As mentioned in the JIPPO preview earlier today this league is very even this year, and also in this fixture there is a promoted team hosting a promotion candidate. Anyone can win anyone in this league, and the question is if the odds are big enough.

At TPS website we get the information that

Elmo Heinonen, Oskari Jakonen, Joakim Latonen, Samuel Mahlamäki, Onnipekka Pajula, Roope Pakkanen and Kalle Taimi are out injured, and without knowing more it might seem a bit alarming as it is a long list.

Most of those players are bench players, and even the few who are not are well replaced, so this information is about worth nothing.

Home side PK-35 won a Helsinki derby last week by 0-1 against relegation candidates Klubi-04. I was at the game, and it was a very undeserved one, especially in the first half the Klubi-04 kids destroyed the PK-35 defense time after time. PK attacks were mostly non-existent, but with the help of the referee they got a penalty out of nowhere.

The name list of PK-35 is remarkably strong, there are a lot of players who have experience from the highest league and one might think they are a promotion candidate too.

In truth the players like Terävä, Jurvainen, Hänninen, Salmikivi and so on are way past their sell by date, most of them have been in lower leagues for some years now and their good performances are only a good memory. Class-wise PK-35 look like a midtable team at best.

TPS have missed players from the start and have not been able to field optimal lineups. There have been defenders missing and the strikers are inefficient, and not everyone is happy with the coach Jonathan Johansson (Rangers etc), but they have the better team available today, and are about 40% favourites today to win the game.

Odds are good enough for me.

0-2

正如今天早些时候在基柏那场分析中提到的，今年的联赛非常平稳，而且在这轮比赛中，还有一支升班马球队将会对阵升级的热门球队。任何球队都可以赢得比赛，问题是胜算是否足够大。

在土尔库网站上，我们得到的信息是

Elmo Heinonen、Oskari Jakonen、Joakim Latonen、Samuel Mahlamäki、Onnipekka Pajula、Roope Pakkanen 和 Kalle Taimi 因伤缺阵，在不了解更多情况的情况下，这似乎有点令人担忧，因为名单很长。

这些球员大多是替补球员，只有少数没有很好替换的球员，所以这些信息价值不高。

主队PK-35上周在赫尔辛基德比战中以1-0战胜了降级候选人 Klubi-04。我观看了比赛，这是一场比较不符合实际的比赛，尤其是在上半场，Klubi-04的球员一次又一次地摧毁了PK-35的防守。PK攻击大多不存在威胁，但在裁判的判罚下，他们获得了点球。

球队名单PK-35的实力非常强，很多有最高联赛经验的球员可能会认为他们也是升级的热门。

事实上，Terävä、Jurvainen、Hänninen、Salmikivi 等球员已经岁数太大了，他们中的大多数已经在低级别联赛中呆了几年，他们的出色表现只是美好的回忆。PK-35 充其量看起来像一支中游球队。

TPS缺少了很多球员，无法派上最佳阵容。前锋效率低下，并不是每个人都对教练乔纳森·约翰逊（流浪者队等）感到满意，但他们今天的阵容得到加强，今天大约有 40% 的希望赢得比赛。

比分参考0-2。