CD Leganes VS Athletic Club
Leganes and Athletic Bilbao lock horns in the Spanish LaLiga round 7 clash at Estadio Municipal de Butarque very early Friday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played only five games so far. LaLiga is the second-best league on the planet, behind the English Premier League. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of rather average level by the LaLiga standards here.. Bilbao finished in 5th place last season – taking a fine 68 points! They scored 61 goals and conceded only 37. This was the 2nd-lowest number in the LaLiga – only the reigning champions, Real Madrid, conceded less goals! I expect Bilbao to defend very well as a team this season as well.. Bilbao's number of expected points (xPTS) was somewhat lower than 68 last season though. Their number of expected goals, on the other hand, (xG) was 64.03. Leganes, on the other hand, were promoted from the LaLiga2 to the first tier for this season. They won the LaLiga2 with 74 points but their number of xPTS was lower. Their defence was rock-solid – allowing only 27 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was still 32.11 in 42 games.. Their offense was not top-quality though - they scored 56 goals. For example Racing Santander, who finished in 7th place, netted the ball 63 times.. I want to highlight that the difference between the 2nd tier and LaLiga is huge! I expect a challenging season for Leganes – them being relegated would not surprise me at all.. With the expected lineups, even taking the decent home advantage into account, I see Bilbao having a 57.50% chance of taking all three points here! Odds of around 2.05 are available on the betting market at the time of posting this analysis. Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected source, Transfermarkt.com, Bilbao are the bigger team here – by a huge margin! Their players have an estimated total market value of some 320 million euros! This is a bit too low though - some 340 million would be a more accurate number.. The Leganes squad is valued at only about 57 million - which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. I want to highlight that this is an extremely low number by the LaLiga standards!
Leganes have started the season relatively well – results-wise I mean.. They have grabbed five points but their number of xPTS is only 3.87. I want to emphasize that they have faced mainly lowly or mediocre opponents so far. Betis, who finished in 7th place last season is the trickiest opponent they have locked horns with so far.. Well, they lost to Betis 0-2 away from home after a lame performance.. Betis' number of xG was 2.03. The Leganes offense was almost hilariously terrible – their number of xG was 0.11! Moreover, Leganes managed only three goal attempts. Their offense lacks especially individual skill, speed and creativity to do well at this level. Bilbao, on the other hand, have players like Nico Williams, who was even better than expected in the EURO 2024 a few months ago, winning the tournament with Spain. He is incredibly fast, very skilled and is still improving.. Bilbao have a significant edge over Leganes in all areas of the game here. Before losing in Sevilla 0-2 Leganes beat Fuenlabrada, a small team, 3-0 away from home. It was a friendly game to which I will give very little emphasis.. In round 4, on the 31st of August local time, Leganes were very lame offensively, losing to Mallorca 0-1 at home as slim favourites on the betting market. The visitors generated more in xG – 1.33-0.34 to be precise and also had many more goal attempts – 12-4. Leganes managed only two shots on target. Before this Leganes "stole" a point from Valladolid on the road – no goals were scored. Leganes managed just one shot on goal and generated very little in xG. They defended pretty well though.. However, Bilbao have much more firepower than Valladolid.. Bilbao currently occupy the 10th place in the standings with seven points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is 7.89. They have an excellent chance of making it to the top-4 this season!
Bilbao have improved from recently, winning two of their last three games! In their most recent match they beat Las Palmas away from home 3-2. The hosts had more goal attempts but Bilbao generated more in xG - 2.11-1.55. Before this they lost to a very strong opponent, Atletico Madrid, 0-1 at home. Atletico are expected to be much better than they were last season.. The visitors did record more in xG but had just one more goal attempt than Bilbao. In round 3 Bilbao were excellent, especially defensively, beating Valencia 1-0 at home. They had 13 goal attempts. The visitors managed just two.. The xG numbers were 1.65-0.09 in Bilbao's favour! In round 2 Bilbao faced the current leaders, Barcelona, on the road. Let's remember that Barca have won all five games and have a goal difference of 17:4. Bilbao performed pretty well as big underdogs on the betting market – despite losing 1-2. Barca had 13 goal attempts, Bilbao managed nine.
GOOD LUCK!
