Who wins Friday's game in La Liga?
2024-09-13

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

It’s time for Betis to finally secure their first win of the La Liga season. Betis has a strong squad that should be aiming for at least a top-six finish. They also possess enough depth to compete across three competitions (Copa del Rey, La Liga, and the Conference League) and make deep runs in each.

This squad depth is especially important right now, as some players will return late due to the international break. Players like Ricardo Rodriguez, Abde, and Vitor Roque are expected back by Wednesday, though only Vitor Roque is likely to be starter this season. Two others, Cardoso and new signing Lo Celso—who is expected to play a key role this season—will return by Thursday, meaning they'll only have one training session before the game and surely will be reserves here.

Nevertheless, Betis should have no trouble covering for them with their deep roster. Players like Chimy Ávila, Rubial (who has recently been playing as a false nine), Fornals, or Juanmi can step in without compromising quality. Unfortunately, their star player, Isco, is out with a long-term injury.

After three rounds, Betis remains winless in La Liga, but it's important to note they faced tough opponents (Real Madrid and Girona), while their draw against Alaves (0-0) was rather unlucky. Betis created plenty of chances, generating 1.37 expected goals (xG), while only conceding 0.12 xG.

Betis now faces three crucial home games against teams likely to battle relegation (Leganes, Getafe, and Mallorca). This is a great opportunity to collect points. For this match, Betis will also have a strong bench, with the returning international players (Lo Celso, Cardoso, Vitor Roque, and Abde) ready to make an impact if needed in the second half.

On the other hand, Leganes will likely approach this game defensively, trying to slow down the tempo and limit Betis’ chances. However, I think they’ll struggle. Despite performing decently so far, Leganes arguably has the weakest squad in the league. They did make a solid signing by bringing in Borussia Dortmund striker Sébastien Haller on loan, which should help.

Like Betis, Leganes also had players returning late from international duty, and due to the lack of training time, they won't be available for this match. Unlike Betis, though, Leganes lacks squad depth and quality replacements for these key players, such as Neyou, Tapia, Cissé, and Porozo—who are all expected starters.

After four rounds, Leganes has only lost once, to Mallorca, but their opponents so far haven’t been particularly strong: Osasuna (1-1), Las Palmas (2-1), Valladolid (0-0), and Mallorca (0-1). Betis will be their toughest challenge yet.

I expect Leganes to struggle on the road this season, especially due to their lack of firepower. Players like Juan Cruz and Haller will be key in counter-attacking situations, where Leganes will try to exploit any space left by Betis. Their defense will also be crucial, as they’ll aim to keep as many clean sheets as possible this season.

Leganes would likely be happy with a draw here, and I expect them to play for one. However, Betis has far more quality and depth, especially off the bench, to change the game. The hosts should dominate, and I expect them to finally secure their first league victory in this match.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

贝蒂斯是时候确保他们在西甲联赛的第一场胜利了。贝蒂斯拥有一支强大的阵容,目标至少是进入联赛前六。他们也有足够的深度在三个比赛中竞争(国王杯,西甲和联盟联赛),并在每个比赛中都取得长足的进步。

阵容的深度现在尤其重要,因为一些球员将会因为国际比赛日而推迟归队。像里卡多·罗德里格斯、阿卜德和维托·罗克这样的球员预计将在周三回归,尽管本赛季只有维托·罗克有可能成为首发球员。另外两名球员,卡多索和新签入的洛·塞尔索——预计将在本赛季扮演关键角色——将在周四之前回归,这意味着他们在比赛前只有一次训练,而且肯定会成为预备队。

然而,贝蒂斯应该没有问题,他们的深度阵容。像Chimy Ávila, Rubial(他最近一直是假九号),forals或者Juanmi这样的球员可以在不影响质量的情况下介入。不幸的是,他们的明星球员伊斯科因长期伤病缺阵。

三轮过后,贝蒂斯在西甲仍未取得胜利,但值得注意的是,他们面对的是强大的对手(皇家马德里和赫罗纳),而他们与阿拉维斯的平局(0-0)相当不走运。贝蒂斯创造了大量的机会,产生了1.37个预期进球(xG),而失球仅为0.12个。

贝蒂斯现在面临三场关键的主场比赛,对手是可能保级的球队(莱加内斯、赫塔菲和马洛卡)。这是一个收集积分的好机会。对于这场比赛,贝蒂斯也将有一个强大的板凳,回归的国际球员(洛塞尔索,卡多佐,维托罗克和阿比德)准备在下半场发挥作用。

另一方面,莱加内斯很可能会在这场比赛中防守,试图放慢节奏,限制贝蒂斯的机会。然而,我认为他们会挣扎。尽管到目前为止表现不错,但莱加内斯的阵容可以说是联赛中最弱的。通过租借多特蒙德前锋哈勒,他们确实签下了一名可靠的球员,这应该会有所帮助。

和贝蒂斯一样,莱加内斯也有球员从国家队比赛中晚回来,由于缺乏训练时间,他们将无法参加这场比赛。然而,与贝蒂斯不同的是,莱加内斯缺乏阵容深度和高质量的替补球员,比如内尤、塔皮亚、西塞格尔和波罗佐,他们都是预期的首发球员。

4轮过后,莱加内斯只输给了马略卡,但他们的对手到目前为止都不是特别强大:奥萨苏纳(1-1)、拉斯帕尔马斯(2-1)、巴利亚多利德(0-0)和马略卡(0-1)。贝蒂斯将是他们最艰难的挑战。

我预计莱加内斯本赛季会在客场挣扎,特别是因为他们缺乏火力。像胡安·克鲁兹和哈勒这样的球员将是反击的关键,莱加内斯将试图利用贝蒂斯留下的任何空间。他们的防守也将是至关重要的,因为他们的目标是本赛季尽可能多地保持零封。

莱加内斯很可能会对平局感到高兴,我希望他们为一场平局而战。然而,贝蒂斯有更多的质量和深度,特别是在板凳上,改变比赛。东道主应该占据统治地位,我希望他们最终能在这场比赛中获得他们的第一场联赛胜利。

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