Difference in player class? 欧国联 土耳其VS冰岛
2024-09-09

Jarkko

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Turkey started its journey in the Nations League with a 0-0 draw away at Wales. A draw was an acceptable result for a team that could have enough material to play in the Nations League's A series. Turkey ruined the summer in the EC tournament, and their own group in the Nations League is not too difficult compared to Turkey's level. At home, Turkey is a famously strong team, which is supported by fanatical fans from the beginning to the end of the match. In the away game they lost the xG rather badly, but at home they are a different animal!

Everyone knows Turkey's potential, and the team is becoming a regular visitor to the EC and World Championships. On their home field, the team plays aggressively, and they should find more power now that Iceland is up against them. With a win, it is possible to grab the top spot in the group, which would be a good start in the Nations League for a team aiming to move up to the A series.

The Turks have 7 times the value of Iceland in the player market values, and if you look at the list you will recognize a dozen of world class players from European top teams:


Less than a decade ago, Iceland was on the lips of the world following football, when the team played itself into the European Championship and the World Cup, and a real boom had been started from the small country. Little by little, the results have weakened, and Iceland have not made it to the finals anymore. The trend has been downward for a longer time, and the team has no competitive advantage over its biggest competitors. Iceland team started this Nations League with a handsome 2-0 home win over Montenegro, however, the xG shows that it is a flattering result, both teams created less than 1 goal worth of xG. Some spectators said Montenegro dominated the game, but unfortunately, I have not had time to witness it myself.

Iceland has been a cautious and weak team away from home, in international matches the team lost 0-1 to England and 0-4 to Holland in June. Away goals have been hard to find, and the team's energy is consumed by strong defense and running after the ball. Away from home, the team's goal expectation is really low, and against Turkey, the team will have to defend for long periods deep in their own area. Other than an away loss, it would be a major surprise.

The Icelandic team is valued at 50 million euros, the biggest stars are attacking players, but they are unlikely to have any chances tonight in Izmir.


The teams haven't met each other in almost five years, so the teams have changed a lot since the previous meetings. Turkey is a class or two stronger than Iceland, and on their home field, Turkey should be able to create the necessary threat against a country of Iceland's level. As a game idea, Turkey's home victory rears its head, the team is strong on the offensive end and in special situations, which should ultimately also be visible on the scoreboard after the match is over.

Personally, I give Iceland no chance here, but as it is football keep your stakes moderate.

Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

土耳其以客场0-0战平威尔士开始了他们的国家联赛之旅。对于一支有足够实力参加美国甲级联赛的球队来说,平局是可以接受的结果。土耳其在欧锦赛上毁了这个夏天,他们自己在国家联赛中的小组与土耳其的水平相比并不太难。在主场,土耳其是一支出了名的强队,从比赛开始到结束都有狂热的球迷支持。在客场比赛中,他们输得很惨,但在主场他们完全是另一种动物!

每个人都知道土耳其的潜力,这支球队正在成为欧锦赛和世锦赛的常客。在他们的主场,球队打得很有侵略性,他们应该找到更多的力量,因为冰岛是他们的对手。如果取得一场胜利,他们就有可能夺得小组头名,这对于一支希望进入a级联赛的球队来说,将是一个良好的开端。

土耳其的球员市场价值是冰岛的7倍,如果你看一下这份名单,你会发现很多来自欧洲顶级球队的世界级球员:


不到十年前,冰岛还是世界关注足球的热门话题,这支球队凭借自己的实力打入了欧洲杯和世界杯,一个真正的繁荣从这个小国开始。结果一点一点地变弱了,冰岛再也没有进入决赛。这种下降趋势已经持续了很长一段时间,与最大的竞争对手相比,车队没有竞争优势。冰岛队在本次国家联赛中以主场2比0大胜黑山队,然而,xG显示出这是一个令人高兴的结果,两队创造的xG都不到1个进球。一些观众说黑山在比赛中占据了主导地位,但不幸的是,我没有时间亲眼目睹。

冰岛在客场一直是一支谨慎而软弱的球队,在六月份的国际比赛中,他们分别以0比1和0比4输给了英格兰和荷兰。客场进球很难找到,球队的精力被强大的防守和追球消耗了。在客场,球队的进球期望真的很低,而对阵土耳其,球队将不得不长时间在自己的区域深处防守。除了客场失利,这将是一个重大的惊喜。

这支冰岛球队价值5000万欧元,最大牌的球星都是进攻球员,但他们今晚在伊兹密尔不太可能有任何机会。


这两支球队已经有近五年没有见面了,所以自从上次见面以来,这两支球队发生了很大的变化。土耳其比冰岛强一两个级别,在他们的主场,土耳其应该能够对冰岛这样一个级别的国家造成必要的威胁。作为一个游戏理念,土耳其的主场胜利让人印象深刻,球队在进攻端和特殊情况下都很强大,这最终也应该在比赛结束后的记分牌上体现出来。

就我个人而言,我不看好冰岛队,但因为这是足球,所以你的赌注要适度。

好运!

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