Liga 2 playoffs. Who will be promoted? 西乙 阿尔梅里亚vs赫罗纳
2021-06-05

Borja

外籍分析师

西乙

06/06 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Almeria should at least win here.

Playoff semifinal; first game ended 3-0 for Girona, so hosts need at least a 3 goals victory to play the ET.

Almeria was favorite in the odds (and according to experts as well) in the playoff vs Girona (odds was around 1.60-1.70 to qualify, 2.20-2.40 for Girona), and I agreed with that. Almeria is a very strong team in La Liga 2, a team made to be promoted. The best example is that the previous coach was fired when the team was 2nd on table because the club was very ambitious and wanted more.

They have a very strong attack with one of the best strikers in the league - Sadiq. Is truth that first game was terrible, but it was due to lack of concentration as they conceded two goals in the first 5 minutes of the match.

Cuenca and Brian Rodriguez are out, but they have good replacements. Without them, Almeria will play even more offensive so isn’t a bad deal.

On the other hand, Girona has been the best team of the second part of the season in La Liga 2. After a terrible first part, improved a lot and managed to qualify for the playoffs. Anyway, they are on a similar level as Almeria (personally I see them one step below).

It’s very difficult to keep the motivation and concentration on huge results like this one, where players know that they can lose by 1 or even 2 goals and still qualify. Coach even mentioned that the rotations are possible, as they just had 3 days to rest and will play (most probably) the final next week.

For this match will miss two key players due to injuries: best striker and topscorer Stuani and Pablo Moreno. Striker replacement Valery Fernandez is out as well. Furthermore, another key midfielder like Joel Barcenas is out with Panama (he will be back next week). So Girona will miss 3 solid starters for this fixture.

I’m expecting a match dominated by hosts, where they must show why they were favorites in this playoff and at least, add some interest and pressure in this round. I can’t see Girona winning again. Almeria will be ultra motivated and they have quality enough for at least win here, as they did in March where they won 0-1 deservedly.

阿尔梅里亚至少应该赢。

季后赛半决赛;第一场比赛赫罗纳以3-0结束,所以东道主需要至少3个进球才能战胜。

在与赫罗纳的季后赛中,阿尔梅里亚的赔率是最受欢迎的(根据专家的说法也是如此)(出线的赔率大约是1.60-1.70,赫罗纳的赔率是2.20-2.40),我同意这一点。阿尔梅里亚在西甲是一支非常强大的球队,一支晋级的球队。最好的例子是,当球队排名第二时,前任教练被解雇了,因为俱乐部雄心勃勃,想要更多。

他们拥有联盟中最好的前锋之一——萨迪克,他们的攻击力很强。第一场比赛很糟糕,这是事实,但这是因为他们缺乏专注,因为他们在比赛的前5分钟就丢了两个球。

昆卡和布莱恩·罗德里格斯出局了,但他们有很好的替补。没有他们,阿尔梅里亚将会打得更有进攻性,所以这不是一笔糟糕的交易。

另一方面,赫罗纳是西甲第二阶段的最佳球队。在经历了糟糕的第一部分后,进步了很多,并成功进入了季后赛。无论如何,他们和Almeria处于相似的水平(我个人认为他们比Almeria低一步)。

在这种情况下,玩家很难保持动力并专注于如此巨大的结果,因为他们知道自己可能输掉1个甚至2个球,但仍有资格晋级。教练甚至提到了轮换是可能的,因为他们只有3天的休息时间,而且(很有可能)下周将打决赛。

本场比赛将有两名关键球员因伤缺阵:最佳射手和最佳射手斯图阿尼和巴勃罗·莫雷诺。前锋替补费尔南德斯也将出局。此外,另一名中场球员如乔尔·巴尔塞纳斯将缺席巴拿马队(他将在下周回归)。所以赫罗纳将会错过三名出色的先发。

我期待一场由东道主主导的比赛,他们必须展示出为什么他们在这个季后赛是最受欢迎的,至少,在这一轮增加一些兴趣和压力。我看赫罗纳不能再赢了。阿尔梅里亚将会非常有动力,他们有足够的实力至少在这里赢球,就像他们在3月份1:0理所当然的赢球一样。

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