Paris Saint Germain VS Girona FC

PSG welcome Girona for this UEFA Champions League League stage round 1 clash at Parc des Princes in Paris early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the highest of UEFA's three club competitions. The hosts are a French team, Girona come from Spain. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here.. The main reason for this is the huge difference in class between the two teams. Indeed, the hosts have a very clear edge over Girona in all areas of the game. Yes, they surprised everyone – I believe - last season, finishing in third place, behind Real Madrid and Barcelona. They grabbed 81 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 62.04. They scored 85 goals and conceded 46 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) was 75.98 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was 62.67.. I want to emphasize that they lost many key players after last season and are expected to do much worse this season than they did in the 2023-2024 season.. I believe the bookmakers have failed to fully realize how much Girona's level has dropped from last season.. They are currently in 8th place in the LaLiga with seven points after five games. In their last game Girona faced Barcelona at home, losing 1-4. The visitors were clearly the better team on the pitch! They recorded 20 goal attempts and also has many more shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (6-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. Barcelona also generated much more in xG. Girona were very lame offensively – generating only 0.51 in xG. Before this Girona defeated Sevilla on the road 2-0 but the final score is misleading!  The hosts recorded more goal attempts (16-11), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks and attacks. Girona have never played in the Champions League. PSG, on the other hand, have regularly made it to the Champions League Playoffs, even playing in the final in 2020. Their players have much more experience of tough international games than Girona's.

According to a well-known and respected source, Transfermarkt.com, PSG are hugely the bigger team here. Their players have an estimated total market value of some 975 million euros. The Girona squad is valued at only about 210 million. We will take the PSG win at the odds of around 1.40 here. A home win by a margin of two or even three goals would not surprise me at all! The probability of a PSG win by a margin of at least two goals is 55.50%.  PSG, once again, comfortably won the French Ligue 1 last season. They lost to Dortmund in the Champions League semi finals last season, despite generating more in xG in both legs. In the second leg at home PSG hit the woodwork many times, recording 31 goal attempts and 3.42 in xG but lost 0-1. What an unlucky defeat it was! Even without Kylian Mbappe PSG must be hungry for a trophy in the Champions League this season. In fact, they have played better as a team without Mbappe than with Mbappe - looking very balanced on the pitch so far this season.. Mbappe, of course, is an elite striker, is, after all, pretty egoistic and lazy at defending.. The Frenchman now plays for Real Madrid.  PSG last lost a game in May and have now lost four games in a row. In their last game, PSG dominated Brest at home, winning 3-1. PSG had 22 goal attempts and generated 3.04 in xG. Let's remember that Brest finished in 3rd place last season! Before this PSG comfortably defeated a dangerous opponent, Lille, 3-1 on the road. PSG generated much more in xG than Lille. In round 2 PSG completely crushed Montpellier at home. 6-0 was the final score!

GOOD LUCK!

巴黎圣日耳曼VS赫罗纳

北京时间周四凌晨，巴黎圣日耳曼在巴黎王子公园球场迎来了欧冠联赛第一轮对阵赫罗纳的比赛。这是欧足联三场俱乐部比赛中最高的。东道主是法国队，赫罗纳来自西班牙。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。造成这种情况的主要原因是两支球队在班级上的巨大差异。事实上，东道主在比赛的各个方面都明显领先赫罗纳。是的，他们让所有人都感到惊讶——我相信——上赛季，他们排在皇马和巴萨之后，排名第三。虽然拿到了81分，但期望分数(xPTS)“只有”62.04分。他们进了85球，丢了46球。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)为75.98，他们的预期进球数(xGA)为62.67。我想强调的是，他们在上赛季之后失去了很多关键球员，预计本赛季的表现会比2023-2024赛季差得多。我相信博彩公司没有完全意识到赫罗纳的水平比上赛季下降了多少。他们在5场比赛后积7分，目前在西甲排名第8。在上一场比赛中，赫罗纳主场面对巴塞罗那，以1比4输掉了比赛。客队在球场上显然更胜一筹!他们有20次进球尝试，并且有更多的射正、射偏、角球(6-1)、进攻和危险进攻。巴塞罗那也产生了更多的xG。赫罗纳在进攻端表现很差，全场比赛只产生了0.51个进球。在此之前，赫罗纳客场2-0击败了塞维利亚，但最后的比分是误导!东道主的进球次数(16-11次)、射正、射偏、角球和进攻次数更多。赫罗纳从未参加过欧冠联赛。另一方面，巴黎圣日耳曼经常进入欧冠季后赛，甚至在2020年参加了决赛。他们的球员比赫罗纳有更多的国际比赛经验。

根据一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，Transfermarkt.com，巴黎圣日耳曼是这里最大的球队。据估计，他们的球员总市值约为9.75亿欧元。赫罗纳队的身价仅为2.1亿美元。我们将以1.40的赔率赌巴黎圣日耳曼获胜。主场以两球甚至三球的优势取胜一点也不会让我感到惊讶!巴黎圣日耳曼以至少两球的优势获胜的概率为55.50%。上个赛季，巴黎圣日耳曼再次轻松赢得法甲冠军。上赛季他们在欧冠半决赛中输给了多特蒙德，尽管他们在两回合比赛中都创造了更多的进球。在第二回合主场比赛中，巴黎圣日耳曼多次击中门框，射门31次，射门3.42次，但最终以0比1输球。多么不幸的失败啊!即使没有姆巴佩，巴黎圣日耳曼也一定渴望在本赛季的冠军联赛中赢得一座奖杯。事实上，他们在没有姆巴佩的情况下比在姆巴佩的情况下踢得更好——本赛季到目前为止，他们在球场上看起来非常平衡。当然，姆巴佩是一名精英前锋，毕竟，他很自私，在防守方面也很懒。法国人现在效力于皇家马德里。巴黎圣日耳曼上一次输掉一场比赛是在5月份，现在他们已经连续输掉了四场比赛。在上一场比赛中，巴黎圣日耳曼主场3-1战胜了布雷斯特。巴黎圣日耳曼有22次进球，全场进球3.04个。让我们记住，布雷斯特上赛季获得了第三名!在此之前，巴黎圣日耳曼在客场以3-1轻松击败了一个危险的对手里尔。PSG在xG的收益远高于里尔。第二轮，巴黎圣日耳曼在主场彻底击败了蒙彼利埃。6比0是最后的比分!

好运！