too much as the much was somewhat balanced as a whole. Empoli had a few more shots on goal but Cagliari managed more goal attempts. The xG numbers were 1.34-1.21. In round 4 Empoli, once again, were terrific defensively, forcing one of the biggest teams in Italy, Juventus to a goalless draw. Empoli were priced around 6.50 to win the game! Juventus had more goal attempts but both teams had three shots on goal. The xG numbers were 0.76-0.64 in Juventus' favour.
GOOD LUCK!
恩波利VS佛罗伦萨
恩波利欢迎佛罗伦萨参加意甲第6轮在卡洛·卡斯特拉尼球场的比赛。这是世界上第四好的联盟。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——当然,考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。然而,我们还有另一个很棒的投注机会,可以延长五次选择/投注的连胜纪录——在发布这篇分析的时候。在意甲的成绩也一直不错!佛罗伦萨无疑是一支实力更强的球队。上赛季他们以60分排名第8。但他们的期望值(xPTS)只有54.67分。佛罗伦萨也获得了欧联杯决赛的资格,但输给了希腊球队奥林匹亚科斯,后者是博彩市场上的热门球队。另一方面,恩波利上赛季以36分排名第17位。然而,他们的xPTS数量为42.11。本赛季两队之间的差距应该会明显缩小!恩波利对佛罗伦萨来说是个棘手的对手。事实上,他们上一次在客场击败恩波利还是在2016年!此外,他们在两队之间的最近四场比赛中没有赢过一场。3/4平局…上个赛季,恩波利在客场以2比0的比分取胜。2月在卡洛-卡斯特拉尼球场,双方1-1战平。两支球队的预期进球均为1.22 (xG)。
恩波利本赛季开局不错,目前排名第六!他们只丢了两个球,这是联赛第二低的数字!例如,在撰写本文时,卫冕冠军国米已经丢了6个球。恩波利当然没有最熟练的后卫,但他们的防守非常有组织。他们在意甲联赛中有5次进球,与排名前八的球队相比,他们确实缺乏一些火力。到目前为止,佛罗伦萨没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们以7分排在第11位。他们的比分差距是7:7,在比赛中没有明显的优势和劣势。恩波利将失去埃布希和萨佐诺夫。贝拉代鲁、法齐尼、佩里桑和祖尔科夫斯基都是有问题的。至于来客,庞格拉西奇是可疑的。凭借预期的阵容,凭借主场优势,佛罗伦萨理应在这里获得微弱的优势。他们目前的赔率约为2.20,这太低了。恩波利+0-5的劣势显然是明智的赌注!让我们记住恩波利在过去的11场主场比赛中只输了一场!
佛罗伦萨在最近的8场比赛中,在90分钟内只赢了一场。事实上,上个月29日,佛罗伦萨在点球大战中客场2-1击败普斯卡什青训队。匈牙利普斯卡什学院比佛罗伦萨小得多!这是欧联杯资格赛最后一轮的第二回合。在上一场比赛中,佛罗伦萨在主场2-1击败拉齐奥,成为博彩市场上的夺冠热门。他们在上个赛季确实创造了更多的机会,但拉齐奥有更多的进球尝试,54%的控球率,也有更多的射门。在此之前,佛罗伦萨在贝加莫输了2-3。亚特兰大在上一场比赛中比佛罗伦萨创造了更多的机会,理所应当地拿到了全部三分。在前往匈牙利之前,佛罗伦萨表现不佳,连续四场平局!他们在其中两场比赛中是博彩市场上的大热门,在另外两场比赛中也是明显的热门。恩波利最近状态非常好,最近七场比赛一场都没有输。恩波利赢了这七场比赛中的四场!在上一场比赛中,他们在客场击败了都灵队,他们在90分钟的比赛中以6.50的比分获胜。这是一场意大利杯比赛。让我们记住都灵目前在意甲排名第一!他们在这场比赛中以5-2的比分射正了3次。我喜欢恩波利压制都灵进攻的方式!在此之前,恩波利在客场击败卡利亚里,博彩公司开出的胜率约为4.00。这显然是太多了,因为从整体上看,这是平衡的。恩波利射门次数更多,但卡利亚里射门次数更多。xG值为1.34 ~ 1.21。在第四轮比赛中,恩波利的防守再次表现出色,迫使意大利最强球队之一的尤文图斯0比0战平。恩波利赢得比赛的价格在6.50左右!尤文图斯有更多的进球尝试,但两队都有三次射门。xG的数据是0.76-0.64,对尤文图斯有利。
好运!