9/10 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-09-01

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Genoa VS Hellas Verona



Genoa and Verona lock horns in this Italian Serie A round 3 clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris very early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have a very promising betting opportunity here - once again! We have won nine of the last 10 picks/bets betting on this league! Genoa have an edge over Verona in all areas of the game! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Genoa are the bigger team here – by a substantial margin. Their squad has an estimated total market value of some 136 million euros – which is still a little too low. Verona's number is about 80 million. As this is only the 3rd round of play, we should take a look at least season's statistics and results.. Genoa finished in 11th place with 49 points in their pocket last season. This was a very good achievement from this team. Their score difference was 45:45. Verona ended up in 13th place with 38 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was lower - 36.13 to be precise. Their score difference was not great, -13. Let's also remember that they were poor on the road last season, winning just three away games away from home in the Serie A. Their score difference in these 19 games was -10. Genoa will be without Ankeye, Bani, Matturo, Miretti and Zanoli. Norton-Cuffy is questionable. As for Verona, J. Cruz is out. Serdar is questionable. Even with the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, Genoa are clear favourites. Odds of slightly over 2.00 are widely available. We have a 55% chance of winning – once again!


Genoa have lost just one of their last eight games, winning 6/8! In the opening round they were excellent at home, taking a point from Inter, the reigning champions, through a 2-2 draw! Inter are the biggest favourites to win the Scudetto this season as well. Genoa were heavy underdogs in this game, priced around 8.00 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff! They had only 32% ball possession, but even generated a little more in expected goals than Inter (xG)! In their last game they beat Monza as narrow underdogs 1-0 on the road. Both teams defended in a very organized way and the goal expectancy was low. Genoa generated a little more in xG though – 0.67-0.54 to be precise. In the opening round Verona played well, defeating Napoli 3-0 at home. However, Napoli were very disappointing in this match! The final score is, however, misleading! The xG numbers were 1.87-1.34. Napoli had 68% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (15-8) and shots off target.  In round 2, Verona lost to Juventus 0-3 at home! Verona were very lame offensively in this match and generated only 0.41 in xG! Juventus' number was 1.78.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

热那亚VS维罗纳



北京时间周一凌晨,意甲第三轮热那亚和维罗纳将在路易吉·法拉利球场展开激战。这是世界上第四好的联盟。按照联赛的标准来看,足球爱好者和我们这些追求利润的赌客可以期待一场低于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们在这里有一个非常有前途的投注机会-再一次!我们在过去10次选秀/投注中赢了9次!热那亚在比赛的各个方面都领先维罗纳!根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,热那亚的实力更强,而且差距很大。据估计,这支球队的总市值约为1.36亿欧元,这仍然有点太低了。维罗纳的人口约为8000万。由于这只是第三轮比赛,我们至少应该看看本赛季的数据和结果。热那亚上赛季以49分排名第11位。这是这个团队的一个非常好的成就。他们的比分差是45:45。维罗纳以38分排名第13。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)较低,准确地说是36.13。他们的分数差不是很大,-13分。我们也要记住,上赛季他们在客场表现很差,在意甲联赛中只赢了3场客场比赛,这19场比赛的比分差是-10。热那亚将失去安基、巴尼、马图罗、米雷蒂和扎诺里。诺顿-卡夫是有问题的。至于维罗纳,j·克鲁兹出局了。Serdar值得怀疑。即使有了预期的阵容,考虑到巨大的主场优势,热那亚显然是最受欢迎的。概率略高于2.00的概率非常普遍。我们有55%的机会再一次获胜!


热那亚最近8场比赛只输了1场,6胜8负!在首轮比赛中,他们在主场表现出色,以2比2的平局从卫冕冠军国米手中拿到一分!国米也是本赛季赢得意甲冠军的最大热门。热那亚在这场比赛中是非常不受欢迎的,开球时庄家开出的赔率大约是8.00。他们只有32%的控球率,但甚至比国米(xG)产生了更多的预期进球!在上一场比赛中,他们在客场以1比0险胜蒙扎队。两支球队的防守都很有组织,进球期望值也很低。热那亚在xG中产生了更多,确切地说是0.67-0.54。在首轮比赛中,维罗纳打得很好,在主场3-0击败了那不勒斯。然而,那不勒斯在这场比赛中非常令人失望!然而,最后的分数是误导性的!xG值为1.87 ~ 1.34。那不勒斯有68%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数(15-8次)和射偏。在第二轮比赛中,维罗纳主场0-3不敌尤文图斯!维罗纳在本场比赛的进攻端非常差劲,全场进球只有0.41 !尤文图斯的数字是1.78。

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