Is Athletic favorite here? 西甲 毕尔巴鄂VS塞尔塔
2024-09-22

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Athletic Bilbao has started the season with better results than performances. They have yet to play a full game at 100%, and I have not seen them reach their best level in any of the 5 rounds played so far. However, they have won 3 games and lost only to Atletico and Barcelona, both narrow defeats (0-1 and 2-1).

During these games, they showed that, although they are not at their best level, they have quality and are ultra-competitive. Once they reach their peak, they will be a very strong team. I have no doubts about their level, which is TOP 5 in La Liga. For this fixture, they’ll miss starting goalkeeper Unai Simón and defender Yeray Álvarez, both due to long-term injuries. I hope to see Vivian in the center-back position, as Unai Núñez is prone to making mistakes.

Up front, Nico Williams, their best player, is doubtful. He has completed only 2 full games so far, as he isn’t at 100% yet, so his absence isn’t really worrying.

Athletic has an important game on Thursday against Roma (UEL), but they’ll have 4 days to rest, so I don’t see them getting distracted here.

On the other hand, while Athletic is far from their best level, Celta is overperforming. They have won 3 games (all of them at home), scoring 13 goals in 5 games. But there’s another side to the coin: they are conceding a lot of chances and goals. They are not able to keep a clean sheet, regardless of their opponent.

Against very weak teams like Valladolid or Valencia, even though they dominated the games, they spent several minutes being outplayed, conceding chances and eventually goals. That’s why they have lost both games playing away: they conceded 3 goals against Osasuna (3-2) and 4 against Villarreal (4-3).

The only way for Celta to win a game is to score at least 2-3 goals. Playing away, we’ve seen how, despite scoring 2 or 3 goals, they didn’t win due to their terrible defense, which is even worse on the road.

I don’t see Celta having the quality needed to score 2-3 goals in a difficult stadium like this one. And if they do, they will likely concede more goals, as they did last season when they lost 4-3 here.

Athletic has more quality, and we are still waiting to see their best level. Meanwhile, Celta is playing at their peak and won’t improve much more—I even believe that their high number of goals scored will decrease soon, as they are a mid-table, average team.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

毕尔巴鄂竞技本赛季的开局比表现要好。他们还没有以100%的状态打满全场,到目前为止,我还没有看到他们在5轮比赛中达到最佳水平。然而,他们取得了3场胜利,只输给了马竞和巴塞罗那,两场比赛都是0-1和2-1的险胜。

在这些比赛中,他们证明了,虽然他们没有达到最佳水平,但他们有实力,有超强的竞争力。一旦他们达到巅峰,他们将成为一支非常强大的球队。我不怀疑他们的水平,他们在西甲排名前五。在本场比赛中,他们的首发门将乌奈Simón和后卫耶雷Álvarez都将因长期伤病缺阵。我希望看到维维安在中后卫的位置上,因为乌奈Núñez容易犯错误。

锋线上,尼克斯-威廉姆斯,他们最好的球员,是值得怀疑的。到目前为止,他只打满了2场比赛,因为他还没有达到100%的状态,所以他的缺席并不令人担忧。

竞技在周四有一场对罗马的重要比赛,但他们将有4天的休息时间,所以我认为他们不会在这里分心。

另一方面,虽然竞技还远没有达到他们的最佳水平,但塞尔塔却表现出色。他们赢了3场比赛(都是在主场),在5场比赛中打进13球。但硬币也有另一面:他们丢了很多机会和进球。不管他们的对手是谁,他们都无法保持不失球。

面对像巴利亚多利德或瓦伦西亚这样非常弱的球队,尽管他们控制了比赛,但他们花了几分钟的时间被击败,失去机会,最终进球。这就是为什么他们在客场输掉了两场比赛:他们对奥萨苏纳(3-2)丢了3球,对比利亚雷亚尔(4-3)丢了4球。

塞尔塔赢得一场比赛的唯一方法是至少进2-3个球。在客场比赛中,我们已经看到,尽管他们进了2到3个球,但由于他们糟糕的防守,他们没有赢球,这在客场更糟糕。

我不认为塞尔塔有能力在这样一个困难的球场进2-3球。如果他们这样做,他们可能会丢更多的球,就像上赛季他们在这里以4比3输球一样。

竞技的实力更强,我们还在等着看他们的最佳水平。与此同时,塞尔塔正处于巅峰状态,不会有太大的进步,我甚至认为他们的高进球数很快就会下降,因为他们是一支中游的普通球队。

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