GREAT results in this competition! $$$
2024-09-04

Tapio

外籍分析师

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Nagoya Grampus VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima



Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima lock horns in this YBC Levain Cup quarter-final 1st leg clash at Toyota Stadium Wednesday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in the J1 League, the highest tier of Japanese football. The J1 League is of pretty mediocre level by global standards but by Asian standards it is of high level! Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of very high quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! We have won four of the last five picks/bets betting on this competition. I will post more picks on the YBC Levain cup in the next 1-7 hours! Sanfrecce Hiroshima are currently top the J1 League standings with 55 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is somewhat lower. They have big offensive power and have scored 53 goals in the J1 League. They play quite aggressive, offensive football which has resulted in 28 goals allowed. This is much more than for example Gamba Osaka, in 5th place, have conceded.. Hiroshima are sometimes pretty vulnerable to fast counter attacks in transitions. This is something Nagoya are, in fact, pretty good at! We must remember that Hiroshima are in an intense battle for the championship with many teams.. Indeed, I would not be at all surprised if their head coach did some squad rotation here.. Last season Sanfrecce finished on 3rd place. Nagoya took 6th place last season, only six points behind Hiroshima. This season has been a little disappointing for them.. They currently occupy the 11th place in the league table. They have taken 37 points but their number of xPTS is 40.67. They can improve in all areas of the game. As their season is more or less "ruined" in the J1 League I expect them to be very motivated in the YBC Levain Cup, especially in front of their fans! The visitors have won "only" six of the 14 games on the road in J1 League. Visiting a team of Nagoya's level they do not deserve to be priced around 1.80 to win. This is their odds at the time of posting this preview. Yes, they are definitely the better team here but with the expected lineups I see them having an only 44% chance of winning. We will take the Nagoya +0.5 goals handicap option.


Hiroshima have achieved strong results lately, no denying this. However, they have also had some luck in many of their games recently.. In their last match they were priced around 1.40 to beat FC Tokyo at home and did grab a 3-2 win. They did record two more shots on goal but did not fully impress me.. They were, at times, a bit imbalanced on the pitch. The visitors had 54% ball possession and also recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this Hiroshima beat Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 at home but would have deserved a win by a margin of only one goal. The visitors recorded a decent 11 goal attempts and one more shot in goal – 4-3. On the 21st of August Hiroshima were huge favourites - priced around 1.05 to eliminate Ehime - a small team from the J2 League. They easily beat the lowly opponent 2-0 in this Emperor's Cup battle. On the 17th of last month they beat Nagoya Grampus 2-1 at Toyota Stadium but were not not dominant at all – despite recording more goal attempts. The hosts even had more attacks.. Nagoya have won two of their last three games. In their last game they had to defend quite a lot but beat Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home as underdogs according to the bookies. The hosts recorded one more shot on goal – 3-2 to be precise. Before losing to Hiroshima they beat a dangerous opponent, Verdy, at home 1-0. Verdy are currently in 7th place in the standings. The visitors, too, had their chances in this pretty defensive clash but the hosts recorded one more goal attempt.



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名古屋格兰普斯VS圣弗勒斯广岛



北京时间周三上午,名古屋格兰普斯和广岛圣弗雷斯将在YBC列文杯1 / 4决赛首回合在丰田体育场进行交锋。这两支球队都参加了J1联赛,这是日本足球的最高级别。以全球标准来看,J1联赛的水平相当平庸,但以亚洲标准来看,它是高水平的!足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看非常高质量的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝又有了一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在最近五次对这场比赛的下注中赢了四次。我会在接下来的1-7小时内发布更多关于YBC列文杯的精选!广岛圣弗雷斯目前以55分排名J1联赛榜首。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)要低一些。他们拥有强大的进攻力量,在J1联赛中打进了53球。他们踢得很有侵略性,很有攻击性,导致被丢了28个球。这比排名第五的大阪钢巴(Gamba Osaka)的损失要大得多。广岛有时很容易受到过渡时期的快速反击。事实上,这是名古屋非常擅长的事情!我们必须记住,广岛正与许多球队争夺冠军。事实上,如果他们的主教练在这里进行一些阵容轮换,我一点也不会感到惊讶。上个赛季,圣弗雷斯排名第三。名古屋上赛季排名第六,仅落后广岛6分。这个赛季对他们来说有点令人失望。他们目前在联赛中排名第11位。他们拿到了37分,但是他们的得分是40.67分。他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。由于他们的赛季在J1联赛中或多或少被“毁了”,我希望他们在YBC列文杯中充满动力,尤其是在他们的球迷面前!客队在J1联赛的14场客场比赛中“只”赢了6场。面对像名古屋这样水平的球队,他们不应该被定价在1.80左右就能获胜。这是他们在发布这个预览时的赔率。是的,他们绝对是这里更好的球队,但在预期的阵容下,我认为他们只有44%的获胜机会。我们将采用名古屋+0.5个进球障碍选项。


广岛最近取得了强有力的成果,这是不可否认的。然而,他们在最近的许多游戏中也有一些运气。在上一场主场击败东京FC的比赛中,他们的定价在1.40左右,并以3-2获胜。他们确实有两次射正,但并没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们有时在球场上有点不平衡。客队有54%的控球率,也记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。在此之前,广岛队在主场以2-0击败柏西雷索尔队,但他们本应以1球的优势取胜。客队以4-3的比分取得了11次进球和1次射门的成绩。8月21日,广岛队成为夺冠热门,价格在1.05左右,有望淘汰J2联赛中的一支小球队爱媛队。在这场皇帝杯的战斗中,他们轻松地以2比0击败了实力不强的对手。上个月17日,他们在丰田球场2-1击败了名古屋格兰普斯,但他们并没有完全占据统治地位——尽管他们的进球次数更多。东道主甚至有更多的攻击…名古屋队最近三场比赛赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们不得不防守很多,但根据博彩公司的说法,他们在客场1-0击败了尚南贝尔梅尔队。东道主又一次射门,准确地说是3比2。在输给广岛之前,他们在主场1-0击败了危险的对手Verdy。Verdy目前排名第七。客队在这场漂亮的防守中也有机会,但主队又多了一个进球。

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