Spain is a much better team here.
Brazil managed to qualify with a lot of luck as one of the best third qualified in the groups. However, I had zero expectatives on them. They have a weak squad, where only the legendary Marta has experience and quality at her 38 years old.
The best Brazil’s player so far, undoubtedly, has been goalkeeper Lorena. And this is a clear signal of Brazil’s performance so far. They have conceded a lot of chances and were outplayed in almost all games, but Lorena made amazing saves.
I have also seen too many changes in the lineup and the system. Sometimes with 4-4-2, others with 5-2-3, changes in all positions… This is a signal that the coach doesn’t even have a clear XI yet.
In the group stage they were totally outplayed by Spain and Japan (losing both), whilst against Nigeria was a very equal game but they won 0:1. The quarter final against France was a miracle. France missed a penalty at 16’ from 0:0, had a lot of chances, and dominated the whole game, but goalkeeper Lorena made a great game (as well as the whole defensive line in Brazil) and they found the net at 82’, without too much time for France to react.
However, I can’t see another miracle here. Also because Spain is a much better team than France.
Spain is the current World Cup Champion (2023), and has the best players in the tournament. Majority of their squad is based on players who have won the Champions League with FC Barcelona, and is a team with plenty of experience and quality.
For me they have been one of the best teams in the group stage, winning all three games and conceding only one goal. Their performance against Colombia in the quarter final was terrible. But there are two positive notes from this: they won’t repeat the same, and also gave them a lot of confidence.
They had to make a comeback from 2:0 down (scoring the equalizer at 97’), to finally win and qualify in the penalty shootout. However, they generated a lot of chances (+30 shots) showing that they are a very strong team and difficult to beat, and we can’t say that the victory wasn’t fair.
In the group stage Spain won 2:0 and totally outplayed Brazil, showing a huge difference between both teams. I expect Spain to do the same here, generating plenty of chances, and they just need to defend better as they did against Colombia and avoid conceding.
The quality difference between both teams is huge and I expect Spain to qualify easily here.
西班牙在这里是一支更好的球队。
巴西队以小组第三强的身份出线,运气很好。然而,我对他们没有任何期望。他们的阵容很弱,只有传奇的玛尔塔在她38岁的时候有经验和能力。
迄今为止,巴西最好的球员无疑是门将洛雷纳。这是迄今为止巴西表现的一个明确信号。他们失去了很多机会,几乎在所有比赛中都被击败,但洛雷纳做出了惊人的扑救。
我也看到了阵容和体系上太多的变化。有时是4-4-2,有时是5-2-3,所有的位置都在变化……这是一个信号,教练甚至还没有一个明确的阵容。
在小组赛阶段,他们完全被西班牙和日本击败(两队都输了),而对尼日利亚的比赛是一场非常势均力敌的比赛,但他们以0:1获胜。与法国队的四分之一决赛是一个奇迹。法国队在0:0开始的第16分钟错失了一个点球,有很多机会,并控制了整场比赛,但门将洛雷纳发挥出色(以及巴西队的整个防线),他们在82分钟找到了球门,法国队没有太多时间做出反应。
然而,我在这里看不到另一个奇迹。也因为西班牙队比法国队强得多。
西班牙队是本届世界杯冠军(2023年),拥有本届世界杯最好的球员。他们的大部分球员都是在巴塞罗那赢得过欧冠冠军的球员,这是一支经验丰富、实力雄厚的球队。
对我来说,他们是小组赛中最好的球队之一,三场比赛都赢了,只丢了一个球。他们在四分之一决赛中对哥伦比亚队的表现很糟糕。但这有两个积极的方面:他们不会重蹈覆辙,也给了他们很大的信心。
他们不得不在2:0落后的情况下(在97分扳平比分)反败为胜,最终在点球大战中获胜并晋级。然而,他们创造了很多机会(+30次射门),这表明他们是一支非常强大的球队,很难被击败,我们不能说胜利是不公平的。
在小组赛中,西班牙队以2:0获胜,完全击败了巴西队,显示出两队之间的巨大差距。我希望西班牙在这里也能做同样的事情,创造大量的机会,他们只需要像对阵哥伦比亚那样更好地防守,避免失球。
两支球队之间的实力差距是巨大的,我希望西班牙能轻松晋级。