Who will qualify here? 解放者杯 帕梅拉斯VS博塔弗戈
2024-08-21

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Libertadores ⅛ Finals Second Leg: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo

The previous match ended 2-1 in favor of Botafogo.

There's significant pressure on Palmeiras right now. Winners in 2020 and 2021, and semi-finalists in both 2022 and 2023, they now find themselves on the brink of elimination unless they can stage a comeback here.

Palmeiras are the current Brazilian Serie A champions and have been among the main contenders for the Libertadores title since the start of the tournament. They are a very strong team and one of the giants in South American football. However, this season has been disappointing: they were knocked out of the Copa do Brasil by Flamengo in the round of 16, they are currently 3rd in the league, 5 points behind the leaders (Botafogo), and an elimination here could trigger a crisis within the club.

Midfielder Richard Rios returns after missing the first leg due to suspension, but captain Dudu will be absent due to injury.

The key tactical decision is whether they will line up with four or three defenders, possibly adding more players to the midfield to control the game. Their standout player is the young talent Estevao, who was a reserve in the first leg (recovering from an injury) but is expected to be at 100% for this match. He has been acquired by Chelsea for 35 million Euros for next season and is only 17 years old.

On the other hand, Botafogo is having an excellent season. They are currently at the top of Serie A, after finishing 5th last season, though they have never been seen as a top contender for the Libertadores. They finished 2nd in their group, level on points with Junior.

Botafogo comes into this match full of confidence after a 4-1 victory over Flamengo last weekend, where they fielded a strong starting lineup (while Palmeiras rotated their squad). Players like Luiz Henrique and Thiago Almada were among the starters.

Botafogo is aiming to establish itself as the third major club in Brazil (after Palmeiras and Flamengo), backed by substantial investments from their owner John Textor.

However, they will be without four key players for this match: Júnior Santos, Eduardo, Jeffinho, and Rafael. Notably, Júnior Santos is the tournament's top scorer with 9 goals in 10 games.

Palmeiras is the stronger team both collectively and individually, with better players in every position. I expect them to deliver a better performance than in the first leg, and with the support of the home crowd, they should achieve the victory they need to advance.



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解放者队⅛决赛第二回合:帕尔梅拉斯对博塔弗戈

上一场比赛以2比1结束,博塔弗戈队获胜。

帕尔梅拉斯现在压力很大。2020年和2021年的冠军,2022年和2023年的半决赛选手,现在他们发现自己处于被淘汰的边缘,除非他们能在这里卷土重来。

帕尔梅拉斯是目前的巴西甲级联赛冠军,自联赛开始以来一直是解放者冠军的主要竞争者之一。他们是一支非常强大的球队,是南美足坛的巨人之一。然而,本赛季的表现令人失望:他们在巴西杯16强中被弗拉门戈淘汰出局,目前在联赛中排名第三,落后领头羊博塔弗戈5分,在这里被淘汰可能会引发俱乐部内部的危机。

中场里奥斯在因停赛缺席首回合比赛后回归,但队长杜杜将因伤缺阵。

关键的战术决定是他们会安排四名还是三名后卫,可能会在中场增加更多的球员来控制比赛。他们最突出的球员是年轻的天才球员埃斯特沃,他在第一回合作为替补出场(正在伤愈中),但预计他将在本场比赛中100%复出。切尔西下赛季以3500万欧元的价格收购了他,年仅17岁。

另一方面,博塔弗戈正在经历一个出色的赛季。在上赛季排名第五之后,他们目前位居意甲榜首,尽管他们从未被视为解放者队的头号竞争者。他们在小组中排名第二,与Junior得分持平。

博塔弗戈在上周末4-1战胜弗拉门戈后充满信心地参加了这场比赛,他们派出了强大的首发阵容(而帕尔梅拉斯轮换了阵容)。像路易斯·恩里克和蒂亚戈·阿尔马达这样的球员都是首发球员。

博塔弗戈的目标是将自己打造成巴西第三大俱乐部(仅次于帕尔梅拉斯和弗拉门戈),并得到老板约翰·特克托尔的大量投资。

然而,他们将在这场比赛中失去四名关键球员:Júnior桑托斯,爱德华多,杰弗尼奥和拉斐尔。值得注意的是,Júnior桑托斯在10场比赛中打入9球,是本届杯赛的头号射手。

帕尔梅拉斯无论是整体还是个人都更强大,每个位置上都有更好的球员。我希望他们能拿出比首回合更好的表现,在主场球迷的支持下,他们应该能取得他们晋级所需的胜利。

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