The Japanese J1 League is back! On Wednesday night, a couple of games will happen and I will talk about a match between Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu. After 24 games, Kashima has 44 points and 3rd place while Sagan Tosu has 23 points and 19th position. In this game, I predict Kashima's win.

There was a little break in the championship. Kashima played a friendly game against Brighton and lost 1:5. Before that, Kashima won 2 out of the last 3 J1 League games. Despite the loss on the road against Yokohama, Kashima had a better xG rating. Before that, Kashima also had some draws and losses but almost in all games, Kashima had a better xG or at least equal. At home, Kashima is the best team in the league with 8 wins and 4 draws in 12 games, with 20 goals scored and 10 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.34 goals and concede 1.42.

Sagan Tosu lost both games before the break and that ended their two-game winning streak. While the team had 2 road wins, both were against teams that in the standings are in the middle or bottom and both times, the xG was very close. It also must be said that the opponents controlled the ball more and more shots in total so Sagan Tosu was a little bit lucky to get 2 wins away from home. Overall this season, Sagan Tosu is the 3rd worst road team in the league with 3 wins and 1 draw in 11 games, with a total of 12 goals scored and 21 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.26 goals on the road and concede 1.85 goals.

As we see, two different levels of teams are playing each other. Kashima is a big force at home. If we look back at their home performance in the last 365 days, the team has lost only 2 home games - one in the J1 League and one in the cup. When teams are playing in front of Kashima fans, the hosts have won 5 times out of 6.

日本J1联赛回来了!周三晚上，将有几场比赛，我将谈谈鹿岛鹿角队和萨根渡队之间的比赛。经过24场比赛，鹿岛以44分排名第3，萨根托苏以23分排名第19。在这场比赛中，我预测鹿岛会赢。

冠军赛有个小间歇。鹿岛与布莱顿进行了一场友谊赛，以1:5输掉了比赛。在此之前，鹿岛在最近的3场J1联赛中赢了2场。尽管在客场输给横滨，鹿岛有一个更好的xG评级。在此之前，鹿岛也有一些平局和输球，但几乎在所有的比赛中，鹿岛都有更好的xG，或者至少是相等的。在主场，鹿岛队在12场比赛中8胜4平，进20球失10球，是联赛中表现最好的球队。平均每场比赛，球队将进1.34球，丢1.42球。

萨根·托苏在中场休息前输掉了两场比赛，结束了他们的两连胜。虽然这支球队有两场客场胜利，但都是对阵排名中游或垫底的球队，而且两次，xG都非常接近。还必须说的是，对手控制球的次数越来越多，所以萨根·托苏在客场取得2场胜利有点幸运。总的来说，萨根-托苏在本赛季的11场比赛中取得了3胜1平的成绩，进12球失21球，是联赛倒数第三的客场球队。在客场比赛中，预计球队将进1.26球，丢1.85球。

正如我们所看到的，两支不同级别的球队正在比赛。鹿岛在国内是一股强大的力量。如果我们回顾一下他们在过去365天的主场表现，球队只输掉了2场主场比赛——1场在J1联赛，1场在杯赛。当球队在鹿岛球迷面前比赛时，东道主6次赢了5次。