Accrington Stanley VS Stockport County

Accrington and Stockport County lock horns in this EFL Cup Group 1 battle at The Wham Stadium very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Accrington play in the League Two, the fourth level of English football. Stockport, on the other hand, play in League One, which is clearly the best third tier on the planet! The difference between League One and Two is not massive but still needs to be given enough emphasis! The biggest difference is in overall match-tempo and players' average skill level. As the season has only recently kicked off in England, we must take a look at last season's results and statistics to best calculate the probabilities here.. Accrington played a rather lame last season, ending up in 17th place with 48 points in League Two where a total of 24 clubs play. The grabbed 57 points. However, I would not be very surprised if they were to be relegated to the National league for next season.. They scored 63 goals and allowed 71 goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was higher though -  76.67 to be precise.. I have not been at all impressed with their defence this season. They have allowed 14 goals in total in their last five games! Accrington are a very small team in terms of players' estimated total market value and overall financial resources - even by the League Two standards! Stockport topped the League Two standings last season - taking a whopping 92 points. Their score difference was excellent! They scored 96 goals – clearly the highest number in League Two. Furthermore, they allowed only 48 goals. They have the potential to do well in the League One!

I want to emphasize that Cambridge have a very clear edge over Bromley in all areas of the game! Stockport defeated Accrington in both games between the two teams last season. In September 2023 they won 3-1 at The Wham Stadium – generating much more in expected goals (xG) than Accrington. In April 2024 Stockport beat Accrington 4-2 at home, recording 17 goal attempts. The xG numbers were 2.45-0.31! Let's also not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Stockport are the bigger team here - by a massive margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 12 million euros. The Accrington squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about two million euros!  This is a very low number even by the League Two standards.. Odds of around 1.60 on the away win are offered by the biggest bookmakers and we will gladly take – to increase the winning streak! We have a 68% chance of winning.

Accrington have been poor recently – winning just one of their last 12 games!  In their last game they did take a point from Colchester, a pretty limited team, at home through a 1-1 draw. Colchester ended up in 22nd place last season. The match was pretty balanced as a whole. Before this Accrington lost to Newport on the road 1-3 and were very imbalanced on the pitch. They did, however, have their chances to score, seven shots on goal, though. However, Newport, despite winning, were far from their best in this game. Accrington have not won any of their last four games at The Wham Stadium and do not have very loud fans – or a big fan-base..  Indeed, the home advantage here is not very big. Stockport are undefeated in their last three games – winning 2/3. In their last game they faced Mansfield on the road and it was a 1-1 draw. However, Stockport played well – recording many more goal attempts (14-4), shots on target, shots off goal (5-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in xG. Before this, in round 3 of League One, they easily beat Bristol Rovers 2-0 at home after recording many more goal attempts and shots on goal. Before this they were priced close to 4.00 to beat Blackpool on the road. Well, they won 3-0 after an awesome performance! They recorded more shots on goal (6-3) as well as attacks. The hosts, who are a dangerous team, of course, did have their chances too but I was impressed with Stockport's performance. The bookies should respect them more!

阿克灵顿斯坦利VS斯托克波特县

北京时间周三凌晨，阿克灵顿队和斯托克波特郡队将在威姆球场进行联赛杯第一组的比赛。阿克灵顿在英乙联赛踢球，这是英国足球的第四级联赛。另一方面，斯托克波特在英甲踢球，这显然是这个星球上最好的第三梯队!英甲和英乙之间的差距并不大，但仍然需要给予足够的重视!最大的区别在于整体比赛节奏和球员的平均技术水平。由于新赛季在英格兰刚刚开始，我们必须看看上赛季的结果和统计数据，以便最好地计算出这里的概率。阿克灵顿上赛季的表现相当差劲，在共有24家俱乐部参加的英乙联赛中以48分排名第17位。他们拿下了57分。然而，如果他们下赛季被降级到国家联赛，我也不会感到非常惊讶。他们进了63球，丢了71球。他们的预期失球数(xGA)更高，准确地说是76.67。我对他们本赛季的防守一点印象都没有。在最近的五场比赛中，他们总共丢了14个球!从球员的总市值和财政资源来看，阿克灵顿是一支非常小的球队——即使按照英乙的标准!斯托克波特上赛季以惊人的92分荣登英乙榜首。他们的分数差太大了!他们进了96个球，显然是英乙联赛中进球最多的。此外，他们只丢了48个球。他们有潜力在英甲取得好成绩!

我想强调的是，剑桥在比赛的各个方面都比布罗姆利有明显的优势!斯托克波特上赛季在两队之间的两场比赛中都击败了阿克灵顿。2023年9月，他们在威猛球场以3-1获胜，预期进球数(xG)远远超过阿克灵顿。2024年4月，斯托克波特在主场4-2击败阿克灵顿，打进17球。xG值为2.45-0.31!我们也不要忘记，根据著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，斯托克波特在这里是更大的球队——以巨大的优势!事实上，他们球员的身价估计在1200万欧元左右。另一方面，阿克灵顿队的价值只有200万欧元!即使以中甲的标准来看，这也是一个很低的数字。客场获胜的赔率约为1.60，由最大的博彩公司提供，我们很乐意接受-以增加连胜纪录!我们有68%的胜算。

阿克灵顿最近表现不佳，最近12场比赛只赢了一场!在上一场比赛中，他们在主场1-1战平了实力相当有限的科尔切斯特队，并从科尔切斯特队那里拿到了一分。科尔切斯特上赛季排名第22。比赛总体上是相当平衡的。在此之前，阿克灵顿客场1-3输给了纽波特，并且在球场上非常不平衡。然而，他们确实有得分的机会，尽管有7次射门。然而，新港队尽管赢了，但在这场比赛中还远没有发挥到最佳状态。阿克灵顿在威猛球场的最近四场比赛中没有赢过一场，而且没有非常响亮的球迷——或者一个庞大的球迷基础。事实上，这里的主场优势并不是很大。斯托克波特在最近三场比赛中保持不败，赢了2/3。他们上一场客场对阵曼斯菲尔德，结果是1比1战平。然而，斯托克波特踢得很好——射门次数(14胜4负)、射正、射偏(5胜1负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻都更多。他们在xG中也产生了更多。在此之前，在英甲联赛第三轮，他们在主场以2比0轻松击败布里斯托尔流浪者，他们的射门次数和射门次数都更多。在此之前，他们在客场击败布莱克浦的价格接近4.00。嗯，在一场精彩的表演之后，他们以3比0获胜!他们的射门次数(6比3)和进攻次数都有所增加。东道主是一支危险的球队，当然，他们也有机会，但我对斯托克波特的表现印象深刻。博彩公司应该更尊重他们!