Both teams come into this match in good form and with confidence, but I see Germany as the stronger side.
The Netherlands had a good EURO, although they left some doubts in the games against Austria (where they lost 2-3) and in the narrow 2-1 victory over Turkey, where they had to make a comeback in the second half. They were then totally outplayed by a very weak England side, which had an awful tournament, in my opinion, given their potential.
In this tournament, the Netherlands are bringing a similar squad to the one they had at the EURO, including one of the best players in the tournament (Gakpo) and others who have been brilliant for the national team, like Xavi Simons. However, Simons played 90 minutes against Bosnia three days ago, so it’s very possible we’ll see him on the bench today. Gakpo played 66 minutes. Other starters and key players also played 90 minutes, so we could see some rotation today: de Ligt, van Dijk, Reijnders, and others.
But Germany will be a different story. In my view, Germany is one of the best teams in Europe, and they showed that during the EURO. For me, they were the best team in the tournament alongside Spain, who beat them in a very tight game that could have gone either way.
Without Toni Kroos, I believe Germany might see a slight dip in their level, but they have plenty of alternatives to replace him. Like the Netherlands, Germany has a very strong attack. Many players are a class above and in great form: Musiala (1 goal and 3 assists against Hungary), Havertz (1 goal against Hungary and 2 goals in three games with Arsenal), and Wirtz (1 goal and 1 assist against Hungary, with 2 goals and brilliant performances for Bayer Leverkusen so far). All of them are in excellent form with their clubs and showed their quality in the game against Hungary.
The main difference I see between the Netherlands and Germany is in the midfield and defense. While both teams have similarly strong attacks, Germany is stronger in midfield and defense, able to control the game and limit chances for the opposition. They outplayed and beat Hungary 5-0, which is a stronger team than Bosnia. Germany looked hungry and very solid in that match.
Some key players played 90 minutes in that game: Kimmich, Musiala, Wirtz, and Havertz. But others, like Fullkrug, the young debutant Pavlovic (who also scored a goal), and Andrich, played only a few minutes, so it’s possible we’ll see the starters today.
Germany is missing Gundogan, Rudiger, and Sane for these matches, but I still expect an open game where they are favorites. It will be crucial to maintain a solid defense and be effective up front. I don't fully trust the Netherlands’ defense, while I see more individual quality on the German side in attack. In their last friendly in March, Germany won 2-1, and it was a deserved victory.
两支球队都带着良好的状态和信心进入这场比赛,但我认为德国更强大。
荷兰队在欧洲杯上表现不错,尽管他们在对阵奥地利的比赛中(以2比3输掉了比赛)和2比1险胜土耳其的比赛中留下了一些疑问,但他们不得不在下半场卷土重来。然后他们完全被非常弱的英格兰队击败,在我看来,考虑到他们的潜力,这是一场糟糕的比赛。
本届世界杯,荷兰队的阵容与他们在欧洲杯上的阵容相似,包括本届世界杯上最好的球员之一(加普)和其他在国家队表现出色的球员,比如哈维·西蒙斯。然而,西蒙斯在三天前对阵波斯尼亚的比赛中打了90分钟,所以今天我们很有可能看到他坐在替补席上。嘉浦打了66分钟。其他首发球员和关键球员也打满了90分钟,所以我们今天可以看到一些轮换:德赖特、范迪克、赖金德斯和其他人。
但德国将是另一番景象。在我看来,德国队是欧洲最好的球队之一,他们在欧洲杯期间证明了这一点。对我来说,他们和西班牙一起是本届杯赛中最好的球队,西班牙在一场势均力敌的比赛中击败了他们。
没有托尼·克罗斯,我相信德国队的水平可能会略有下降,但他们有很多替代他的人选。和荷兰一样,德国也有很强的攻击力。很多球员都比他们高一个级别,状态也很好:穆西亚拉(对阵匈牙利1球3助攻),哈弗茨(对阵匈牙利1球,对阵阿森纳3场2球),还有维尔茨(对阵匈牙利1球1助攻,目前为勒沃库森效力2球,表现出色)。他们在俱乐部的状态都很好,在对匈牙利的比赛中也展示了自己的实力。
我认为荷兰队和德国队的主要区别在于中场和后防线。虽然两支球队的进攻同样强大,但德国队在中场和防守方面更强,能够控制比赛并限制对手的机会。他们以5比0战胜了比波黑更强的匈牙利队。在那场比赛中,德国队看起来很饥渴,也很稳定。
一些关键球员在那场比赛中打了90分钟:金米奇、穆西亚拉、维尔茨和哈弗茨。但其他人,如富勒克鲁格,年轻的首次亮相的巴甫洛维奇(他也进了一个球)和安德烈奇,只打了几分钟,所以我们今天可能会看到首发球员。
德国在这些比赛中缺少京多安、吕迪格和萨内,但我仍然期待一场开放的比赛,他们是最受欢迎的球员。保持坚实的防守和有效的前场将是至关重要的。我不完全信任荷兰队的防守,而我看到德国队在进攻端有更多的个人能力。在3月份的最后一场友谊赛中,德国队以2比1获胜,这是一场应得的胜利。