9/10 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-08-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Suwon Football Club VS Daejeon Citizen



Suwon welcome Daejeon for this South Korean K League 1 round 24 battle at Sungui Arena Park Saturday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not overly high by global standards but by Asian standards the level is relatively good! Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of slightly lower than average quality by the K League 1 standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity to make even more money betting on South Korean football! My fans and I have won nine of the last nine picks betting on this league. I have previewed two other matches on this league as well! Suwon have improved significantly from the disappointing - but also unlucky in terms of xPTS - last season and are in 5th place in the standings! Daejeon finished in 8th place with a total of 51 points last season but have declined this season more than I would have expected..  The bookmakers should respect them more but until they do we will take advantage of the bookies' mistakes! The bookmakers have, in fact, made surprisingly many mistakes with their odds on this league this season.. They probably put more resources on the bigger leagues - with much bigger betting volumes -  that have been played in the summer, for example the Brazilian Serie A, Swedish Allsvenskan and the MLS.. I want to highlight that Suwon play very well as a team - much better than than than the list of players would suggest. Suwon are very rarely imbalanced on the pitch - even against the top-4 teams in this league. Moreover, according to my sources Suwon have a good team spirit at the moment! Suwon have taken a fine 38 points so far. They are, quite surprisingly, only six points away from the current leaders – Gangwon and just one point behind the reigning champions, Ulsan HD. They have no obvious strengths - or weaknesses -  in their game but do sometimes struggle to defend against fast counter attacks – or very well-organized, intense pressing.. Daejeon will most probably not be able to put a lot of pressure on the hosts.. They are, all honesty, not great with counter attacking either. Suwon have scored 34 goals and have allowed 33 goals.


Yes, Suwon played a few pretty bad games in June but have lost only one of their last seven matches. Moreover, they have defeated Daejeon in the last two games between the two teams – without allowing a single goal! On the 29th of June at Daejeon World Cup Stadium 2-0. They deserved the three points as they recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks as well as attacks – 202-155. In their last game Suwon lost to Gwangju 0-1 on the road but could easily have won the game. Indeed, they managed to record more goal attempts, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks – 107-67 to be precise. The hosts had a few more shots on goal. Suwon were priced around 3.00 to win the game by the bookies. Before this they swept past Daegu on the road – winning 4-1 in the end! The starting odds on the Daegu win were around 2.40 on the betting market but sharp money from – I believe - especially from betting syndicates and independent sports betting professionals, as expected, came for Suwon and the visitors were priced around 2.40 to win at the time of kickoff. Suwon recorded many more goal attempts (13-7), shots on target and shots off target (7-3) in this game. In round 23 Suwon played well at home but Daegu managed to "steal" a point through a 2-2 draw. Indeed, Suwon were the much better team on the pitch as a whole! Daegu managed only two shots on target.. Suwon recorded many more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks – 83-66 to be precise. Before this Suwon were priced close to 4.00 away from home against Gimcheon Sangmu but took a great 3-2 win! They had many more goal attempts and even hit the woodwork twice! The hosts, who topped the standings at the time, also hit the woodwork once though. Suwon, however, created three big scoring chances – the hosts had just one..


In round 22 Suwon were pretty clear underdogs according to the bookies at home against Ulsan HD but took a 1-1 draw. I liked their performance as a whole despite having a low 36.40% ball possession.. Either team could easily have taken all three points. Suwon even recorded one more total shot than the visitors. Both teams recorded only two shots on goal. Ulsan had many more attacks though. I want to emphasize that Suwon, as usual, played a tactically smart game as a whole, allowing the stronger opponent have a pretty high ball possession but suffocating not all – but most of their attacks before anything that dangerous emerged.. Against a lowly opponent, Daejeon at home, they will probably be quite active and have around 54-57% ball possession.. No, attacking against a passive defence is does not suit Suwon's style of play perfectly but I expect them to find a way to break the visitors' not very solid defence.. Let's remember that Daejeon have not won any games away from home in this league this season and are often way too defensive on the road.. This usually results in too much pressure piling up on their defence late into the 2nd half at the latest when fatigue becomes an issue and they consequently become more error-prone.. Odds of around 1.90 are widely available on the Suwon win! With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, this is definitely too high. We will place a bet on home win with 59.50% chance of winning  - again!


