6/7 last WON in this league! 欧国联 冰岛VS黑山
2024-09-06

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Iceland VS Montenegro



Iceland welcome Montenegro for this UEFA Nations League League B round 1 battle at Laugardalsvöllur in Reykjavík, the capital of Iceland, early Saturday morning Beijing time. A clash of quite mediocre quality by this competition's standards is on the cards here. Iceland are in 71st place in the FIFA Ranking. This is slightly too low. Around 65-66th would be a more accurate place for them in this ranking. Montenegro currently occupy the 73rd place in the FIFA Ranking but should, in my expert opinion, be ranked 76th or 77th-best nationally in the world – with the best possible lineup, including the substitute players. Both countries are small in terms of population but are still decent football nations. Iceland have had more success in the past, for example beating England in the EURO 2016. Furthermore, they even qualified for the World Cup in 2018. Yes, they have undoubtedly declined from that level – and were quite lame some 3-4 years ago but have improved recently. They finished in 4th place in EURO 2024 Qualification Group J, taking a total of 10 points, one more than Bosnia & Herzegovina. Portugal topped the group and Slovakia finished 2nd – it was indeed a tough group.. In the EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Semifinal in March Iceland were strong and deservedly beat Israel, a dangerous opponent, 4-1 at a neutral location. Iceland recorded many more goal attempts and shots on goal but were pretty clear underdogs on the betting market.. The bookies should respect them more. Before crushing Israel, Iceland beat Honduras 1-0 in a friendly game in Florida, USA. In the EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final They pushed a strong team, Ukraine, well – as big underdogs – even taking an early lead. However, Ukraine – with many players in the top-5 leagues, scored two unanswered goals in the 2nd half. They deserved the narrow win but Iceland still performed well! In their last game Iceland traveled to the Netherlands. The Dutch, a top-10 team in the world, swept past Iceland at De Kuip in Rotterdam, winning 4-0 as very big favourites. However, before this Iceland defeated the EURO 2024 finalists, England, at Wembley Stadium in London 1-0 after a terrific defensive performance. They even recorded many more shots on goal than England! Both of these games were friendlies.


In front of their fans I see Iceland having a 52% chance of taking all three points. We must remember that the home advantage is almost always substantial! Montenegro finished in 3rd place in EURO 2024 Qualification G where a total of five countries played. They took 11 points and had a score difference of 9:11. However, I want to emphasize that the group was much easier than the group where Iceland played! Hungary won the group, followed by Serbia. Lithuania finished in 4th place and Bulgaria took 5th place. Both are very lame teams. Montenegro have lost two of their last matches. In their most recent match they suffered a defeat (1-3) to Georgia. Yes, Georgia, with some luck, qualified for the EURO 2024 Playoffs but at home Montenegro should have played better. The Georgians recorded 10 shots on goal – the hosts managed only three. Moreover, it was a friendly game and all of the Georgia players were not firing on all cylinders – avoiding injuries and fatigue ahead of the EURO 2024.. Before this Montenegro had very little chance in Belgium – losing 0-2. The hosts generated 2.89 in expected goals (xG), Montenegro managed 0.54. The Belgians were not "all in" in this friendly game, mainly for the same reasons as the Georgians. In March Montenegro managed to beat North Macedonia 1-0 at a neutral location, the opponent having 56% ball possession, many more goal attempts and one more shots on and off target. Montenegro did not impress me as a whole. Iceland's head coach Hareide did not spring any real surprises when it came to his squad for the team's next two games. It is expected to be a recognisable starting eleven for Friday's (local time) contest. A player to watch very closely here is  Orri Oskarsson, who plays his club football for a big Spanish team, Real Sociedad! The youngster has scored two goals in eight caps for the national side and is improving all the time.. Furthermore, Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson hit the winner against England In June and is an often underrated player.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

