Atletico Madrid VS RB Leipzig

Atletico Madrid host RB Leipzig for this UEFA Champions League League phase round 1 clash at Metropolitano Stadium early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the highest of UEFA's three club competitions. The hosts are a Spanish team. RB Leipzig come from Germany. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of much higher than average level by this league's standards here.. Atletico Madrid have been extremely strong at Metropolitano Stadium in the Champions League in recent years. Indeed, the home advantage here is even bigger than usual! Moreover, Atletico Madrid are significantly better on paper this season than they were last season. The biggest reason for this is Julián Alvarez, a World Champion with Argentina in 2022. He played very well at Manchester City last season. Alvarez had a significant role even in Pep Guardiola's team, the best in the world. Manchester City won the English Premier League for the 4th time in a row last season. Despite Guardiola being happy with Alvarez's performances as a whole, the Argentine wanted an even bigger role in the club he players for so Manchester City sold him to Atletico. He is still a young player and has potential for further improvement!

Last season Atletico were eliminated by Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League quarter finals 4-5 on aggregate. However, they were, in reality, the better team on the pitch in the two legs combined. In the first leg at Metropolitano Stadium Atletico won 2-1 but generated much more in expected goals (xG). In the 2nd leg in Germany Atletico generated a little more in xG but Dortmund won 4-2 in the end. No, Atletico are not among the biggest favourites to win the Champions League but still have a genuine chance to do so.. Leipzig played pretty well in the Champions League last season but were eliminated by Real Madrid in the 1/8-finals. Leipzig finished n 4th place in the German Bundesliga last season with 65 points in the pocket. However, they had some luck on their side in terms of expected points (xPTS), expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xGA). Atletico Madrid have an edge over Leipzig in all areas of the game and deserve to be clear favourites here! Odds of around 1.80 are available on the betting market at the time of posting this analysis. We will gladly take it!

I want to emphasize that Atletico Madrid have not lost any of their last 10 games, winning seven of these 10 matches! They were extremely strong in their last game, beating Valencia 3-0 at home. They defended in an terrific way as a team, allowing the visitors only one shot on goal and 0.16 in xG. Atletico, on the other hand, generated 3.32 in xG and had 14 goal attempts. Before this they took a fine win over Athletic Bilbao on the road 1-0. They once again defended very well, allowing the hosts just one shot on target! Let's remember that Bilbao are a very dangerous team, especially at home.. They have players like Nico Williams who was one of the best players in EURO 2024, winning the European Championship with Spain. Atletico allowed Bilbao only 0.56 in xG, recording 1.87 themselves. In round 3 of the LaLiga Atletico dominated the events against Espanyol at Metropolitano Stadium but failed to score despite having 25 goal attempts in 2.78 in xG. Espanyol managed just one shot on target. However, no goals were scored in the end.

Leipzig, too, have started the season quite well. Three rounds of Bundesliga have been played. Leipzig are in 3rd place in the Bundesliga at the moment with seven points to their account. However, their number of xPTS is only 3.08! They were disappointing in their last game, failing to beat Union Berlin at home. Leipzig were priced around 1.50 to win by the bookies but generated only moderately more in xG than Union Berlin – 1.22-0.89 to be precise. In round 2 Leipzig defeated Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 on the road but did not deserve the three points! Indeed, the hosts generated 3.45 in xG – Leipzig managed only 1.34. Leverkusen also recorded many more goal attempts (27-10), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (18-2), attacks and dangerous attacks. I believe this win over the reigning champions of Germany still affects the odds..

GOOD LUCK and thanks to my thousands of loyal fans!

马德里竞技VS莱比锡RB

北京时间周五凌晨，马德里竞技将在大都会体育场迎战莱比锡RB，进行欧冠联赛第一轮的比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最高的。东道主是西班牙队。RB莱比锡来自德国。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比联赛平均水平高得多的比赛。近年来，马德里竞技在大都会球场的欧冠赛场上表现得非常强大。的确，主场优势比平时更大!此外，马德里竞技本赛季的纸面上比上赛季要好得多。最大的原因是Julián阿尔瓦雷斯，2022年阿根廷的世界冠军。他上个赛季在曼城踢得很好。阿尔瓦雷斯在瓜迪奥拉的球队中扮演着重要的角色，这是世界上最好的球队。上个赛季，曼城队连续第4次赢得英超联赛冠军。尽管瓜迪奥拉对阿尔瓦雷斯的整体表现感到满意，但阿根廷人希望在俱乐部发挥更大的作用，所以曼城将他卖给了马竞。他仍然是一名年轻球员，有进一步提高的潜力!

上赛季，马竞在欧冠1 / 4决赛中以4-5的总比分被多特蒙德淘汰。然而，事实上，他们是两回合比赛中表现更好的球队。在第一回合的大都会体育场，马竞以2-1获胜，但创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。在德国的第二回合，马竞在xG创造了一些机会，但多特蒙德最终以4-2获胜。不，马竞不是赢得欧冠的最大热门之一，但仍然有真正的机会这样做。莱比锡上赛季在欧冠联赛中表现不错，但在1/8决赛中被皇家马德里淘汰。莱比锡上赛季在德甲联赛中以65分排名第四。然而，他们在预期得分(xPTS)、预期进球(xG)和预期进球(xGA)方面运气不错。马竞在比赛的各个方面都比莱比锡有优势，在这里应该是最受欢迎的!在发布此分析时，投注市场上的赔率约为1.80。我们很乐意接受!

我想强调的是，马德里竞技在过去的10场比赛中没有输过一场，在这10场比赛中赢了7场!他们在上一场比赛中非常强大，在主场3-0击败了瓦伦西亚。作为一个整体，他们的防守非常出色，只让客队射门1次，射门命中率0.16。另一方面，马竞在xG上产生了3.32个进球，有14次射门。在此之前，他们在客场1-0完胜毕尔巴鄂竞技。他们又一次防守得很好，只让主队射正了一球!让我们记住毕尔巴鄂是一支非常危险的球队，尤其是在主场。他们有像尼科·威廉姆斯这样的球员，他是2024年欧洲杯上最好的球员之一，他和西班牙一起赢得了欧洲杯。马竞在比赛中只给毕尔巴鄂0.56分，而他们自己则是1.87分。在西甲联赛第三轮，马竞在大都会球场对西班牙人队的比赛中占据了主导地位，但尽管在xG比赛中有2.78次射门25次，但未能进球。西班牙人只射正了一脚。然而，最终没有进球。

莱比锡本赛季开局也不错。德甲联赛已经进行了三轮。莱比锡目前在德甲排名第三，积7分。然而，他们的xpt数量只有3.08!他们在上一场比赛中表现令人失望，未能在主场击败柏林联盟。博彩公司对莱比锡的胜率定价在1.50左右，但在xG上的收入仅略高于柏林联盟——准确地说，是1.22-0.89。在第二轮，莱比锡客场3-2击败勒沃库森，但他们配不上三分!事实上，东道主在世界杯上的进球数为3.45，而莱比锡仅为1.34。勒沃库森也有更多的进球次数(27胜10负)、射正、射偏、角球(18胜2负)、进攻和危险进攻。我相信这场战胜卫冕冠军德国队的胜利仍然影响着赔率。

祝你好运，并感谢我成千上万的忠实粉丝!