Everton VS Crystal Palace

Everton host Crystal Palace for this English Premier League round 6 clash at Goodison Park in Liverpool late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is clearly the best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, of course – can expect a game of somewhat average quality by this league's standards here.. However, we have a fine betting opportunity to extend the winning streak of five picks betting on this league! I will post more high-quality picks on this league later today. As most of my fans probably are aware of by now, I never let the standings fool me – especially this early into the season. Everton currently sit in 19th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. It is true that Everton have not quite met the expectations performance-wise but they have also had some bad luck this season! Furthermore, they have lost a lead by a margin of two goals twice this season! Had they won even one of these two matches they would be higher up in the standings than Crystal Palace – and the odds would most probably be quite different here.. Everton have grabbed just one point but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 4.22. They have scored five goals and have conceded 14 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 7.11 and the number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 10.44. Everton should have the potential to climb up the standings significantly as the season progresses..

Let's not forget Crystal Palace have not won a game in this league this season either! They have a lame three points in their pocket and are in 16th place. They have netted the ball four times and have conceded seven goals in this league. However, their number of xGA is 10.76!  Everton will be without Broja, Chermiti and Gueye. Coleman, Garnar and Keane are questionable. As for the visitors Doucoure, Holding, Matheus Franca and Riad are out. Chabolah is questionable. I want to emphasize that  Everton have very loyal and enthusiastic fans. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, Everton are definitely the favourites here – but not very clear, of course.. Odds of around 2.75 on the home win are widely available on the betting market. The Everton +0.5 goals handicap option is the professional bettor's choice here.

Let's remember that Crystal Palace have not been able to defeat Everton in the last seven games between the two teams! The teams last locked horns in February and it was a 1-1 draw. However, Everton had 63% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal (15-6), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.88-0.54 in Everton's favour! Everton were priced around 1.90 to win on the betting market at the time of kickoff.. In January Everton took a 1-0 home win in the FA Cup. In their last game Everton took a point from Leicester away from home. They were priced around 3.60 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. Their odds went up incredibly significantly from the starting odds - even taking into account that there was a flu "epidemic" within the Everton team..  Even so, Everton recorded many more goal attempts (16-12), shots on target and also generated more in xG – 1.45-0.93 to be precise. Both teams had seven shots off target. In round 4 Everton pushed Aston Villa well – despite losing 2-3 away from home in the end. I want to highlight that Aston Villa finished in 4th place last season and play in the UEFA Champions League this season!  Aston Villa were of course very clear favourites in this game. Everton took a 2-0 lead through McNeil's and Calvert-Lewin's goals in the first 30 minutes of play but J. Duran scored the 3-2 goal in the 76th minute. I liked the way Everton fought in this game but their defence was simply not solid enough to stop an opponent of Aston Villa's caliber.. In round 3 an incredible game took place at Goodison Park. Everton were leading 2-0 till the 86th minute – playing very well - but still lost 2-3! They probably thought that the "game was over" at 2-0, consequently losing focus.. However, Everton were priced around 3.00 to win the game but recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target – 10-7. They should have taken at least a point! Everton have won (at least) one of their last five games - crushing Doncaster 3-0 at home on the 27th of August. It was an EFL Cup clash.

Yes, Crystal Palace took a point from Manchester United at home in their last game. Let's remember that ManU finished only in 8th place last season and in terms of xPTS they should not have finished even in the top-10! They were somewhat narrow favourites on the betting market in this game. However, they would have deserved all three points.. Indeed, the "Red Devils" had close to 70% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target and corner kicks. Moreover, ManU also generated much more in xG – 2.39-1.14 to be precise. Before this Crystal Palace beat QPR, a team from the 2nd tier, 2-1 on the road. QPR were priced around 1.30 to win in the 90 minutes of play at the time of kickoff but failed to really impress me.. Both teams had three shots off goal and Crystal Palace managed only a few more goal attempts and shots on goal. Before this Crystal Palace failed to defeat Leicester at home – despite being priced around 1.65 to win. It was a 2-2 draw and both teams had four shots on goal. Crystal Palace did generate more in xG though. Before this Crystal Palace "robbed" a highly undeserved point from Chelsea away from home.. It was a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge but Chelsea generated 2.98 in xG – the visitors managed only 0.46!