Daejeon have not won any of their last seven games and must be low in confidence at the moment. In their last game they faced another disappointing team, Daegu, on the road and it was a 1-1 draw. They can be very happy with one point as Daegu recorded many more goal attempts (19-9), shots on goal, shots off target (13-5) corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they fought valiantly at home against a strong team, Pohang, but the visitors' better individual skill level at critical moments brought them a 2-1 win – despite them not being even close to their best. Pohang recorded just one more shot on goal than Daejeon in this match. In round 23 Daejeon locked horns with Gangwon at home and it was 1-1 draw. However, the visitors would have deserved a win.  Indeed, they recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (7-1), attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 92-32. Before this Daejeon faced Seoul, currently in 7th place, away from home and lost 1-2. Seoul could easily have scored more goals than two though.. Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts (18-8), shots on goal (11-3), shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 66-30. It was a disappointing performance from Daejeon as a whole. In round 22 Daejeon took a point from Jeonbuk at home through a 2-2 draw. They had one more goal attempt than the visitors, both teams had three shots on goal and Jeonbuk managed many more attacks. However, I want to mention that Jeonbuk, currently in 11th place, played clearly below their normal level in this game. Jeonbuk are a better team than the standings would suggest. Daejeon, on the other hand, showed great fighting spirit in front of their fans.. This is something we have not seen very often this season - and very rarely in away games.. Yes, Daejeon do have some potential for improvement but already 25 rounds have been played and they have a pathetic 21 points to their account so the role of (bad) luck is not all that significant of a factor anymore.. I have lowered their power rating several times as the season has progressed - reacted more than the bookies it seems .. For clarification, the power rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. The Daejeon offense has been "useless" this season despite having some individually skilled offensive players.. They simply do not attack well as team. The players often do not seem to know what to do with the ball some 20-30 meters from the opponent's goal.. Daejeon have scored only 24 goals – and only 10 away from home in the K League 1. The 24 goals scored is, together with Daegu, the lowest number in this league..



GOOD LUCK and thanks to all my fast-growing fan-base!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

水原足球俱乐部VS大田市民队



北京时间周六晚,韩国K联赛第24轮比赛将在顺义体育场公园举行,水原将迎来大田队。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平不算太高,但以亚洲标准来看,这个水平是相对不错的!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于K联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有趣的投注机会,可以在韩国足球上赚更多的钱!我和我的球迷在过去的9次选秀中赌这个联赛赢了9次。我还预演了另外两场联赛!水原已经从上赛季令人失望的——但也不幸的是在xPTS方面——有了明显的改善,目前在积分榜上排名第五!大田队上赛季以51分的成绩排名第8,但本赛季的下滑幅度超出了我的预期。博彩公司应该更加尊重他们,但在他们这样做之前,我们将利用博彩公司的错误!事实上,博彩公司在本赛季联赛的赔率上犯了很多令人惊讶的错误。他们可能会把更多的资源投入到更大的联赛上——这些联赛的投注量要大得多——比如巴西的意甲联赛、瑞典的阿尔斯旺斯坎和美国职业足球大联盟。我想强调的是,作为一支球队,水原踢得非常好——比球员名单上显示的要好得多。水原在球场上很少有不平衡的情况,即使是面对联赛前四名的球队。此外,根据我的消息来源,水原目前有很好的团队精神!到目前为止,水原已经被罚了38分。令人惊讶的是,他们与目前的领头羊江原仅相差6分,与卫冕冠军蔚山HD仅相差1分。他们在比赛中没有明显的优势或弱点,但有时确实很难防守快速反击,或者非常有组织的,激烈的压迫。大田很可能无法给东道主施加太大压力。老实说,他们也不擅长反击。水原队进了34球,失了33球。


