85% WINS IN SERIE A! 意甲 那不勒斯VS帕尔马
2024-08-31

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Only 4 games in the Italian Serie A will happen on Saturday night. One of the matches will be between Napoli and Parma. After 2 games, Napoli has 1 win and 1 loss, a total of 3 points and 11th place while Parma has 1 win, 1 draw, 4 points and 5th place. In this game, I predict Napoli's win.

Napoli had a shocking start to the season as they lost 0:3 to Verona on the road despite having 67% ball control. A week later, Napoli got redemption as they ran over Bologna 3:0. After these two games, Napoli has xG of 3.4, xGA is 2.4 with a difference of 1.

Parma is back in the Serie A and they have started the season great. At first, they drew Fiorentina 1:1. Week later, Parma got already the 1st win as they beat AC Milan 2:1! If we look at the stats, Parma had a little bit worse xG so it's safe to say that the draw would be a more precise outcome, and Milan had 8 more shots in total. After 2 games, Parma has xG of 3.4, xGA is 2.7 with a difference of 0.7.

Napoli signed Romelu Lukaku this week but he won't be probably playing. Antonio Conte should have a full squad to choose from, but the same XI that started against Bologna is likely to be retained. Meanwhile, Parma will still be without Hernani (calf) and Gabriel Charpentier (flexor) due to injury, and Nahuel Estevez is now struggling to overcome a thigh problem.

I'm going with Napoli in this game. They are a better team and they showed last week that the loss on the road was unexpected. Af or Parma - while they have a dream start, both games were at home. Napoli is a strong home team and Conte will motivate players well enough so they can beat this lower-tier team. Napoli has beaten Parma in 3 out of the last 4 meetings in Napoli.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上意甲只有4场比赛。其中一场比赛将在那不勒斯和帕尔马之间进行。2场比赛后,那不勒斯1胜1负,积3分,排名第11,帕尔马1胜1平,积4分,排名第5。在这场比赛中,我预测那不勒斯会赢。

那不勒斯本赛季开局令人震惊,尽管控球率高达67%,但他们在客场以0:3不敌维罗纳。一周后,那不勒斯3:0横扫博洛尼亚,获得了救赎。这两场比赛后,那不勒斯的xG为3.4,xGA为2.4,差1。

帕尔马回到了意甲,他们本赛季开局不错。起初,他们1:1逼平了佛罗伦萨。一周后,帕尔马2:1击败AC米兰,取得了第一场胜利!如果我们看一下数据,帕尔马的射门命中率稍微差一点,所以可以肯定地说平局是一个更准确的结果,米兰总共有8次射门。两场比赛后,帕尔马的xG值为3.4,xGA值为2.7,两者相差0.7。

那不勒斯本周签下了卢卡库,但他可能不会上场。安东尼奥·孔蒂应该有一个完整的阵容可供选择,但与博洛尼亚比赛时首发的十一人很可能会被保留。与此同时,帕尔马仍然没有埃尔纳尼(小腿)和查彭蒂耶(屈肌)的伤病,埃斯特维斯现在正在努力克服大腿的问题。

这场比赛我支持那不勒斯队。他们是一支更好的球队,他们上周证明了客场的失利是出乎意料的。对于帕尔马,虽然他们有一个梦幻般的开局,但两场比赛都是在主场进行的。那不勒斯是一支强大的主场球队,孔蒂会很好地激励球员,这样他们就能击败这支低级别球队。那不勒斯在过去的4次交锋中3次击败帕尔马。

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