GOOD LUCK!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

埃弗顿VS水晶宫

北京时间周六晚，英超第6轮埃弗顿主场迎战水晶宫，比赛将在利物浦古迪逊公园球场进行。这显然是这个星球上最好的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——当然，考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。然而，我们有一个很好的投注机会来延长在这个联赛投注的五连胜!我将在今天晚些时候发布更多高质量的选秀。正如我的大多数球迷现在可能已经意识到的那样，我从不让排名欺骗我——尤其是在赛季初期。埃弗顿目前在这个联赛中排名第19位，总共有20家俱乐部。埃弗顿确实没有达到预期的表现，但他们本赛季运气也不太好!此外，他们本赛季两次以两球的差距失去领先优势!如果他们赢了这两场比赛中的一场，他们的排名就会比水晶宫高，而且赔率很可能会大不相同。埃弗顿虽然只拿到1分，但他们的期望积分(xPTS)是4.22分。他们进了5球丢了14球。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)是7.11，而允许的预期进球数(xGA)“仅”是10.44。随着赛季的进行，埃弗顿应该有潜力在积分榜上大幅攀升。

别忘了水晶宫本赛季在联赛中也没有赢过一场!他们只拿到了三分，排在第16位。他们在这个联赛中4次进球，丢了7个球。然而，他们的xGA数是10.76!埃弗顿将失去布罗哈、切尔米蒂和盖耶。科尔曼、加纳和基恩都有问题。至于访客，杜库尔、霍尔德、马修斯·弗兰卡和里亚德都出局了。Chabolah是有问题的。我想强调埃弗顿有非常忠诚和热情的球迷。考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到主场的优势，埃弗顿绝对是最受欢迎的球队——但当然不是很清楚。在博彩市场上，主场获胜的赔率约为2.75。埃弗顿+0.5个进球障碍选项是专业投注者的选择。

让我们记住，水晶宫在两队之间的最近七场比赛中都没能击败埃弗顿!两队上一次交锋是在2月份，当时是1-1战平。然而，埃弗顿有63%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数(15-6)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。埃弗顿的xG比分是1.88比0.54 !在开球时，埃弗顿在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.90英镑。今年1月，埃弗顿在足总杯比赛中主场1-0获胜。在上一场比赛中，埃弗顿客场从莱斯特城取了一分。在开球时，博彩公司对他们的定价约为3.6美元。他们的赔率比开始的赔率高得令人难以置信——即使考虑到埃弗顿队内部有流感“流行”。即便如此，埃弗顿的进球次数(16-12次)和射正次数都更多，而且在xG(1.45-0.93)上也有更多的进球。两队都有七次射偏。在第4轮埃弗顿击败了阿斯顿维拉，尽管最后客场2-3输掉了比赛。我想强调的是，上赛季阿斯顿维拉排名第四，本赛季他们参加了欧冠联赛!阿斯顿维拉在这场比赛中当然是非常明显的热门。在比赛的前30分钟，埃弗顿凭借麦克尼尔和卡尔弗特-卢因的进球以2-0领先，但在第76分钟，杜兰以3-2的比分破门。我喜欢埃弗顿在这场比赛中的战斗方式，但他们的防守根本不够坚固，无法阻挡阿斯顿维拉这样的对手。第三轮在古迪逊公园上演了一场不可思议的比赛。埃弗顿在86分钟前一直以2-0领先，踢得很好，但还是以2-3输了!他们可能认为2比0“比赛结束了”，因此失去了注意力。然而，埃弗顿赢得比赛的价格在3.00左右，但他们的进球次数、射正和射偏都更多——10比7。他们至少应该得一分!埃弗顿最近五场比赛至少赢了一场，8月27日主场3-0大胜唐卡斯特。这是一场联赛杯的比赛。

是的，水晶宫在上一场主场从曼联那里拿走了一分。让我们记住，马努上赛季只排在第8位，从积分来看，他们甚至不应该排在第8位

十大!在这场比赛中，他们在投注市场上的胜算不大。然而，他们应该得到这三分。事实上，“红魔”的控球率接近70%，并且有更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏和角球。此外，准确地说，ManU在xG - 2.39-1.14中也生成了更多。在此之前，水晶宫客场2-1击败了QPR，这是一支来自第二梯队的球队。在开球时，QPR在90分钟的比赛中获胜的价格在1.30左右，但并没有真正打动我。两支球队都有三次射偏，水晶宫只多了几次射门和射正。在此之前，水晶宫未能在主场击败莱斯特城——尽管胜率在1.65左右。双方战成2比2平，两队都有4次射正。不过水晶宫在xG中确实产生了更多的收益。在这场比赛之前，水晶宫在客场“抢”了切尔西极不应得的一分。切尔西在斯坦福桥1-1战平，但切尔西在上个赛季创造了2.98个进球，而客队只创造了0.46个进球!

好运！