SV Elversberg VS FC Köln

Elversberg and Köln lock horns in this German 2. Bundesliga round 2 clash at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde in Spiesen-Elversberg Saturday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is very high – for a second tier I mean. Many teams have fancy stadiums, with a big maximum capacity... Indeed, only the English Championship is of better quality! However, the maximum capacity of Waldstadion Kaiserlinde is not very high - some 10 000 spectators. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to make even more money betting on German football. My fans and I have won seven of the last eight picks betting on the 2. Bundesliga!

As this is only the 2nd round we must take a look at last season's results and statistics to calculate the probabilities here.. Elversberg played a mediocre last season. Indeed, they finished in 11th place with 43 points in their pocket. They played pretty entertaining football in most games. Indeed, they scored a decent number of goals – 43. However, it is hard to mention anything positive about their defence! Indeed, they allowed a whopping 63 goals – only one team, the rock-bottom club, Osnabruck, conceded more goals.. They played too risky football in many games – many players, especially defenders often tried to do things - for example passing the ball into small spaces – that were beyond their skill level.. They are not good at "parking the bus" ie. defending near their own goal with 10 or 11 men.. If/when they try to play active football I believe Köln will make them pay in transitions.. The difference in class between the teams is substantial – especially in terms of players' individual skills level! I also trust Köln's head coach much more than that of the hosts - especially in terms of tactics.. We will take the Köln win at the odds of around 2.00 here. They have a 57% chance of taking all three points!

Yes, Köln played a poor season in the Bundesliga, ending up in 17th place. However, let's not forget that the difference between the first tier and second tier is significant! Koln took only 27 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was 34.67. By the 2. Bundesliga standards they have an extremely strong team, especially on paper.. According to a well-known and respected German source, Transfermarkt.com, Köln are the bigger team here – by a huge margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated total of over 70 million euros! This is an exceptionally high number by this league's standards.. The Elversberg squad, on the other hand, is valued at around 13.70 million euros – which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. Köln are expected to be promoted back to the Bundesliga for next season..

Elversberg faced Magdeburg in the 1st round. Magdeburg are a pretty limited team, in all honesty, and finished in 14th place last season. No goals were scored but Elversberg were poor, especially offensively.. Indeed, the host recorded many more goal attempts (21-9), shots on goal, shots off target (15-6), corner kicks (11-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 63-20. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.55-0.56 in the hosts' favour! With this kind of performance they will – without huge luck – very probably lose to Köln.. Köln won six of the seven preseason friendlies. In their most recent friendly they beat Udinese, a decent Italian Serie A team, 3-2 away from home. In the opening round they lost to Hamburger SV 1-2 at home but were very unlucky! Let's remember that Hamburger SV are a traditional Bundesliga team,  and are a big team for this level. They finished in 4th place last season.. Köln had massively more goal attempts (26-9), shots off goal (22-3), attacks and dangerous attacks -100-20 to be precise! The xG numbers were 3.54-1.86 in Köln's favour. It was an annoying defeat for Köln and I expect them to be irritated by it here – ready to crush Elversberg! I expect Köln to control the events at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde for most of 90 minutes..

埃尔弗斯伯格VS FC Köln

Elversberg和Köln在这个德国2中发生了争执。北京时间周六晚，德甲第二轮比赛将在施皮森-埃尔弗斯贝格的凯泽林德瓦尔德球场进行。这个联赛的水平非常高——我的意思是，对于二线球队来说。许多球队都有华丽的体育场，最大容量很大。的确，只有英冠的质量比它好!然而，凯撒林德森林体育场的最大容量并不是很高，只有大约1万名观众。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的投注机会，可以在德国足球上赚更多的钱。我和我的粉丝赌2号赢了过去8次中的7次。德甲!

由于这只是第二轮，我们必须看看上赛季的结果和数据来计算概率。埃尔弗斯伯格上个赛季打得一般。事实上，他们以43分的成绩排在第11位。他们在大多数比赛中踢得很有趣。事实上，他们进了相当多的球——43球。然而，很难对他们的防守提出任何积极的评价!事实上,他们允许多达63的目标,只有一个团队,底层的俱乐部,奥斯纳布吕克,承认更多的球。他们在很多比赛中踢得太冒险了——很多球员，尤其是后卫经常试图做一些超出他们技术水平的事情——比如把球传给小空间。他们不擅长“停车”。他们在自己的球门附近用10人或11人防守。如果/当他们尝试踢积极的足球时，我相信Köln会让他们在过渡中付出代价。两支球队在级别上的差异是巨大的——尤其是在球员的个人技术水平上!我也更信任Köln的主教练，尤其是在战术方面。我们将采取Köln赢在这里的赔率约为2.00。他们有57%的机会拿到全部三分!

是的，Köln在德甲踢了一个糟糕的赛季，最终排名第17位。然而，让我们不要忘记，第一层和第二层之间的区别是显著的!科隆队虽然只获得了27分，但他们的期望分数(xPTS)达到了34.67分。乘以2。按照德甲的标准，他们是一支非常强大的球队，尤其是在纸面上。根据德国知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，Transfermarkt.com, Köln在这里是更大的球队-以巨大的优势!事实上，他们的球员估计总价值超过7000万欧元!以联盟的标准来看，这是一个非常高的数字。另一方面，埃尔弗斯伯格的阵容价值约为1370万欧元，这在我的专业意见中或多或少是正确的。Köln下赛季有望升入德甲。

埃尔弗斯伯格在第一轮对阵马格德堡。马格德堡是一支非常有限的球队，老实说，上赛季只排在第14位。虽然没有进球，但埃尔弗斯伯格表现很差，尤其是进攻端。事实上，东道主的进球次数(21-9)、射正次数、射偏次数(15-6)、角球次数(11-1)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(63-20)要多得多。预期进球数(xG)是2.55比0.56，对东道主有利!以这样的表现，如果运气不好，他们很可能会输给Köln。Köln赢得了七场季前赛中的六场。在最近的友谊赛中，他们客场3-2击败了一支不错的意甲球队乌迪内斯。在首轮比赛中，他们主场1-2不敌汉堡SV，但非常不幸!让我们记住汉堡SV是一支传统的德甲球队，在这个级别上是一支强队。他们上赛季排名第四。Köln有更多的射门次数(26-9)，射门次数(22-3)，进攻和危险进攻——准确地说，是100-20 !xG值为3.54-1.86，对Köln有利。对于Köln来说，这是一场令人恼火的失败，我希望他们在这里被激怒——准备碾碎埃尔弗斯伯格!我希望Köln能在90分钟的时间里控制凯瑟林德森林公园的局势。