Who is the favorite in the Derby? 英超 热刺VS阿森纳
2024-09-15

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Arsenal may enter the match as slight favorites, but there are several reasons why Tottenham can not only hold their own but potentially come away with a win or at least a draw. With key injuries on both sides and the game being played at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Spurs have a real opportunity to cause an upset against their bitter rivals.

Under new manager Ange Postecoglou, Tottenham have adopted a more aggressive, high-pressing style that has already shown flashes of promise. While Spurs have only claimed four points from their first three matches, their performances have been encouraging, with long spells of dominance in games against tough opponents like Newcastle and Leicester. The main issue for Tottenham has been their inefficiency in the final third, but with players like Son Heung-min and Dejan Kulusevski available to lead the attack, there’s no reason to believe they can’t find the back of the net against Arsenal’s defense.

Son, in particular, has a history of delivering big performances in the North London Derby, and if he can link up well with Maddison and Kulusevski, Tottenham have the firepower to trouble Arsenal’s backline. Maddison has already settled into the team quickly, and his creativity in the number 10 role could be vital in unlocking an Arsenal defense that will likely try to sit deep and hit Spurs on the counter.

Tottenham’s own midfield and defense have shown signs of improvement under Postecoglou. Yves Bissouma has been a standout performer so far this season, providing energy and defensive cover in the middle of the park. His ability to win back possession and distribute the ball effectively will be crucial in helping Tottenham disrupt Arsenal’s rhythm.

In defense, Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven will be tasked with keeping Arsenal’s forward line at bay. Both center-backs have the physicality and tactical awareness to deal with Arsenal’s attacking threat. Additionally, the return of Van de Ven, who missed Tottenham’s last match before the international break, could be a huge boost for Spurs. With Arsenal missing key players in midfield, Tottenham’s defense could find themselves under less pressure than usual, allowing them to hold a compact shape and keep the game tight.

Mikel Arteta’s side will be without their captain and playmaker Martin Odegaard, who picked up an ankle injury during international duty with Norway. Odegaard has been a key figure in Arsenal’s attack, and his absence will severely impact the Gunners' ability to control the game and create chances.

Additionally, Arsenal will also be without Declan Rice, who is suspended for this match. Rice has quickly become one of Arsenal’s most important players since his summer move from West Ham, bringing defensive solidity and leadership to the midfield.

Without these two key figures, Arsenal’s midfield is significantly weakened, and it remains to be seen if the likes of Jorginho or Thomas Partey can fill the void effectively. The absence of such vital players in the middle of the park could lead to Arsenal struggling to maintain their usual high levels of possession and control. Tottenham’s midfield, led by Yves Bissouma and James Maddison, could exploit this vulnerability by controlling the tempo and pushing Arsenal onto the back foot.

Despite Arsenal’s strong start to the season, their defense hasn’t been impenetrable. The Gunners have allowed goals in two of their first three games, and Tottenham could capitalize on any defensive lapses. With Mikel Merino still out and Jurrien Timber only recently returning from injury, Arsenal’s defense isn’t at full strength either. This could give Tottenham’s attacking players the opportunity to test Arsenal's backline and create goal-scoring chances.

Moreover, Arsenal’s defensive line will be up against Tottenham’s pace and directness, which could cause problems. Tottenham are known for their ability to break quickly in transition, and if Arsenal are caught out of position, Spurs could exploit the spaces left in behind. Players like Kulusevski and Son thrive in these situations, and with Maddison pulling the strings from midfield, Tottenham could hurt Arsenal on the counter-attack.

While Arsenal come into the game as favorites based on their recent form and their dominant performances in previous derbies, this North London Derby feels more evenly balanced than it might appear on paper. With Arsenal missing key players like Odegaard and Rice, Tottenham have a real chance to exploit those weaknesses, especially in midfield. Add to that the home advantage and the energy that Postecoglou’s pressing style brings, and Spurs could very well come away with a positive result.

