Slovan Bratislava VS Midtjylland
Slovan Bratislava welcome Midtjylland for this UEFA Champions League 4th – and last - Qualification second leg at Tehelné pole in Bratislava early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of lower than average quality by this competition's 4th round standards here.. The visitors are a Danish team, the hosts come from Slovakia. The stakes are sky-high here as the winner of this match will qualify for the Champions League – this would bring the club a lot of prize money from UEFA – and most probably some tasty bonuses for the players. I expect a somewhat defensive clash, especially in the first half – unless one team scores more than one early goal. The goal expectancy here is a little lower than the bookies believe. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 54%. Slovan Bratislava are – and have been for years - a dominant team in the Slovakian Nike League. Last season they won the league with an impressive 73 points to their account. Dun. Streda, who finished in 2nd place, took 58 points. They currently top the standings with 12 points in their pocket after four wins in as many matches! Their score difference is excellent – 9:2 to be precise. Midtjylland narrowly won the Danish Superliga last season with 63 points to their account. Brondy (2nd place) grabbed 62 points. Midtjylland were not the best team in the Superliga in terms of expected points (xPTS).. At the moment they are in 2nd place in the Superliga, with 14 points after six rounds of play.
Yes, in terms of pure class the Danes are the stronger team here – no doubt about that. However, the main rationale behind the pick is that in my expert opinion the difference is much more narrow than the bookies estimate! The first leg in Denmark last week was a 1-1 draw. The Danes were priced around 1.55 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff which was definitely too low. Yes, they were the better team on the pitch but not dominant at all. They recorded one more shot on goal than Bratislava – 6-5 to be precise. They also recorded more goal attempts but the visitors, too, recorded 12 – a pretty big number. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 1.32-0.85. A very balanced battle is on the cards in Bratislava here. With the expected lineups, taking the huge home advantage into account I see Midtjylland only as extremely marginal favourites. The bookies disagree – offering the visitors odds of around 2.35 to win in the 90 minutes of play. We will take the Bratislava +0.5 goals handicap option. The hosts have not lost any of their last 12 matches! At home, in front of their loud fans, they have won seven games in a row! In the l3rd round of CL Qualification they defeated Apoel, a dangerous team from Cyprus, 2-0 on aggregate. At home, in the 1st leg, they were clearly the better team, allowing the visitors only one shot on goal. 2-0 was the final score. In the 2nd leg Apoel controlled the events on the pitch but no goals were scored. Bratislava defended very well, simply wanting to protect the lead.. In the 2nd round they swept past Celje, winning the 2nd leg 5-0 at home! In Slovenia it was a 1-1 draw. In their last game they easily beat Banska Bystrica 2-0 on the road. They recorded many more goal attempts – 14-8. Midtjylland, too, have been in good form recently. They beat Sonderjyske 3-2 at home in their last game. Both teams had a lot of goal attempts – 21-14. I was not very impressed with Midtjylland's defence.. They were, at times, pretty imbalanced on the pitch. In the 3rd round of CL Qualification they defeated Ferencvaros, a Hungarian team, 3-1 on aggregate. At home they were strong, winning 2-0 but in Hungary, in the 2nd leg, Ferencvaros would have deserved a win! They recorded 12 shots on target - Midtjylland managed five.
布拉迪斯拉发VS荷兰中部
北京时间周三凌晨,在布拉迪斯拉发举行的欧洲冠军联赛第4回合、也是最后一轮资格赛的次回合比赛中,斯洛伐克布拉迪斯拉发欢迎中日德兰。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于平均水平的比赛,以这个比赛的第四轮标准来看。客队是丹麦,主队是斯洛伐克。本场比赛的胜者将有资格参加欧冠联赛,这将给俱乐部带来一大笔欧足联的奖金,而且很可能还会给球员们带来一些丰厚的奖金。我预计会有一些防守上的冲突,尤其是在上半场——除非有一支球队在开场时进了不止一个球。这里的进球预期比博彩公司认为的要低一些。进不到2.5球的概率是54%。布拉迪斯拉发是——而且多年来一直是——斯洛伐克耐克联赛中的一支统治球队。上个赛季,他们以令人印象深刻的73分赢得了联赛冠军。讨债者。第二名斯特雷达获得58分。在4场比赛中取得4场胜利后,他们目前以12分的积分排名榜首!他们的比分差距很大,确切地说是9:2。上个赛季,中日德兰以63分险胜丹麦超级联赛。Brondy(第二名)获得62分。就期望积分(xPTS)而言,中荷兰不是超级联赛中最好的球队。目前他们在中超联赛中排名第二,在6轮比赛后积14分。
是的,就纯粹的水平而言,丹麦人是这里更强的球队,这是毫无疑问的。然而,这个选择背后的主要理由是,在我的专家看来,这种差异比博彩公司估计的要小得多!上周与丹麦的首回合比赛是1-1战平。开球时,博彩公司对丹麦人的赔率定在1.55左右,这显然太低了。是的,他们在球场上表现得更好,但根本没有统治力。他们比布拉迪斯拉发多射门一次,准确地说是6比5。他们的进球次数也更多,但客队也有12次,这是一个相当大的数字。预期目标(xG)值为1.32-0.85。一场势均力敌的战斗即将在布拉迪斯拉发打响。在预期的阵容中,考虑到巨大的主场优势,我认为中荷兰只是一个非常边缘的热门。博彩公司不同意这一说法,他们给客队开出了2.35的赔率,在90分钟的比赛中获胜。我们将选择布拉迪斯拉发+0.5个进球障碍选项。东道主在过去的12场比赛中没有输过一场!在主场,在他们喧闹的球迷面前,他们已经赢得了七连胜!在欧冠资格赛第13轮,他们以总比分2-0击败了来自塞浦路斯的危险球队阿普尔。在主场,在第一回合,他们显然是更好的球队,只让客队射门一次。2比0是最后的比分。在第二回合比赛中,阿普尔在球场上控制了局势,但没有进球。布拉迪斯拉发防守很好,只是想保持领先。在第二轮比赛中,他们横扫了切列,在主场以5-0获胜!在斯洛文尼亚,双方1-1战平。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场以2比0轻松击败了班斯卡·比斯特里察。他们的进球次数更多,14胜8负。中荷兰最近的状态也不错。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以3比2击败了桑德兰斯克。两队都有很多进球尝试- 21-14。我对米特日兰的防守印象不太好。他们有时在球场上很不平衡。在冠军杯资格赛第3轮,他们以总比分3-1击败了匈牙利球队费伦茨瓦罗斯。在主场,他们很强大,以2-0取胜,但在第二回合匈牙利,费伦茨瓦罗斯本应获胜!他们有12次射正,米特日兰有5次射正。