Nottingham Forest VS Fulham

Nottingham and Fulham lock horns in this English Premier League round 6 clash at City Ground late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is clearly the best league in the world! Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, of course – can expect a game of rather average quality by this league's standards here.. However, we have yet another awesome betting opportunity to extend the winning streak of five picks/bets betting on this league! As most of my fans probably are aware of by now, I never let the league table fool me – especially this early into the season.. Nottingham currently occupy the 8th place in the standings with nine points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is, however, lower. They have scored six goals and have conceded 4 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 6.56 - and the number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 6.77.  Fulham, on the other hand, have taken eight points and have a score difference of 6:4. Their number of xPTS is 10.44 and their xG is 10.98. Let's keep in mind that last season Fulham were better than Nottingham, ending up in 13th place with 47 points. Nottingham were lame, finishing in 16th place with only 32 points. However, they were awarded a four-point penalty by federation decision. Their score difference was weak – 49:57 to be precise. Yes, they will probably do better this season but Fulham are still the better team in terms of pure class here! Let's remember that Fulham have defeated Nottingham three times in the last four games between the two teams - including a crushing 5-0 home win last season! Nottingham will be without the import Gibbs-White because of a previous red card. The bookies do not seem to fully realize how much his absence hurts Nottingham.. The Nottingham manager may end up "playing it safe" and just introduce Ryan Yates back into the starting eleven, as Elliot Anderson or James Ward-Prowse push higher up the field. Danilo is injured and Sangare is lacking match fitness. Boly is questionable. As for Fulham, Carlos Vinious is injured.

Fulham's odds have been dropping in recent hours – which is no surprise as smart money from independent professional bettors and betting syndicates was expected to be piling up on them.. With the expected lineups, even taking the home advantage into account, I see this game as a coin toss – a 50/50 game without an actual favourite. The bookies have made yet another mistake with their odds -  offering Nottingham odds of around 2.35-2.40 to win. Fulham +0.5 goals handicap option is the professional bettor's choice here! Fulham have lost only one of their last six matches. Even this loss came after penalties 1-2. It was an EFL Cup game against Preston on the road. Fulham were unlucky not to get the job done as they had 71% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (16-7), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 87-30. In their last game Fulham were excellent - crushing Newcastle 3-1 at home as underdogs on the betting market. They recorded an impressive 22 goal attempts and many more goal attempts – 11-4. The xG numbers were 3.04-1.21! Before the unlucky defeat against Preston, Fulham faced West Ham, a tricky opponent, at home and recorded over 20 goal attempts. West Ham's number was 11. Fulham also generated much more in xG. It was, in the end, a 1-1 draw. In round 3 Fulham locked horns with Ipswich, who played above their usual level. It was a 1-1 draw but Fulham generated more in xG. Before this Fulham rather comfortably beat Birmingham 2-0 away from home in the EFL Cup - scoring two quick goals early into the 1st half. In round 2 Fulham defeated Leicester at home 2-1, fully deserving the three points. Leicester managed only 0.43 in xG.

Nottingham have won one of their last four matches. In their last game they took a point from Brighton away from home despite the hosts recording hugely more goal attempts (14-4) and shots on target – 6-0. The hosts also had 72% ball possession. Rather strangely Nottingham generated marginally more in xG though - 1.45-1.33 to be precise. Before this Nottingham upset Liverpool 1-0 on the road! This lucky win over the 3rd-best team in the league probably affects Fulham's odds here.. Liverpool were, ahead of a bif UEFA Champions League game in Milan, not even close to their best in this game though.. Even so, they had 69% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts also generated much more in xG. Yes, Nottingham fought with everything they had - deserving some credit for a better-than-expected performance but Liverpool not scoring was hard to believe based on the events on the pitch! In round 3 Nottingham failed to beat Wolves, currently in last place, at home, as clear favourites! They generated only a little more than the poor visitors in xG. Before this Nottingham lost to Newcastle, 1-2 after penalties at home in the EFL Cup. The visitors would have deserved to win in the 90 minutes of play – having recorded seven shots on goal. Lame Nottingham managed only three..

GOOD LUCK and thanks to my growing fan-base!