Tottenham have the tools to hurt Arsenal, and if they can be more clinical in front of goal than they have been in previous games, a win or at least a draw is well within their grasp. In a derby known for its unpredictability and drama, Spurs have every reason to believe they can rise to the occasion and either win or secure a valuable point against their archrivals.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿森纳可能会以微弱的优势进入比赛,但有几个原因可以解释为什么热刺不仅可以保持自己的地位,而且有可能赢得一场胜利,或者至少是一场平局。由于双方都有严重的伤病,而且比赛将在热刺球场进行,热刺有一个真正的机会来对他们的死敌进行翻盘。

在新任主帅波斯特科格洛的带领下,热刺采用了更具侵略性、高压进攻的风格,这种风格已经显示出了一线希望。虽然热刺在前三场比赛中只拿到4分,但他们的表现令人鼓舞,在对阵纽卡斯尔和莱斯特城这样的强敌时,他们长期占据统治地位。热刺的主要问题是他们在最后三分之一的效率低下,但有像孙兴慜和德扬·库卢塞夫斯基这样的球员可以领导进攻,没有理由相信他们在阿森纳的防守下找不到球门。

尤其是孙兴慜,他在北伦敦德比中有着出色的表现,如果他能与麦迪森和库卢塞夫斯基配合得很好,热刺就有能力给阿森纳的后防线制造麻烦。麦迪森已经很快融入了球队,他在10号位置上的创造力对于打开阿森纳的防线至关重要,阿森纳可能会试图坐得更深,并在反击中打击热刺。

在波斯特科格洛的带领下,热刺的中场和后防线都有了改善的迹象。伊夫·比苏马本赛季至今表现出色,在中场提供了能量和防守掩护。他夺回控球权和有效分配球权的能力对于帮助热刺打破阿森纳的节奏至关重要。

在防守端,克里斯蒂安·罗梅罗和米奇·范德文将负责牵制阿森纳的锋线。这两名中后卫都有身体素质和战术意识来应对阿森纳的进攻威胁。此外,错过了热刺国际比赛日前最后一场比赛的范德文的回归可能会对热刺产生巨大的推动作用。由于阿森纳中场核心球员的缺阵,热刺的后防线可能会发现自己承受的压力比平时要小,这使他们能够保持紧凑的阵型,保持比赛的紧张。

米克尔·阿尔特塔的球队将失去队长兼组织者马丁·奥德加德,他在与挪威的国际比赛中脚踝受伤。奥德加德一直是阿森纳进攻的关键人物,他的缺席将严重影响枪手控制比赛和创造机会的能力。

此外,阿森纳也将失去德克兰·赖斯,他将在本场比赛中停赛。自从夏天从西汉姆联转会到阿森纳后,赖斯迅速成为阿森纳最重要的球员之一,为中场带来了稳固的防守和领导能力。

没有了这两位关键人物,阿森纳的中场将会被大大削弱,若日尼奥或托马斯·帕特这样的球员能否有效地填补这一空白还有待观察。中场缺少这些关键球员可能会导致阿森纳难以保持他们一贯的高控球率和控制力。热刺的中场在伊夫·比苏马和詹姆斯·麦迪森的带领下,可以利用这个弱点来控制节奏,把阿森纳逼到后场。

尽管阿森纳本赛季开局强劲,但他们的防守并非坚不可摧。枪手在前三场比赛中有两场失球,热刺可以利用任何防守失误。由于米克尔·梅里诺仍然缺阵,尤尔里安·图尔最近才伤愈复出,阿森纳的后防线也不是全线。这将给热刺的进攻球员一个考验阿森纳后防线并创造进球机会的机会。

此外,阿森纳的后防线将面对热刺的速度和直接,这可能会造成问题。热刺以其快速突破的能力而闻名,如果阿森纳失去位置,热刺可以利用留下的空间。像库卢塞夫斯基和孙兴慜这样的球员在这种情况下表现出色,而麦迪森在中场的操纵,热刺可以在反击中伤害阿森纳。

虽然阿森纳最近的状态和他们在之前德比中的统治表现让他们成为比赛的热门,但这场北伦敦德比比看起来更加均衡。由于阿森纳缺少像奥德加德和赖斯这样的关键球员,热刺有机会利用他们的弱点,尤其是在中场。再加上主场优势和波斯特科格洛的压迫风格带来的能量,热刺很可能会取得一个积极的结果。

热刺有办法打击阿森纳,

如果他们能在门前比之前的比赛更加冷静,一场胜利或者至少一场平局就在他们的掌握之中。在一场以不可预测和戏剧性著称的德比中,热刺有充分的理由相信他们能够在对阵死敌的比赛中获胜或获得宝贵的一分。

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