Iran VS Kyrgyzstan
Iran and Kyrgyzstan lock horns in this ASIA World Championship Qualification 3rd stage round 1 clash at Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium in Isfahan very early Friday morning Beijing time. A match of only mediocre quality by this competition's standards is on the cards here. The main reason for that is the clear edge in pure class between the two teams. Indeed, Iran have a clear edge over Kyrgyzstan in all areas of the game. They are in 20th place in the FIFA Ranking. This is definitely too high. Around 30-32nd would be a more accurate place for them in the ranking. Yes, they played in the World Cup 2022 in Qatar but were pretty lame as a whole, failing to qualify for the Playoffs. Kyrgyzstan are, in all honesty, not a great football nation but have improved recently.. They are in 102nd place in the FIFA Ranking but should, in my expert opinion, be ranked 95-97th-best nationally in the world..
Let's not forget that Kyrgyzstan have not lost any of their last six games. Moreover, they have avoided losing by a margin of more than two goals in their last 11 matches. Facing Iran on the road is, of course, a big test for them and taking points would be a surprise. However, I see them having a 56% chance of avoiding defeat by a margin of more than two goals here. We'll take the Kyrgyzstan +2.5 goals handicap option! Kyrgyzstan have played three draws in a row. In their last competitive match they faced Oman away from home as big underdogs, priced around 7.00 to win by the bookies. However, they performed well – taking a 1-1 draw. The hosts had many more goal attempts and two more shots on goal though. Kyrgyzstan had more attacks – 162-155. Before this they faced Malaysia at home and it was another 1-1 draw. Kyrgyzstan were the better team on the pitch though – recording many more goal attempts, hots on goal and shots off target. Their list of players is not very impressive but they fight hard and play quite well as a team. Iran have won three of their last five matches. They have won one of their last nine games by a margin of more than two goals. In their last game they were priced around 1.70 to beat Uzbekistan at home but it was a 0-0 draw. Iran did record more goal attempts but the match was, as a whole, much more balanced than the odds reflected. Before this they beat a very lowly team, Hong Kong (ranked 159th), 4-2 on the road. They recorded more shots on goal - 7-4 – but did not fully impress me. They recorded only 16 more attacks than the hosts. Iran were priced around 1.10 to win the game. Before this they defeated Turkmenistan (ranked 144th) 1-0 away from home but the hosts even recorded more shots on goal! Again Iran were priced around 1.10 to take the win. They recorded just two more goal attempts than the lowly Turkmenistan – 12-10. Indeed, Iran's offense should be much more creative and move the ball faster near the opponent's penalty box.
伊朗VS吉尔吉斯斯坦
北京时间周五凌晨,伊朗和吉尔吉斯斯坦将在伊斯法罕纳格什-贾汗体育场进行亚洲杯预选赛第三阶段第一轮的交锋。按照这项比赛的标准,一场质量一般的比赛是有可能的。主要原因是两支球队在纯级别上的明显优势。事实上,伊朗在比赛的各个方面都比吉尔吉斯斯坦有明显的优势。他们在国际足联排名中排名第20位。这确实太高了。更准确的排名应该是30-32位。是的,他们参加了2022年卡塔尔世界杯,但整体上很差劲,没能进入季后赛。说实话,吉尔吉斯斯坦不是一个伟大的足球国家,但最近有所进步。他们在国际足联排名中排名第102位,但在我的专家看来,他们应该排在世界排名的第95-97位。
别忘了吉尔吉斯斯坦最近6场比赛没有输过一场。此外,他们在最近的11场比赛中避免了2球以上的失利。当然,在客场面对伊朗对他们来说是一个巨大的考验,拿分将是一个惊喜。然而,我认为他们有56%的机会以超过两个球的差距避免失败。我们会选择吉尔吉斯斯坦+2.5球障碍的选项!吉尔吉斯斯坦已经连续打了三场平局。在他们的最后一场正式比赛中,他们在客场面对阿曼,被认为是大输家,博彩公司的价格在7.00左右。然而,他们表现得很好,1-1战平。主队有更多的进球尝试和两次射门。吉尔吉斯斯坦的袭击次数更多——162-155。在此之前,他们在主场面对马来西亚,又是1-1战平。吉尔吉斯斯坦在球场上表现更好,他们的射门次数、射正次数和射偏次数都更多。他们的球员名单不是很令人印象深刻,但他们很努力,作为一个团队踢得很好。伊朗在最近五场比赛中赢了三场。他们在最近的九场比赛中以两球以上的优势赢了一场。在上一场主场击败乌兹别克斯坦的比赛中,他们的定价在1.70左右,但结果是0-0平局。伊朗队的进球次数确实更多,但从整体上看,这场比赛比胜率所反映的要平衡得多。在此之前,他们在客场以4比2击败了排名较低的香港队(第159位)。他们有更多的射门记录——7比4——但并没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们只比东道主多记录了16次攻击。伊朗队以1.10美元左右的价格赢得比赛。在此之前,他们客场1-0击败了土库曼斯坦(排名144),但东道主的射门次数甚至更多!伊朗的汇率再次在1.10左右取得了胜利。他们的进球次数仅比排名较低的土库曼斯坦多2次——12胜10负。事实上,伊朗队的进攻应该更具创造性,在对方禁区附近更快地转移球。