是的,水原在6月份打了几场非常糟糕的比赛,但在最近的7场比赛中只输了一场。此外,他们在两队之间的最近两场比赛中都击败了大田队,而且没有失球!6月29日在大田世界杯体育场2-0。他们理应得到三分,因为他们记录了更多的射门次数、射正次数、射偏次数、角球次数以及进攻次数——202-155。在上一场比赛中,水原客场0-1不敌光州,但本可以轻松取胜。事实上,他们的进球次数、射偏次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加——准确地说是107比67。主队又射门几次。博彩公司将水原的获胜价格定在3.00美元左右。在此之前,他们在客场横扫大邱,最后以4-1获胜!在博彩市场上,大邱获胜的起始赔率约为2.40,但我相信,特别是来自博彩集团和独立体育博彩专业人士的大笔资金,正如预期的那样,涌入了水原,而在开球时,客队的胜率约为2.40。在本场比赛中,水原队的进球次数(13次7次)、射正和射偏次数(7次3次)都更多。在第23轮比赛中,水原在主场发挥出色,但大邱却以2比2的平局“偷取”了1分。事实上,水原队在球场上的整体表现要好得多!大邱只有2次射正。水原队的进球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数更多,准确地说是83比66。在此之前,水原在客场对阵金川尚武的比赛中标价接近4.00,但最终以3:2大胜!他们有更多的进球尝试,甚至两次击中门框!当时排名榜首的东道主也曾击中门框。然而,水原创造了三次重要的得分机会——东道主只有一次。


在第22轮比赛中,水原队在主场与蔚山HD队的比赛中明显处于劣势,但最终以1比1战平。我喜欢他们的整体表现,尽管他们的控球率只有36.40%。任何一支球队都可以轻松拿下全部三分。水原队甚至比客队多进了1球。两队都只射门两次。不过蔚山的攻击次数更多。我想强调的是,和往常一样,水原在整体上打了一场战术上明智的比赛,让实力更强的对手有很高的控球率,但在任何事情发生之前,他们的大部分进攻都被扼杀了

危险出现了……在主场对阵实力较弱的对手大田,他们可能会非常活跃,控球率在54-57%左右。不,对被动防守的进攻并不完全适合水原的比赛风格,但我希望他们能找到一种方法来打破客队不太坚固的防守。让我们记住,大田本赛季在这个联赛中没有赢过任何客场比赛,而且在客场往往过于防守。这通常会导致他们的防守压力过大,最迟在下半场后期,当疲劳成为一个问题时,他们就会变得更容易出错。水原获胜的赔率约为1.90 !考虑到预期的阵容,考虑到巨大的主场优势,这肯定太高了。我们将再次以59.50%的机会下注主场获胜!


大田队最近7场比赛一场都没赢,现在肯定信心不足。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场面对另一支令人失望的球队大邱,结果是1比1战平。大邱队的进球次数(19胜9负)、射正、射偏(13胜5负)、角球、进攻、危险进攻等都比韩国队多。在此之前,他们在主场与强队浦项进行了英勇的战斗,但客队在关键时刻的个人技术水平更高,使他们以2-1获胜——尽管他们甚至没有达到最佳状态。浦项在本场比赛中只比大田多射门1次。在第23轮比赛中,大田队主场与江原队战成1-1平。然而,客队本应赢得一场胜利。事实上,他们的进球次数、射正次数、射偏次数、角球次数(7胜1负)、进攻次数,尤其是危险的进攻次数(92胜32负)更多。在此之前,大田队客场对阵排名第7的首尔队,以1比2输掉了比赛。首尔本可以轻松地进两个以上的球。事实上,他们的进球次数(18-8次)、射正次数(11-3次)、射偏次数、角球次数、攻击和危险攻击次数(66比30)都要多。整个大田队的表现令人失望。在第22轮比赛中,大田主场2-2战平了全北的1分。他们比客队多了一次射门机会,两队都有3次射门,全北队的进攻次数更多。但是,我想说的是,目前排名第11位的全北队在这场比赛中的表现明显低于正常水平。全北是一支比排名更强的球队。大田队则在球迷面前展现出了顽强的斗志。这是我们本赛季不常见的情况,在客场比赛中更是罕见。是的,大田确实有一些提升的潜力,但是已经打了25轮了,他们的积分只有可怜的21分,所以(坏)运气的作用已经不是那么重要了。随着赛季的进展,我已经多次降低了他们的能量评级——反应似乎比博彩公司更强烈。澄清一下,能量评级反映了球队的纯粹等级,他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。本赛季,尽管大田队拥有一些个人技术娴熟的进攻球员,但他们的进攻却“毫无用处”。他们的进攻根本不像一个团队。在距离对手球门20-30米的地方,球员们似乎常常不知道该怎么处理球。在K联赛中,大田队只进了24球,而且客场只进了10球。24球是除大邱外联赛最少的进球。



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