Very cofident
2021-06-06

Daniel

外籍分析师

欧青U21

06/07 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Germany u21 doing an amazing Euro so far, and even they surprised me on their first matches. Against Denmark on the 1st half they dominated them so hard but then were bad on the 2nd half. They are really motivated since they eliminated in my opinion the 2nd favorite to win this Euro after Spain, Netherlands. Netherlands called amazing players that already played on the 1st team like Boadu and Stengs, but even with those players they were controlled by Germany. Germany is so dangerous on attack and specially on counters with high individual quality but specially collective as they play with a lot of dynamics and new nuances for every game. They will try to explore the weak Portugal's defence as they have low routines as all of the main players from the defence are bench on their main teams, except Abdu Conte that played last game as Tomas Tavares was injured. Germany don't have any absence for this game and I really think they will create a lot of problems to Portugal as well as Spain created but with bad efficiency. The 4 players of the attack are probably the best of this competition (Ozcan, Wirtz, Berisha and Nmecha.

Probable line-up: Dahmen; Baku - Pieper - Schlotterbeck - Raum; Dorsch - Maier - Berisha - Ozcan - Wirtz and Nmecha.

Portugal u21 never won this competition of u21 in the history, we have just won Euro 2016 for main team and 2 u20 titles, but never a u21. They don't have many experience for this type of competitions. The team is really really good, specially the midfield probably the best of the last 10-15 years, but the thing is that probably 80% of the team doesn't play on their teams, if we look at the defence only Tomas Tavares played for Farense and got relegated to the 2nd division, from the midfield only Gedson Fernandes for Galatasaray and on the attack only Dany Mota for Monza on Italy's 2nd division. Their rythm is not as the others and against Spain they showed that, the players very tired and just scored with a lucky own-goal. Abdu must keep on the line-up and probably Rafael Leao will start on the bench was a reacted bad when got subbed against Spain and probably will be replaced by Goncalo Ramos. I cannot Portugal to keep another game without suffering any goal with this poor defence.

Probable line-up: Diogo Costa; Diogo Dalot - Diogo Queiros - Diogo Leite - Abdu Conte; Daniel Braganca - Gedson - Vitinha - Fabio Vieira; Dany Mota and Goncalo Ramos.

Germany so much favorite here.


到目前为止,德国 U21 的表现令人惊叹,他们在第一场比赛的表现也让我感到惊讶。在上半场对阵丹麦时,他们统治着对手,但在下半场表现不佳。他们非常有动力,在我看来他们淘汰了西班牙和荷兰之后成为了第二大夺冠热门。荷兰有在一线队踢过球的球员如博阿杜和斯滕斯,但即使是如此,他们也被德国控制了比赛的节奏。德国队的进攻非常危险,特别是在部分能力很强的球员带动的反击,他们在每场比赛中都有很多变动和新的细微差别。他们将尝试探索葡萄牙薄弱的防守,因为他们的常规防守站位很低,防守的所有主要球员都是替补,除了阿卜杜·孔蒂上场比赛时托马斯·塔瓦雷斯受伤,德国本场比赛没有新的缺席,我真的认为他们会给葡萄牙带来很大的影响。进攻的4名球员可能是本次比赛中最强的组合(Ozcan,Wirtz,Berisha和Nmecha)。

葡萄牙U21在历史上从未赢得这项比赛,他们赢得了2016年欧洲杯,以及两个U20的冠军,但从来没有U21的冠军。他们对这类比赛的经验并不多。球队真的很棒,特别是中场可能是过去 10-15 年中最好的中场,但问题是球队中可能 80% 的球员都没有在他们自己的球队踢上球,如果我们看看防守,只有托马斯·塔瓦雷斯 (Tomas Tavares) 代表Farense出战,主队还遭到了降级,中场只有 Gedson Fernandes 为加拉塔萨雷效力,而在进攻中只有丹尼莫塔为意乙的蒙扎效力。他们的节奏并不像其他球队那样,在对阵西班牙的比赛中他们表现出了这一点,球员们非常疲惫,只凭借一个幸运的乌龙球取得进球。Abdu 必须保持在阵容中,可能 Rafael Leao 会成为,他在对阵西班牙的比赛中表现不佳,他可能会被 Goncalo Ramos 取代。葡萄牙在这样的防守下可能很难保持零封。

预测德国胜。

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