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诺丁汉森林VS富勒姆

北京时间周六晚，诺丁汉和富勒姆将在城市球场进行英超联赛第6轮的交锋。这显然是世界上最好的联赛!足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——当然，他们心中有长期的利润——可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看质量相当一般的比赛。然而，我们还有另一个很棒的投注机会来延长在这个联赛投注的五次选择/投注的连胜纪录!正如我的大多数球迷现在可能已经意识到的那样，我从不让积分榜欺骗我——尤其是在赛季初期。诺丁汉目前以9分的成绩排在积分榜第8位。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)较低。他们进了6球，丢了4球。但是，它们的预期进球数(xG)是6.56，而允许的预期进球数(xGA)是6.77。另一方面，富勒姆已经拿到了8分，目前的比分差距是6:4。它们的xPTS数为10.44,xG为10.98。让我们记住上赛季富勒姆比诺丁汉更好，以47分排名第13。诺丁汉很差劲，仅以32分排名第16。然而，根据联合会的决定，他们被罚了4分。他们的比分差距很小，准确地说是49:57。是的，他们本赛季可能会做得更好，但富勒姆仍然是一支更好的球队。让我们记住富勒姆在两队之间的最近四场比赛中三次击败诺丁汉-包括上赛季主场5-0的压倒性胜利!由于之前的红牌，诺丁汉将失去引进的吉布斯-怀特。博彩公司似乎没有完全意识到他的缺席对诺丁汉的伤害有多大。诺丁汉的主教练可能会“谨慎行事”，将瑞安·耶茨重新引入首发11人，而艾略特·安德森或詹姆斯·沃德-普劳斯则会推到更靠前的位置。达尼洛受伤了，桑加雷缺乏比赛状态。神圣是值得怀疑的。至于富勒姆，维尼乌斯受伤了。

富勒姆的赔率最近几个小时一直在下降——这并不奇怪，因为来自独立职业投注者和投注集团的聪明资金预计会堆积在他们身上。考虑到预期的阵容，即使考虑到主场优势，我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——50/50的比赛，没有真正的最爱。博彩公司在赔率上又犯了一个错误——诺丁汉获胜的赔率约为2.35-2.40。富勒姆+0.5球障碍选项是专业投注者的选择!富勒姆最近六场比赛只输了一场。即使是这场失利也是在点球1比2之后。这是一场客场对阵普雷斯顿的联赛杯比赛。富勒姆很不幸没有完成任务，他们有71%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试(16-7)，射门，射门，角球，进攻和危险进攻- 87-30。富勒姆在上一场比赛中表现出色，在主场3-1击败纽卡斯尔，在博彩市场上处于劣势。他们取得了令人印象深刻的22次进球和更多的进球，11胜4负。xG的数字是3.04-1.21!在不幸输给普雷斯顿之前，富勒姆在主场面对西汉姆，一个棘手的对手，并且有超过20次的进球尝试。西汉姆的号码是11号。富勒姆在xG上也创造了更多。最后，双方以1比1战平。富勒姆在第三轮与伊普斯维奇发生了冲突，后者的表现超出了他们的正常水平。比赛打成1-1平局，但富勒姆在上个赛季创造了更多机会。在此之前，富勒姆在客场以2比0轻松击败伯明翰，他们在上半场一开始就快速进了两个球。第二轮富勒姆主场2-1击败莱斯特城，完全配得上三分。莱斯特在xG只拿到0.43分。

诺丁汉在最近四场比赛中赢了一场。在上一场比赛中，尽管主队的进球次数(14比4)和射正次数(6比0)都要多得多，但他们还是在客场从布莱顿拿走了一分。主队也有72%的控球率。很奇怪的是，诺丁汉在xG的生成略高，准确地说是1.45-1.33。在此之前，诺丁汉客场1-0击败利物浦!这场幸运的战胜了联赛第三强的球队可能会影响富勒姆在这里的胜算。在米兰的欧冠比赛之前，利物浦在这场比赛中甚至没有接近他们的最佳状态。即便如此，他们有69%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、攻击和危险攻击。主机还在xG中生成了更多内容。是的,诺丁汉

他们拼尽了一切——表现好于预期值得称赞，但从场上的情况来看，利物浦没有进球令人难以置信!在第三轮比赛中，诺丁汉没能击败目前在主场排名最后的狼队。他们的收入只比xG的可怜的游客多一点。在此之前，诺丁汉在主场的联赛杯点球大战中以1-2不敌纽卡斯尔。客队在90分钟的比赛中有7次射门，本可以赢得比赛。蹩脚的诺丁汉只拿到了三个……

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