Who is favorite today? 欧国联 格鲁吉亚VS捷克
2024-09-07

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Georgia’s debut in the continental tournament was remarkable—despite low expectations, they secured a historic win against Portugal and immediately advanced to the playoffs. Though their dream ended in the round of 16, they were eliminated by one of the eventual champions, despite the lopsided scoreline.

Upon their return from Germany, the team was welcomed by thousands of fans in their homeland. Now, those same supporters will fill the stands in Tbilisi, providing a crucial advantage.

Georgia struggled defensively during the EURO, but Giorgi Mamardashvili often compensated for these shortcomings with stellar goalkeeping. He was quick and reliable in goal, but the same defensive issues remain.

Still, the team looks very strong. Georges Mikautadze, who netted three goals and shared the EURO Golden Boot with six others, is set to feature in the upcoming Nations League matches. Another star, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, has also been called up. The Napoli winger has already recorded a goal and an assist in just three Serie A matches this season.

It’s important to highlight how much the home crowd boosts Georgia’s performance—since November 2021, they’ve lost just one game, against Spain. Out of the remaining 12 matches, they won eight, including a penalty shootout victory over Greece.

A reminder: Georgia and the Czech Republic met in the group stage at Euro 2024 in Germany, and the match ended in a 1-1 draw. It could have gone differently, as Mamardashvili made 11 saves that day. However, Georgia had their own chances and could deliver a similar performance in Tbilisi, particularly in attack.

I find it hard to imagine the Czech Republic winning this match. Their EURO campaign was unimpressive—lacking creativity, cohesion, and even basic passing accuracy. Yes, they have talented players like Hložek, Schick, and Souček, but they aren’t in great form.

Since reaching the quarterfinals in 2021, the Czech Republic has been underwhelming. Finishing fourth in their group, far from contention, was a failure. Their only point came from the draw with Georgia. While they weren’t terrible, they missed opportunities against both Turkey and Portugal. In the decisive match against Turkey, an early red card crippled them, and against Portugal, they were simply worn down, losing their 1-0 lead in the second half.

To make matters worse, the Czech Republic will be without their main defender and goalkeeper. Jindřich Staněk is still recovering from the injury he picked up at the EURO. In his absence, Matej Kovář from Bayer Leverkusen is expected to start in goal. Right before the national team games, Tomáš Holeš picked up an injury after playing the full 90 minutes in Germany. Another Slavia Prague player, Tomáš Vlček, has been sidelined since July.

Under the current coaching staff, their only notable away win came in March, when they beat Norway in a friendly. Their performances in competitive away games have been poor. In Euro 2024 qualifying, the only team they managed to beat on the road was the Faroe Islands, 3-0. Aside from Poland, Albania and Moldova were also in that group.

Georgia has proven to be a tough opponent, especially at home. In their last 13 matches, they’ve only lost to Spain. Euro 2024 was a disappointment for the Czech Republic, and with the same coaching staff in place, it’s not just the players who need to improve. The challenges ahead will be significant. The Czechs have struggled away from home, as evidenced by their limited number of victories.

It will be tough to break down a confident Georgia side. For me, the hosts are the clear choice here, with a strong attack and the backing of their passionate home crowd.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

格鲁吉亚在美洲杯上的首次亮相非常引人注目——尽管人们对他们的期望很低,但他们还是历史性地战胜了葡萄牙,并立即进入了季后赛。虽然他们的梦想在16强结束,但他们被最终的冠军之一淘汰,尽管比分不平衡。

从德国回来后,这支球队在祖国受到了数千名球迷的欢迎。现在,同样是这些支持者将在第比利斯的看台上坐满,这是一个至关重要的优势。

格鲁吉亚在欧洲杯期间防守不佳,但马马达什维利经常用出色的门将弥补这些缺点。他的进球速度很快,也很可靠,但同样的防守问题依然存在。

尽管如此,这支球队看起来还是很强大。米考塔泽打入三球,并与其他六人分享了欧洲金靴,他将在即将到来的国家联赛中出场。另一名球星克维查·克瓦拉茨斯卡利亚也被征召入伍。这位那不勒斯边锋本赛季仅在三场意甲比赛中就取得了1球1助攻的成绩。

重要的是要强调主场观众对格鲁吉亚的表现有多大的推动作用,自2021年11月以来,他们只输过一场比赛,对阵西班牙。在剩下的12场比赛中,他们赢了8场,包括点球大战战胜希腊。

提醒一下:格鲁吉亚和捷克在2024年德国欧洲杯小组赛中相遇,比赛以1比1战平。比赛本来可以有不同的结果,因为马马达什维利当天进行了11次扑救。然而,格鲁吉亚也有自己的机会,他们在第比利斯也有类似的表现,尤其是在进攻端。

我很难想象捷克会赢得这场比赛。他们的欧洲杯表现平平——缺乏创造力、凝聚力,甚至连基本的传球准确性都没有。是的,他们有像Hložek, Schick和sou<e:1> ek这样的天才球员,但是他们的状态不是很好。

自2021年进入四分之一决赛以来,捷克一直表现平平。他们在小组中排名第四,远离竞争,这是一次失败。他们唯一的一分来自与格鲁吉亚的平局。虽然他们并不糟糕,但他们在对阵土耳其和葡萄牙的比赛中都错失了机会。在与土耳其的决定性比赛中,他们早早就被红牌击倒,而在与葡萄牙的比赛中,他们更是精疲力竭,在下半场丢掉了0 - 1的领先优势。

更糟糕的是,捷克将失去他们的主要后卫和门将。Jindřich斯坦克还在从欧洲杯的伤病中恢复。在他缺席的情况下,勒沃库森的Matej Kovář有望成为首发门将。就在国家队比赛之前,Tomáš霍列什在德国打满90分钟后受伤。布拉格斯拉维亚队的另一名球员Tomáš vl<e:1> ek自7月以来一直缺阵。

在现任教练组的领导下,他们唯一一次引人注目的客场胜利是在今年3月,当时他们在友谊赛中击败了挪威。他们在竞争激烈的客场比赛中的表现一直很差。在2024年欧洲杯预选赛中,他们唯一在客场击败的球队是法罗群岛,比分是3-0。除波兰外,阿尔巴尼亚和摩尔多瓦也在该小组之列。

格鲁吉亚已经被证明是一个难以对付的对手,尤其是在主场。在过去的13场比赛中,他们只输给了西班牙。2024年欧洲杯对捷克来说是一场失望的比赛,在同样的教练组的情况下,需要提高的不仅仅是球员。未来的挑战将是巨大的。捷克队在客场表现不佳,他们有限的胜利证明了这一点。

要击溃自信的格鲁吉亚队是很难的。对我来说,东道主显然是最佳选择,他们有强大的进攻和热情的主场球迷的支持。

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