The UEFA Champions League is back! On Tuesday night, we will start the new season, and one of the matches is going to be between Real Madrid and Stuttgart. In this game, I predict Real's win by at least a 2-goal margin.
After 5 rounds, Real Madrid has 3 wins and 2 draws in the Spanish La Liga. The team started the season with an unexpected draw on the road against Mallorca (1:1) and they couldn't also beat Las Palmas (1:1) on the road. On Saturday, Real Madrid beat Real Sociedad (2:0) on the road. Real Madrid has won both home games as they beat Real Valladolid (3:0) and Real Betis (2:0). One of the most important things is that they haven't conceded at home, and they have conceded only a total of 2 goals. Real has created an xG of 10 in La Liga, xGA is 3.8 with a difference of +6.2.
Stuttgart has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss after 3 Bundesliga games. Stuttgart drew at home against Mainz (3:3), lost to Freiburg (1:3) on the road and beat Gladbach (3:1) on the road. The last win was impressive but the xG difference wasn't very big so a tighter score would have been more appropriate. On the other hand, in their only draw, Stuttgart's xG was much better. If we look at xG stats after 3 games, Stuttgart has created xG of 6.3, xGA is 6.0 with a difference of +0.3.
Jude Bellingham hasn't played since the first game of the season but he's training with the team and he could be back on Tuesday. The same can be said about Aurelien Tchouameni who hasn't played since September 1. Brahim Diaz was forced off early at the weekend and is set to be out for around eight weeks with a muscle injury, while Eduardo Camavinga and Dani Ceballos are set to be back at the end of the month. As for Stuttgart, Ameen Al Dakhil is yet to make his Stuttgart debut as he recovers from an injury suffered at his time with Burnley, but fellow defender Leonidas Stergiou is closing in on a return from a back issue. Nikolas Nartey and Frans Kratzig are not likely to return until October.
I'm backing Real Madrid in this game. They are a much better team and they can't afford to lose at home. From this season, a different Champions League format is being played and this is the only meeting between both teams. Every game is more important than in previous seasons and getting 3 points at home against weaker teams is a must. Kylian Mbappe will make the Champions League debut in Real jersey and he should be locked in.
欧洲冠军联赛又回来了!周二晚上,我们将开始新赛季,其中一场比赛将是皇马和斯图加特之间的比赛。在这场比赛中,我预测皇马会以至少2球的优势获胜。
5轮过后,皇马在西甲取得3胜2平的战绩。这支球队本赛季在客场意外战平马洛卡(1:1),他们也没能在客场击败拉斯帕尔马斯(1:1)。周六,皇家马德里队客场击败皇家社会队(2:0)。皇马在两场主场比赛中都取得了胜利,他们分别击败了皇家巴利亚多利德(3:0)和皇家贝蒂斯(2:0)。最重要的一点是他们在主场没有丢球,他们总共只丢了2个球。皇马在西甲创造的xG值为10,xGA值为3.8,两者相差6.2。
斯图加特在3场德甲比赛中取得了1胜1平1负的成绩。斯图加特主场战平美因茨(3:3),客场负于弗赖堡(1:3),客场战胜格拉德巴赫(3:1)。最后一场胜利令人印象深刻,但xG差异不是很大,所以更严格的分数可能更合适。另一方面,在他们唯一的平局中,斯图加特的xG要好得多。如果我们看3场比赛后的xG数据,斯图加特的xG是6.3,xGA是6.0,相差0.3。
贝灵汉自本赛季第一场比赛后就没有出场,但他正在随队训练,可能会在周二复出。同样的情况也适用于自9月1日以来就没有出场的奥雷连·楚亚梅尼。布拉希姆·迪亚兹在周末早些时候被迫下场,由于肌肉受伤,他将缺席大约8周的比赛,而爱德华多·卡马文加和达尼·塞巴略斯将在月底回归。至于斯图加特,达克希尔还没有在斯图加特上演处子秀,因为他正在从在伯恩利的伤病中恢复,但他的后卫队友斯特吉乌即将从背部伤病中复出。纳尔泰和克拉齐格要到10月份才可能复出。
这场比赛我支持皇家马德里队。他们是一支更好的球队,他们输不起主场比赛。从本赛季开始,欧洲冠军联赛将采用不同的赛制,这是两支球队唯一的一次交锋。每场比赛都比前几个赛季更重要,在主场对阵弱队时拿到3分是必须的。基利安·姆巴佩将在冠军联赛中首次亮相皇马球衣,他应该被锁定。