Surprise in the start? 首场会爆冷? 意大利vs土耳其
2021-06-11

Jarkko

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/12 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Alone the fact that this is the opening match in a big tournament makes a low-scoring draw always a thinkable option, but even it Italy have been good and solid and convincing for some time the same can be said about Turkey!

Italy are unbeaten in 27 games, since losing away in Portugal in 2018, but in comparison Turkey have lost only 3 times in their last 28 games.

Both teams have played mostly vs weaker teams, let us take a look at their matches vs these so called better teams during this run:

A draw with Portugal, and win and a draw with Netherlands, a win and a draw with Poland, a win and a draw with Bosnia. What is remarkable is that they do not concede goals, last team to score 2 or more vs Italy has been Argentina back in 2018 and there is no reason to see many goals on Friday night either.

The Italy team is strong, there is class, youth, experience, but is there a reliable striker to win the games? There is nothing wrong with Immobile, Chiesa,Berardi or Insigne, except that I do not trust any of them to score regularly on this level. Barella will be the likely man to run box to box and support the attack, but apart from legendary defender Chiellini Italy are surprisingly inexperienced on international level! Jorginho is in charge of holding the midfield, but he is vulnerable and predictable with his moves and turns.

Likely lineup: Donnarumma/Emerson-Chiellini-Bonucci-Florenzi/Locatelli-Jorginho/Barella/Insigne/Immobile/Chiesa

Turkey have a win and a draw over France, two draws with Serbia, draws with Germany and Croatia, win and a draw with Russia, a win over Netherlands! Surprisingly their losses have come vs weaker teams Hungary and Iceland over the last 3 years. The big difference is at the goals, as Turkey games seem to a high-scoring affairs and a 3-3 has not been a rarity.

In a match like this the importance of the first goal is massive, and perhaps it may never come? There are no surprises a either camp, there have always been a lot of Turkish players in Serie A (Calhanoglu at Milan, Demiral at Juventus now) but in this squad there are also new names and faces for the big audience, Caglar Söyüncü had a huge season at Leicester, there is Liverpool's Kabak, a title-winning duo Celik and Yilmaz(well, team captain, not new face at 35) from Lille, and in general all positions are well filled, unless there are bad injuries for the players at the wings.

Likely lineup:

Cakir/Celik-Demiral-Söyüncü-Meras/Tufan-Youkuslu/Yazici-Calhanoglu-Karaman/Yilmaz.

It will be a game of chess, of two masterminds Mancini and Gunes, a battle of midfield between Jorginho and Calhanoglu.

I see this as a lot more even as the markets do.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

事实上,这揭幕战的比赛,低分的平局总是一个可以考虑的选择,但即使是意大利在一段时间内一直表现得很好,很稳固,令人信服,土耳其也可以这样说!

自2018年输给葡萄牙以来,意大利在27场比赛中保持不败,但相比之下,土耳其在过去的28场比赛中只输了3场。

两支球队都经常和较弱的球队比赛,让我们来看看他们和所谓的较强的球队的比赛:

与葡萄牙战平,与荷兰战平,与波兰战平,与波黑战平。值得注意的是,他们没有失球,上一支对意大利进2球或更多的球队是2018年的阿根廷,周五晚上也没有理由看到很多进球。

意大利队是强大的,有阶级,年轻,经验,但有一个可靠的前锋赢得比赛?“不动”、“基耶萨”、“贝拉尔迪”和“因西内”都没有错,只是我不相信他们中的任何一个能在这个级别上正常得分。巴雷拉很有可能在禁区间跑动并支持进攻,但除了传奇后卫基耶利尼,意大利在国际比赛中令人惊讶地缺乏经验!乔吉尼奥负责控制中场,但他的跑动和转身易受攻击。

土耳其1胜1平法国,2平塞尔维亚,战平德国和克罗地亚,1胜1平俄罗斯,1胜荷兰!令人惊讶的是,他们在过去的3年里输给了实力较弱的匈牙利队和冰岛队。最大的不同在于进球,因为土耳其的比赛似乎是一个高得分事件,3-3并不罕见。

在这样一场比赛中,第一个进球的重要性是巨大的,也许它永远不会出现?没有惊喜一个阵营,一直有很多土耳其球员在意甲(Demiral Calhanoglu在米兰,尤文图斯现在)但在这个球队也有新名字和脸大的观众,卡Soyuncu在莱斯特一个巨大的赛季,利物浦的卡巴科,获得冠军的侯赛因和Yilmaz(好吧,队长,不是来自里尔的新面孔,一般来说,所有的位置都有很好的替补,除非边路球员有严重的伤病。

竞彩选择土耳其不败。

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