High risk, high odds!
2021-06-08

Jarkko

外籍分析师

世预赛

06/09 05:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Ecuador have turned into one of the most entertaining teams recently, from their last 5 games since October 2020 they have won 4, lost only to Brazil away, and scored 15 goals vs teams which are at least classwise equal to Peru at the moment!


厄瓜多尔最近成为了最有趣的球队之一,自 2020 年 10 月以来的最近 5 场比赛中,他们赢了 4 场,仅在客场输给了巴西,并在对阵目前至少在级别上与秘鲁相当的球队打进 15 球!

It is still early days in the qualification, but it surely looks good for Ecuador who sit now third behind only Argentina and Brazil with 9 points in the bag!

Can not say anything positive about the Peru team, and the national political turmoil and Covid-19 situation has made almost everyone unpopular in Peru right now, especially the football team who have been horrible recently.


资格赛还处于初期阶段,但对于现在以 9 分排在第三位,仅次于阿根廷和巴西排名第三的厄瓜多尔来说肯定是好事!

秘鲁没有太多积极的信号,国家政局动荡和疫情让现在几乎每个人都不是很受欢迎,尤其是最近惨不忍睹的足球队。

There was a red card on 45th minute for left back in the loss v Colombia last week, but they were already one goal down at the moment and Peru had 0 shots on target. Fifteen minutes later also Colombia were one man down, so this can not be used as an explanation, but the reason for these results is an uglier one. The team player material is very weak, for example the starting striker Guerrero perhaps is a legend, but he is 37 years old. The sole star of the team in my papers is Celta defending midfielder Renato Tapia.

Ecuador held on in the game v Brazil until 90th minute when Neymar scored the 2-0 goal, but in truth the result was very deserved. Ecuador have won last two encounters v Peru without conceding, but those games were a few years back.

have also their most valued player in Spanish La Liga as Estupinan plays for Villarreal. Caicedo is an emerging young talent who is now at Brighton, and many players of the team are playing in Brazil, Argentina or the MLS, but some of them are also in decent European clubs like midfielder Gruezo who had a good season at Augsburg, and right back Angelo Preciado from Genk.

The only major absentee is Fenerbahce striker Enner Valencia due accumulated cards, but he had scored 0 of the last 15 Ecuador goals so perhaps he is not so big miss after all.

Ecuador to win, probably also the handicap so let us take it as I see as better value.

3-0


上周在对阵哥伦比亚的比赛中,左后卫在第 45 分钟被红牌罚下,但目前他们已经落后一球,而当时秘鲁的射门数为 0。十五分钟后哥伦比亚也被罚下一人,所以这不能作为解释他们表现糟糕的原因,但造成这些结果的原因是一个更丑陋的原因。球队球员实力非常薄弱,比如首发前锋格雷罗或许是个传奇人物,但他已经37岁了。球队唯一的明星球员是塞尔塔防守中场雷纳托塔皮亚。

厄瓜多尔在对阵巴西的比赛中一直坚持到第90分钟,内马尔才打进了2-0的进球,但实际上这个结果是正常的。厄瓜多尔在最近两场对阵秘鲁的比赛中都赢下比赛并且没有失球,但那是几年前的比赛。

当埃斯图皮南为比利亚雷亚尔效力时,他们还拥有他们在西甲联赛中最有价值的球员。凯塞多是一个新兴的天才球员,他现在效力于布莱顿,球队的许多球员都在巴西、阿根廷或美国职业大联盟效力,但其中一些人也在一些不错的欧洲俱乐部,比如在奥格斯堡表现出色的中场格鲁佐,以及来自亨克的右后卫安吉洛·普雷西亚多。

唯一缺席的是费内巴切前锋恩纳瓦伦西亚,因为他积累了黄牌,他在过去的15个厄瓜多尔进球中打进了0个,所以也许他的影响不是那么大。

预测厄瓜多尔胜。

比分参考3-0

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