On Sunday night, 5 games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and I will talk about the last match between Monza and Inter. After 3 games, Monza has 2 draws, 1 loss, a total of 2 points and 15th position while Inter has 2 wins, 1 draw, a total of 7 points and 1st position. In this game, I predict Inter's win.

Monza's start of the season isn't the best. They had a draw in the 1st match on the road but their created xG was only 0.34. At home, Monza lost to Genoa despite having 70% ball control. Before the break, Monza drew 2:2 against Fiorentina on the road. It was a lucky draw for them because Fiorentina's xG was 2.07 while they had only 0.30 and there was a huge shot difference - 4 vs 18. Monza struggles to create moments as their xG rating is 1.9, xGA is 4.00 with a difference of -2.1.

Inter drew the 1st match of the season and it was on the road against Genoa - 2:2. Inter got the lead in the 82nd minute, and they also defended a penalty shot in the 95th minute but just a few seconds later Genoa scored and tied the game. After that, Inter got 2 good home victories - at first, it was 2:0 over Lecce and before the break, the team ran over Atalanta 4:0. Inter has created an xG of 5.5 after 3 games, xGA is at 3.7 with a difference of +1.8.

Of course, Inter has a Champions League game next week so they could make some roster changes but I'm still going with them. First of all, they are a much better team and they need positive emotions before traveling to Manchester. Secondly, they have won the last 2 meetings, including a 5:1 win on the road. While Monza will be looking for the 1st win of the season, Inter is more talented and they can't afford to lose points against 2nd-tier teams.

周日晚上，意甲将有5场比赛，我将谈论蒙扎和国米之间的最后一场比赛。经过3场比赛，蒙扎2平1负，积2分，排名第15，而国米2胜1平，积7分，排名第1。在这场比赛中，我预测国米会赢。

蒙扎的赛季开局并不是最好的。他们在客场的第一场比赛中取得了平局，但他们创造的xG只有0.34。在主场，蒙扎虽然控球率达到70%，但还是输给了热那亚。中场休息前，蒙扎客场2:2战平佛罗伦萨。这对他们来说是一个幸运的平局，因为佛罗伦萨的xG是2.07，而他们只有0.30，而且射门差距很大——4比18。蒙扎很难创造瞬间，他们的xG值是1.9,xGA值是4.00，差值是-2.1。

国米在本赛季的第一场比赛中与热那亚打成平局，比分是2:2。国际米兰在第82分钟取得领先，他们在第95分钟也防守了一个点球，但几秒钟后热那亚进球并将比赛打成平局。在那之后，国米取得了两场主场胜利——一开始是2:0战胜莱切，中场休息前，球队4:0战胜亚特兰大。国际米兰在3场比赛后创造了5.5的xG, xGA是3.7，两者相差1.8。

当然，国米下周有一场欧冠比赛，所以他们可能会做出一些调整，但我仍然会和他们一起去。首先，他们是一支更好的球队，他们在前往曼彻斯特之前需要积极的情绪。其次，他们在最近两次交锋中都取得了胜利，其中包括客场5:1的胜利。当蒙扎在寻找本赛季的第一场胜利时，国米更有天赋，他们不能在面对二流球队时丢分。