Spain or Morocco to the final?
2024-08-05

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Morocco has been impressive so far. I had big expectations on them, as they have a great squad with players who have been brilliant in the World Cup 2022 with the senior team, such as Achraf Hakimi or Ez Abde. In the quarter finals they destroyed the United States, winning 4:0 and completely dominating the game.

So far Morocco has shown that they are a strong team physically, but also with great technical skills.

Their most impressive players so far have been Hakimi and striker Rahimi, who has scored 5 goals so far and looks full of confidence. Ilias Akomach has been great also in the last two games against Iraq and USA.

For this fixture they need to maintain the good defensive level they had against Iraq and USA, where they conceded 0 goals, very few chances, and less than 0.70 expected goals. What I’m worried about is that it is expected in this game for Morocco to have less possession than their opponent, something that only happened one time in the tournament so far: against Argentina, where they struggled a lot to win (but we can’t disagree that they also didn’t deserve to lose).

On the other hand, Spain has been irregular so far. They are coming with confidence after beating Japan 0:3 in quarter finals, but previously suffered a defeat against Egypt 1:2 where they were outplayed.

It’s true that Spain made rotations there, but anyway showed a very poor performance in my opinion.

They have a lot of quality upfront, especially with players like Abel Ruiz or Fermin Lopez, as well as Baena in the midfield. However, defensively they have been so poor. Have conceded goals in all games except Japan, where rivals had a goal disallowed by VAR.

Spain will face a very tough opponent here. Spain has more quality, but Morocco has more intensity and is physically stronger.

This should be a very tight game, where the draw at the regular time is very possible given how equal both teams are. Also Spain could struggle a lot with Morocco’s counters. Spain’s defense has been weak so far and Morocco has an in-form striker who has been the best player in the tournament so far - Rahimi, who I believe could hurt Spain’s weak defense.



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到目前为止,摩洛哥的表现令人印象深刻。我对他们有很高的期望,因为他们有一个伟大的阵容,有很多在2022年世界杯上表现出色的球员,比如阿赫拉夫·哈基米和埃兹·阿布德。在四分之一决赛中,他们击败了美国队,4:0获胜,完全控制了比赛。

到目前为止,摩洛哥已经证明了他们是一支身体素质很强的球队,而且技术水平也很高。

到目前为止,他们最令人印象深刻的球员是哈基米和前锋拉希米,拉希米目前已经打进5球,看起来充满信心。阿科马赫在最近两场对伊拉克和美国的比赛中也表现出色。

在这场比赛中,他们需要保持对阵伊拉克和美国时的良好防守水平,在这两场比赛中,他们丢了0个球,机会很少,预期进球少于0.70个。我担心的是,在这场比赛中,摩洛哥的控球率预计会低于对手,这种情况在本届杯赛迄今为止只发生过一次:对阵阿根廷,他们费了很大劲才赢下比赛(但我们不能否认,他们也不应该输球)。

另一方面,西班牙到目前为止一直是不规范的。在四分之一决赛中以0:3击败日本队后,他们充满信心,但之前曾以1:2输给埃及,并在比赛中被击败。

西班牙确实在那里进行了轮换,但在我看来,他们的表现非常糟糕。

他们有很多优秀的前锋,尤其是像阿贝尔·鲁伊斯和费尔明·洛佩斯这样的球员,还有中场的巴埃纳。然而,他们的防守太差劲了。在除日本队之外的所有比赛中都有失球,日本队对手的进球被VAR判罚无效。

西班牙将在这里面对一个非常强硬的对手。西班牙队实力更强,但摩洛哥的强度更大,身体也更强。

这将是一场势均力敌的比赛,鉴于两队实力相当,很有可能在常规时间打成平局。此外,西班牙队可能会在摩洛哥的反击下挣扎。西班牙队的防守到目前为止还很薄弱,摩洛哥队有一名状态良好的前锋拉希米,他是本届杯赛迄今为止表现最好的球员,我相信他可以弥补西班牙队薄弱的防守。

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