冰岛VS黑山



北京时间周六凌晨,在冰岛首都Reykjavík举行的欧足联联赛B轮第一轮比赛中,冰岛队将迎来黑山队。按照这次比赛的标准,一场质量相当平庸的冲突是有可能发生的。冰岛在国际足联排名中排名第71位。这个有点太低了。在这个排名中,大约65-66位是更准确的位置。黑山目前在国际足联排名中排名第73位,但在我的专业意见中,黑山应该在世界排名中排名第76位或第77位——拥有最好的阵容,包括替补球员。这两个国家的人口都很少,但仍然是不错的足球国家。冰岛在过去取得过更大的成功,比如在2016年欧洲杯上击败英格兰队。此外,他们甚至获得了2018年世界杯的参赛资格。是的,他们无疑已经从那个水平下降了——3-4年前相当蹩脚,但最近有所改善。他们在2024年欧洲杯预选赛J组中排名第四,总积10分,比波黑多1分。葡萄牙小组第一,斯洛伐克小组第二,这确实是一个艰难的小组。在今年3月举行的2024年欧洲杯预选赛半决赛中,冰岛实力强大,在中立场地以4比1击败了危险对手以色列,当之无愧。冰岛的进球次数和射门次数更多,但在博彩市场上,冰岛显然处于劣势。博彩公司应该更尊重他们。在击败以色列之前,冰岛在美国佛罗里达州的一场友谊赛中以1比0击败洪都拉斯。在2024年欧洲杯预选赛决赛中,他们击败了一支强大的球队,乌克兰队,尽管他们处于劣势,但他们甚至早早取得了领先。然而,拥有许多前五名联赛球员的乌克兰队在下半场打进了两个无人防守的进球。他们理应险胜,但冰岛仍然表现出色!在上一场比赛中,冰岛队来到了荷兰队。荷兰队是世界排名前十的球队,在鹿特丹的德库伊普球场横扫冰岛队,以4-0获胜,成为夺冠热门。然而,在此之前,冰岛凭借出色的防守表现,在伦敦温布利体育场以1比0击败了2024年欧洲杯决赛选手英格兰队。他们的射门次数甚至比英格兰还多!两场比赛都是友谊赛。


在他们的球迷面前,我认为冰岛队有52%的机会拿到全部三分。我们必须记住,主场优势几乎总是实质性的!在共有5个国家参加的2024年欧洲杯预选赛中,黑山获得了第三名。他们得了11分,比分相差9分11分。然而,我想强调的是,这个小组比冰岛队的小组要容易得多!匈牙利小组第一,塞尔维亚紧随其后。立陶宛排名第四,保加利亚排名第五。两支球队都很差劲。黑山在最近的比赛中输了两场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们以1-3输给了格鲁吉亚队。是的,格鲁吉亚运气不错,晋级2024年欧洲杯季后赛,但在主场,黑山应该表现得更好。格鲁吉亚人射门10次,东道主只射门3次。此外,这是一场友谊赛,所有格鲁吉亚球员都没有全力以赴——在2024年欧洲杯之前避免受伤和疲劳。在此之前,黑山在比利时的比赛中几乎没有机会——0-2输掉了比赛。东道主预期进球数为2.89个,黑山为0.54个。在这场友谊赛中,比利时人并没有全力以赴,主要原因与格鲁吉亚人相同。今年3月,黑山在一场中立的比赛中以1比0击败北马其顿,对手控球率为56%,进球次数更多,射门和脱靶次数也更多。黑山整体上并没有给我留下深刻的印象。当谈到球队接下来两场比赛的阵容时,冰岛主教练哈雷德并没有给球队带来任何真正的惊喜。预计在周五(当地时间)的比赛中,首发11人将会很有辨识度。这里要密切关注的一名球员是奥里·奥斯卡松,他效力于西班牙豪门球队皇家社会!这个年轻人代表国家队出场8次打进2球,而且一直在进步。此外,索尔斯坦松在6月对阵英格兰的比赛中打入制胜球,他是一名经常被低估的球员。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。