莱加内斯VS竞技俱乐部
北京时间周五凌晨,莱加内斯和毕尔巴鄂竞技将在西班牙西甲第7轮比赛中在布塔克市政体育场展开较量。然而,实际上两队到目前为止只打了5场比赛。西甲联赛是世界上第二好的联赛,仅次于英超联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以西甲标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。毕尔巴鄂上赛季排名第五,拿到了68分!他们进了61球,只丢了37球。这是西甲联赛第二少的数字,只有卫冕冠军皇马丢的球少!我希望毕尔巴鄂这个赛季的防守也会很好。毕尔巴鄂的预期积分(xPTS)略低于上赛季的68分。另一方面,他们的预期进球数(xG)为64.03。另一方面,莱加内斯本赛季从西甲升入甲级联赛。他们以74分的成绩赢得了西甲联赛,但他们的得分较低。他们的防守坚如磐石,只丢了27个球。然而,在42场比赛中,他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然是32.11。不过他们的进攻质量并不高——他们进了56个球。例如,排名第七的桑坦德竞技队(Racing Santander)就有63次进球。我想强调的是,二级联赛和西甲之间的差异是巨大的!我预计莱加内斯将迎来一个充满挑战的赛季——他们被降级一点也不让我感到惊讶。考虑到预期的阵容,即使考虑到良好的主场优势,我认为毕尔巴鄂有57.50%的机会在这里拿到全部三分!在发布此分析时,投注市场上的赔率约为2.05。让我们记住,根据一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源,Transfermarkt.com,毕尔巴鄂是这里更大的球队——以巨大的优势!他们的球员估计总市值约为3.2亿欧元!不过这个数字有点太低了——大约3.4亿是更准确的数字。莱加内斯队的价值只有5700万英镑——这在我的专家看来或多或少是正确的。我想强调的是,按照西甲联赛的标准,这是一个极低的数字!
莱加内斯本赛季的开局相对不错——我是说,从结果来看……他们拿到了5分,但是他们的得分只有3.87分。我想强调的是,到目前为止,他们面对的主要是低水平或中等水平的对手。上赛季排名第七的贝蒂斯是他们迄今为止遇到的最难对付的对手。嗯,他们在客场0-2输给了贝蒂斯,表现差劲。贝蒂斯的xG数为2.03。莱加内斯的进攻简直糟糕得令人捧腹——他们的xG数只有0.11!此外,莱加内斯只尝试了三次射门。他们的进攻尤其缺乏个人技术、速度和创造力,无法在这个水平上取得好成绩。另一方面,毕尔巴鄂有像尼科·威廉姆斯这样的球员,他在几个月前的2024年欧洲杯上表现得比预期还要好,和西班牙一起赢得了冠军。他速度快得令人难以置信,技术非常娴熟,而且还在不断进步。毕尔巴鄂在比赛的各个方面都比莱加内斯有明显的优势。在0-2输给塞维利亚之前,莱加内斯客场3-0击败了一支小球队富恩拉布拉达。这是一场友谊赛,我就不多强调了。在当地时间8月31日的第4轮比赛中,莱加内斯在进攻端表现不佳,在主场0-1不敌马洛卡,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。客队创造了更多的进球,准确地说是1.33-0.34,也有更多的进球尝试——12-4。莱加内斯只射正了两脚。在此之前,莱加内斯在客场从巴利亚多利德那里“偷走”了一分——没有进球。莱加内斯只有一次射门,在上一场比赛中几乎没有进球。不过他们防守得很好……然而毕尔巴鄂的火力比巴利亚多利德强得多。毕尔巴鄂目前以7分的成绩排在积分榜第10位。它们的xPTS数是7.89。他们本赛季有很好的机会进入前四!
毕尔巴鄂在最近的三场比赛中取得了两场胜利。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场3-2击败了拉斯帕尔马斯。东道主有更多的进球尝试,但毕尔巴鄂在xG - 2.11-1.55创造了更多的机会。在此之前,他们在主场0-1输给了强大的对手马德里竞技。人们期望马竞会比上赛季强得多。客队在xG的进球比毕尔巴鄂多,但只比毕尔巴鄂多进了一个球。毕尔巴鄂在第三轮表现出色,尤其是在防守端,他们在主场1-0击败了瓦伦西亚。他们有13次射门机会。游客们只设法做到了两个。
比分是1.65比0.09,对毕尔巴鄂有利!在第二轮比赛中,毕尔巴鄂在客场对阵目前的领头羊巴塞罗那。让我们记住巴萨已经赢了所有的五场比赛,并且有17:4的净胜球。毕尔巴鄂在博彩市场上表现相当不错,尽管输了1-2。巴萨有13次射门,毕尔巴鄂有9次。好运!