CA Penarol VS CR Flamengo

Penarol host Flamengo for this Copa Libertadores quarter-finals 2nd leg clash at Campeón del Siglo in Montevideo Friday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind – can expect a game of high level by this league's standards is expected here.. The hosts are a Uruguayan team, the visitors come from Brazil. There is no doubt about the fact that Flamengo are the better team here in terms of pure class. However, Uruguayan teams have often been undervalued in international competitions! This is the case here. Uruguay are country with a very strong football culture and their national team has done well in the Copa America many times in the last 10 or so years. Penarol have loud and demanding fans and I expect the atmosphere at the Campeón del Siglo to be ecstatic here! Penarol have won four of their last five home games and have lost just once in their last 13 games in front of their fans. They are currently in 2nd place in the Uruguayan Primera Division with 10 points to their account after 10 points. Their score difference is extremely strong – 11:1 to be precise. I have been impressed with their defence – which will be crucial against a strong team like Flamengo.. The Brazilians are currently in 4th place in the Serie A with 45 points in their pocket. However, their recent form has not been very impressive..

Penarol won the first leg 1-0 after a remarkable defensive battle. The hosts recorded 21 goal attempts but had "only" seven shots on goal. I liked the way Penarol suffocated the Flamengo offense. Penarol recorded a decent 11 goal attempts and nine shots off goal. J. Cabrera scored the 1-0 goal in the 13th minute and after that Penarol mainly concentrated on defending and fast counter attacks.. This is something they are very good at. Flamengo will probably have over 50% ball possession even at Campeón del Siglo but this suits Penarol's style of play well! Penarol were priced close to 10.00 to win the first leg which was obviously too high! The bookies keep undervaluing them – offering Flamengo odds of only around 2.20 to win the second leg – after 90 minutes. The Penarol +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! Flamengo have not won any of their last three games, and have taken just one win in their last five matches. In their last game their performance was decent, despite losing to Gremio, currently in 14th place, 2-3 on the road. The hosts did generate more in expected goals (xG). Flamengo's Carlinhos was sent off in the 58th minute when the score was 2-1. Before losing in Uruguay Flamengo failed to beat Vasco at home as clear favourites – priced around 1.75 to win. Flamengo did record one more shot on goal though.

Penarol, on the other hand, have won four matches in a row! In their last game they crushed CA Cerro 5-0 away from home! They had recorded a fine 18 goal attempts, allowing the hosts only six. Moreover, Penarol had many more shots on goal (6-1) and shots off target – 12-2. Yes, Cerro's C. Araujo was sent off in the 30th minute but the score was already 0-2 at the time of the red card.. Before upsetting Flamengo, Penarol swept past Rampla Juniors at home. 4-0 was the final score and the visitors managed just two shots on goal. Before this, Penarol beat Miramar 2-1 at Estadio Centenario despite the hosts playing better than usual. Penarol were unarguably  slightly lame offensively in this game but still deserved the narrow win.

佩纳罗对弗拉门戈

北京时间周五上午，在蒙得维的亚举行的解放者杯1 / 4决赛次回合比赛中，佩纳罗主场迎战弗拉门戈，主场为Campeón del Siglo。足球迷和我们认真的投注者-考虑到长期利润-可以期待一场高水平的比赛，以这个联赛的标准来看。东道主是乌拉圭队，客队来自巴西。毫无疑问，弗拉门戈是一支实力更强的球队。然而，乌拉圭球队在国际比赛中经常被低估!这就是这里的情况。乌拉圭是一个足球文化非常浓厚的国家，他们的国家队在过去10年左右的时间里多次在美洲杯上取得好成绩。佩纳罗尔拥有喧闹和苛刻的球迷，我希望Campeón del Siglo球场的气氛会非常热烈!佩纳罗尔在最近的5场主场比赛中赢了4场，在过去的13场比赛中只在球迷面前输了一场。他们目前在乌拉圭甲级联赛中排名第二，10分后他们的账户上有10分。他们的比分差距非常大——准确地说是11:1。我对他们的防守印象深刻，这对弗拉门戈这样的强队至关重要。巴西人目前在意甲联赛中以45分排名第四。然而，他们最近的表现并不令人印象深刻。

佩纳罗尔在一场精彩的防守战之后以1-0赢得了第一回合的胜利。东道主有21次射门，但“只有”7次射正。我喜欢佩纳罗压制弗拉门戈进攻的方式。佩纳罗尔记录了11次射门和9次射门。卡布雷拉在第13分钟打进1-0的进球，此后佩纳罗尔主要集中在防守和快速反击上。这是他们非常擅长的事情。即使在Campeón del Siglo，弗拉门戈也可能有超过50%的控球率，但这很适合佩纳罗尔的比赛风格!Penarol的价格接近10美元，以赢得第一回合，这显然太高了!博彩公司一直在低估他们——在90分钟后，弗拉门戈队赢得第二回合的赔率只有2.20左右。佩纳罗尔+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注!弗拉门戈在最近的三场比赛中没有赢过一场，在最近的五场比赛中只取得了一场胜利。在上一场比赛中，他们的表现还不错，尽管输给了格雷米奥，格雷米奥目前排名第14，客场2胜3负。东道主确实创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。弗拉门戈的卡林霍斯在第58分钟被罚下，当时比分是2-1。在输给乌拉圭之前，弗拉门戈没能在主场击败瓦斯科，他们的夺冠概率在1.75左右。不过弗拉门戈队又一次射正了球门。

另一方面，佩纳罗尔已经连续赢了四场比赛!在上一场比赛中，他们客场5-0击败了Cerro !他们有18次进球尝试，只给东道主6次机会。此外，佩纳罗尔有更多的射正(6比1)和射偏(12比2)。是的，塞罗的C.阿劳霍在第30分钟被罚下，但在出示红牌时比分已经是0-2了。在击败弗拉门戈之前，佩纳罗尔在主场横扫了兰普拉青年队。4比0是最终比分，客队只射进两球。在此之前，佩纳罗尔在百年球场2-1击败了米拉马尔，尽管东道主的表现比平时要好。毫无疑问，佩纳罗尔在本场比赛的进攻端有点弱，但仍然应该以微弱优势取胜。