Who are favorites in the Libertadores?
2024-08-20

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Libertadores ⅛ finals second leg. Previous game finished 1:1

Although Atletico Mineiro (who is among the main title contenders) dominated the game with +70% possession (even playing away), San Lorenzo played very well at home, finding the perfect moments to make the pressing and forcing Atletico MG to make mistakes in defense. That’s how San Lorenzo scored the first goal and also generated some other chances.

However, I expect a better performance by Atletico MG here. They have a great squad with a lot of quality and experience, as have been from the beginning among the main favorites to win this Libertadores Cup. Have players who are class above such as Paulinho (who already scored the equalizer in the first leg) or Arana.

In the weekend game against Cuiabá they made rotations and kept the main players on bench, in order to be fresh for this fixture.

They made a brilliant group stage winning ⅚ games, including both against Rosario Central (who is in my opinion at a similar level as San Lorenzo).

San Lorenzo is performing really bad this season in Argentina, sitting just one above the bottom with just 1 victory in 10 games. They have a weak squad whose value is less than half of Atletico MG, and for them to qualify in the group stage was already a big success.

They struggled a lot to do it, as they finished 2nd 6 points below Palmeiras (who is almost at the same level as Atletico MG. They drew both games against them but were outplayed and deserved to lose.

Nahuel Barrios is their main player and is expected to be the key here, especially because important players (Gaston Hernandez and Malcom Braida) are injured. Striker Cuello was great in the first leg and scored the first goal from a header.

Defender Jhohan Romaña is back after be suspended in the first leg. Eric Remedi will start on bench as he isn't at 100% yet. Will be replaced by the youngster Santiago Sosa.

For this fixture I expect hosts to show their quality and dominate the game again. They just need to avoid the defensive mistakes they made in the first game, and also be more effective as although dominated, didn’t generate too many chances. But I expect a better performance here, whilst I don’t see San Lorenzo improving too much.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

解放者队⅛决赛第二回合。上一场1:1结束

虽然米内罗竞技(他们是主要的冠军争夺者之一)以70%的控球率统治了比赛(即使是在客场),但圣洛伦佐在主场踢得很好,找到了完美的时刻来施压,迫使马竞在防守上犯错误。圣洛伦佐就是这样打进了第一个进球,并创造了其他一些机会。

然而,我希望马竞在这里有更好的表现。他们拥有一支实力雄厚、经验丰富的伟大球队,从一开始就成为赢得解放者杯的热门球队之一。拥有像保利尼奥(他已经在首回合扳平了比分)或者阿拉纳这样级别更高的球员。

在周末对阵亚细亚<e:1>的比赛中,他们进行了轮换,让主力球员坐在替补席上,以便在这场比赛中保持活力。

他们在小组赛中表现出色,赢得⅚比赛,包括两场对阵罗萨里奥中央(在我看来,罗萨里奥中央和圣洛伦佐的水平相似)。

圣洛伦佐本赛季在阿根廷的表现非常糟糕,在10场比赛中只取得了1场胜利,排名倒数第一。他们的阵容很弱,价值不到马竞的一半,对他们来说,小组赛出线已经是一个巨大的成功。

他们为此付出了很大的努力,他们以落后帕尔梅拉斯6分的成绩排名第二(帕尔梅拉斯几乎与马竞处于同一水平)。他们两场比赛都和他们打成平局,但都被击败了,输掉比赛是他们应得的。

巴里奥斯是他们的主力球员,也被认为是关键,尤其是在重要球员(埃尔南德斯和布雷达)受伤的情况下。前锋奎洛在首回合表现出色,头球破门。

后卫约翰Romaña在第一回合被禁赛后复出。埃里克·雷梅迪将在板凳上首发,因为他还没有100%恢复。将由小将索萨取代。

对于这场比赛,我希望东道主能够再次展示他们的实力并统治比赛。他们只需要避免他们在第一场比赛中犯的防守错误,同时也要更有效,尽管被控制了,但没有产生太多的机会。但我希望在这里有更好的表现,而我不认为圣洛伦佐有太大的进步。

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