Fagiano Okayama VS JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Okayama and Chiba lock horns in this J2 League round 26 battle at City Light Stadium Saturday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not all that high by global standards but by Asian standards the level is pretty good – for 2nd tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of better than average standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to make even more money betting on Japanese football. My fans and I have won six of the last eight picks betting on the J2 League. Okayama have clearly improved from last season when they ended up in 10th place with 58 points. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was 61.35 though.. They currently occupy the 4th place in the standings with a fine 42 points to their account.. Their number of xPTS is somewhat smaller though.. The top-3 teams, Yokohama FC, Shimizu S-Pulse and V-Varen Nagasaki have been much stronger than Okayama... Even so, the bookies should stop underestimating Okayama! They do, however, lack some firepower compared to the top-3 teams.. Their offensive structure is okay but do not have the most skilled offensive players. Yes, Chiba, too, have scored more goals than Okayama. The hosts' have scored 32 goals and their number of expected goals (xG) is 33.78. Their defence has been extremely solid though – mainly thanks to the excellent structure and very few silly individual mistakes.. Their head coach should be given a lot of credit too.. Indeed, they have allowed only 21 goals! Only Yokohama have conceded less goals -15. Chiba are currently in 8th place with 36 points. Last season they took 6th place. They should have some potential for improvement but the bookies keep overestimating their (current) level.. They have been very imbalanced on the pitch – not being able to make the most of their potential/players' skills.. They have scored 44 goals but their number of xG is "only" 38.76. Their defence has been strangely vulnerable - they have allowed 31 goals, more than Mito - currently in 17th place!
The bookies see Okayama only as very marginal favourites here - offering them odds of around 2.60 to take all three points. This is way too high! We will take the hosts +0.5 goals handicap option with confidence! Okayama have been very strong at home this season, taking 23 points in front of their fans in 12 games. Chiba on the other hand have taken only three matches away from home in this season.. They somehow seem to lack confidence to play aggressively enough on the road.. Moreover, they have lost three of their last J2 League matches. In their last game they faced Yokohama FC on the road and did have their chances to take at least a point. However, Yokohama did the small details better on the pitch – despite being very far from their best! Yokohama scored twice in the injury time, winning 2-1. Surely a huge blow to Chiba mentally.. Before this Chiba were clear favourites on the betting market but lost to Kumamoto 0-2 at home! It was a lame performance to say the least! The visitors recorded many more goal attempts (16-8), shots on goal as well as shots on target.
Okayama have lost only one of their last six matches. In their most recent game they faced Montedio Yamagata and were very unlucky not to win! Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts (19-6), shots in goal (6-1), shots off target, corner kicks (10-1), attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 92-33. Before this they were the slightly better team on the pitch as a whole away from home against Tochigi. However, the hosts forced Okayama into a 1-1 draw. In round 23 Okayama were excellent, beating Vegalta Sendai 2-0 at home. The visitors had a pretty high ball possession % but Okayama played smartly, recording 20 goal attempts! Vegalta Sendai recorded only two shots on goal. It was yet another example of how well Okayama can defend – as a team!
冈山法野VS JEF联队千叶市原
北京时间周六晚上,冈山和千叶将在J2联赛第26轮的比赛中在城市之光体育场展开较量。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平并不是那么高,但以亚洲标准来看,这个水平是相当不错的——我的意思是,对于二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比平均水平更好的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有前途的投注机会,可以在日本足球上赚更多的钱。我和我的球迷在过去的8次J2联赛中赢了6次。与上赛季相比,冈山车队明显有了进步,上赛季他们以58分排名第十。他们的期望值(xPTS)是61.35。他们目前在积分榜上排名第四,总共积了42分。不过他们的xpt数量要少一些。排名前三的球队,横滨FC,清水S-Pulse和长崎V-Varen都比冈山强多了…即便如此,博彩公司也不应再低估冈山!然而,与前三名的球队相比,他们确实缺乏一些火力。他们的进攻结构还可以,但是没有最熟练的进攻球员。是的,千叶也比冈山进了更多的球。东道主已经打进32球,他们的预期进球数(xG)为33.78。他们的防守非常稳固,主要是由于出色的结构和很少的愚蠢的个人失误。他们的主教练也应该得到很多赞扬。事实上,他们只丢了21个球!只有横滨丢了15个球。千叶目前以36分排名第8。上个赛季他们获得了第六名。他们应该有一些提高的潜力,但博彩公司总是高估他们(目前)的水平。他们在球场上非常不平衡——不能充分发挥他们的潜力/球员的技术。他们进了44个球,但他们的进球“只有”38.76个。他们的后防线出奇地脆弱——他们丢了31个球,比水户还多——他们目前排在第17位!
博彩公司认为冈山在这里只是一个非常小的热门——给他们提供2.60左右的赔率来获得全部三分。这太高了!我们将充满信心地接受东道主+0.5球的不利选择!冈山本赛季在主场表现非常强劲,在12场比赛中在球迷面前拿下了23分。另一方面,千叶本赛季只在客场取得了3场胜利。他们似乎缺乏信心在客场打出足够的侵略性。此外,他们在最近的J2联赛中输了三场。在上一场客场对阵横滨FC的比赛中,他们确实有机会至少拿一分。然而,横滨在球场上的小细节做得更好——尽管离他们的最佳状态还差得很远!横滨队在伤停补时阶段梅开二度,以2-1获胜。这无疑是对千叶精神上的巨大打击。在此之前,千叶在博彩市场上是明显的热门,但在主场以0比2输给熊本!至少可以说,这是一场蹩脚的表演!客队的进球次数更多(16-8次),射正次数和射正次数也更多。
冈山队在最近六场比赛中只输了一场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们面对山形Montedio Yamagata,非常不幸地没有赢!事实上,他们的进球次数(19胜6负)、射正次数(6胜1负)、射偏次数(10胜1负)、角球次数(10胜1负)、进攻,尤其是危险的进攻——92胜33负。在此之前,他们在客场对阵枥木的比赛中整体表现稍好。然而,东道主迫使冈山队1-1战平。在第23轮比赛中,冈山队表现出色,在主场2-0击败了仙台维加尔塔。客队的控球率相当高,但冈山踢得很聪明,有20次射门!仙台维加尔塔仅有2次射门。这是冈山作为一个团队防守能力的又一个例子!