9/10 last WON in this competition! $$$
2024-09-03

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Bromley VS Cambridge United



Bromley host Cambridge United for this EFL Cup Group 11 battle at Hayes Lane in London very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Bromley play in the League Two, the fourth level of English football. Peterborough, on the other hand, play in League One, which is the best third tier on the planet! The difference between League One and Two is not huge but still needs to be given enough emphasis. The biggest difference is in tempo and players' average skill level. As the season has only recently begun in England, we will take a quick look at last season's results and statistics.. Cambridge played a somewhat disappointing last season, ending up in 18th place with 48 points in League One where a total of 24 clubs play. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was 51.33 and have some potential for improvement. They scored 39 goals and allowed 61. Their number of expected goals (xG) was 43.11. Bromley are an extremely small team even by the League Two standards! They were promoted from the National League to the 4th-tier for this season. They finished in 3rd place with 81 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was clearly lower – 74.43. Their score difference was 73:49.


I want to emphasize that Cambridge have a very clear edge over Bromley in all areas of the game. Bromley are a pretty well-organized team and do fight hard but especially lack individual skill to do well even at League Two level! Some squad rotation from both teams' managers would not be a surprise at all here but Cambridge have a deep squad to compete against a lowly team like Bromley.. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Cambridge are the bigger team here - by a huge margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around seven million euros. The Bromley squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about one million!  This is a ridiculously low number by the League Two standards. Having said that, I want to emphasize that the total market values, In general, reflect the teams' level on the pitch well but can, of course, sometimes be misleading.. A deep understanding on the players' level is needed to best take advantage of the market values in betting.  A still extremely strong player, Lionel Messi, 37, who plays for Inter Miami in the MLS in the USA, is valued at "only'' 30 million euros.  Odds of around 2.50 are widely on the Cambridge win. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis, the visitors have a 47% % chance of taking all three points.


Bromley had a surprisingly good start to the season results-wise but had some luck on their side in the two victorious games. In round 2 they beat AFC Wimbledon 2-0 at home but the visitors recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal and attacks. Bromley recorded one more shot on target but the final score is, indeed, misleading. However, Bromley have now lost two games in a row. In round 3 of League Two Bromley's A. Charles was sent off in the 1st half and had no chance at all to take even a point.. Bradford took a 3-1 home win in the end. They recorded a whopping 25 goal attempts. In their last match Bromley were priced around 2.00 to beat Crewe at home but were disappointing and overvalued by the bookies. The visitors had 68% ball possession and took a deserved 2-1 win. Crewe recorded more goal attempts (10-6), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks and dangerous attacks. Cambridge's recent results are lame, no denying this. Even so, a match against a lowly opponent, Bromley, is a very good opportunity for them to get back on the winning track.. I expect them to be very motivated  - and annoyed by the lame recent results.. In their last match they lost to Bristol Rovers 0-2 on the road as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. The hosts had more goal attempts but Cambridge did have 63% ball possession and recorded more shots off goal, corner kicks, and attacks. In round 3 they were priced around 3.50 at home to beat Blackpool, a strong team, and it was a 4-4 draw after an entertaining and pretty good-level clash! Both teams recorded seven shots on target. Before this Cambridge were unlucky to lose to Crawley at home 0-1. Cambridge were not at their best but still recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (6-3) and shots off goal – 7-4 to be precise.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

布罗姆利VS剑桥联队



北京时间周三凌晨,布罗姆利将在伦敦海耶斯巷迎战剑桥联队。布罗姆利在英乙联赛踢球,这是英格兰足球的第四级联赛。另一方面,彼得伯勒在英甲踢球,这是这个星球上最好的第三梯队!英甲和英乙之间的差距并不大,但仍然需要给予足够的重视。最大的区别在于节奏和球员的平均技术水平。由于新赛季在英格兰才刚刚开始,我们将快速浏览一下上赛季的成绩和数据。剑桥上赛季的表现有些令人失望,在共有24家俱乐部参加的英甲联赛中以48分排名第18位。他们的期望点数(xPTS)为51.33,有一些改善的潜力。他们进了39球,失了61球。他们的预期进球数(xG)为43.11。即使按照英乙的标准,布罗姆利也是一支非常小的球队!他们本赛季从国家联赛提升到第四梯队。他们以81分排名第三。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)明显较低,为74.43。他们的比分差距是73:49。


我想强调的是,剑桥在比赛的各个方面都比布罗姆利有明显的优势。布罗姆利是一支非常有组织的球队,他们确实很努力,但尤其缺乏个人技术,即使在英乙水平上也做得很好!两队主教练的轮换并不会让人感到意外,但是剑桥的阵容很强大,可以和布罗姆利这样的低水平球队竞争。让我们也记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,剑桥在这里是更大的球队-以巨大的优势!事实上,他们的球员的身价估计在700万欧元左右。另一方面,布罗姆利队的价值只有100万英镑!以乙级联赛的标准来看,这个数字低得离谱。话虽如此,我想强调的是,总的市场价值,总的来说,很好地反映了球队在球场上的水平,但当然,有时会被误导。要想在博彩中充分利用市场价值,就必须深入了解玩家的水平。37岁的莱昂内尔·梅西仍然是一名非常强大的球员,他效力于美国职业足球大联盟的迈阿密国际,他的身价“仅”为3000万欧元。剑桥获胜的赔率普遍在2.50左右。根据我强有力的基于数据的专家分析,访客有47%的机会获得所有三分。


布罗姆利本赛季开局出人意料地好,但在两场胜利的比赛中运气也不错。在第二轮比赛中,他们在主场2-0击败了温布尔登,但客队的进球次数、射门次数和进攻次数都更多。布罗姆利又一次射正了球门,但最终的比分确实具有误导性。然而,布罗姆利现在已经连输两场了。在英乙联赛第三轮,布罗姆利的a .查尔斯在上半场被红牌罚下,根本没有机会拿一分。布拉德福德队最终在主场以3比1获胜。他们的射门次数高达25次。在上一场比赛中,布罗姆利主场击败克鲁的价格在2英镑左右,但结果令人失望,而且被博彩公司高估了。客队控球率为68%,并以2-1赢得了一场应得的胜利。克鲁队的进球次数(10胜6负)、射正、射偏、角球和危险进攻都更多。不可否认,剑桥大学最近的成绩很差劲。尽管如此,与实力较弱的对手布罗姆利的比赛,对他们来说是一个回到胜利轨道上的好机会。我认为他们会很有动力,也会对最近糟糕的成绩感到恼火。在上一场比赛中,他们客场0-2输给了布里斯托尔流浪者队,在博彩市场上他们显然处于劣势。主队有更多的进球尝试,但剑桥队的控球率为63%,并且有更多的射门、角球和进攻。在第三轮比赛中,他们在主场击败了强队布莱克浦,他们的定价在3.50左右,在一场有趣且水平相当高的比赛之后,他们以4比4战平!两队都有7次射正。在此之前,剑桥不幸在主场0-1输给了克劳利。剑桥没有达到最佳状态,但仍然有更多的射门次数、射正(6比3)和射偏(7比4)。

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