6/6 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-08-04

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Stromsgodset VS Brann



Stromgodset host Brann for this Norwegian Eliteserien round 17 battle at Marienlyst Stadion in Drammen late Sunday evening time. A match of much better than average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won six games in a row betting on this league here! There is no doubt about the fact that Brann are the better team in terms of pure class here.. However, the current odds of around 2.05 offered by the biggest bookmakers are substantially too low! Let's take a closer look..


Brann were promoted from the OBOS-Ligaen (back) to this level for last season and played a strong season. They finished in 2nd place in the end – taking a fine 61 points. This was the same number as Tromso, who ended up in 3rd place, managed to grab. However, Brann's number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 57.34. Stromdodset, on the other hand, finished in 7th place and were unlucky in terms of xPTS., The teams last locked horns on the 28th of June (local time) and it was a goalless draw in Brann. Brann were priced around 1.35 to win by the bookmakers. This was clearly too low! Indeed, despite the hosts having 68% ball possession Stromsgodset, too, had their chances and could definitely have won the game! Indeed, they recorded 13 scoring chances – Brann's number was 19. The visitors, however, recorded  one more shot on goal. I liked the way they "suffocated" Brann's pretty dangerous offense in this game – mainly through very well-organized defence. I want to highlight that ast season Stromsgodset crushed Brann 3-0 at Marienlyst Stadion! They deserved the win after recording many more goal attempts (8-4) and shots on target (6-1. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.04-0.63. Stromgodset were priced around 4.30-4.60 to win on the betting market. In fact, Brann have last won a game at Marienlyst Stadion in 2014!


Brann currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings and have declined performance-wise from last season.. They have grabbed 30 points and their number of xPTS is 27.04. They have scored 25 goals in 17 games. This is a good – but not great number.. For example Bodo/Glimt, who top the standings, have netted the ball 37 times in this league, Even Sarpsborg, currently in 12th place, have scored 24 goals in the Eliteserien. Away from home they have won only three games in this league. Stromsgodset, on the other hand, have lost just two games at Marienlyst Stadion in this league in 2024. Brann have allowed 20 goals and do have some defensive weaknesses.. Indeed, they are sometimes pretty vulnerable to fast counter attacks. This is something Stromsgodset are pretty good at! They are also vulnerable to  intense pressing but the hosts are not expected to play this way in this game. Stromsgodset have scored only 16 goals and do, in all honesty, lack some individual skill, creativity and speed in offense – compared to the top-teams. Even so, their number of expected goals (xG) is still 22.01. However, their defence is very well structured, their defensive structure is fine and silly individual mistakes are rare. If needed, when defending a lead, even the offensive players actively take part in defending.  Indeed, the hosts have allowed only 22 goals! Stomgodset will be without Enersen, Hansse, and Krasniqi. Brann will be missing Torsvik and Wassberg. Simba is questionable at the time of posting this analysis. Stromsgodset have had a week to rest and prepare for this challenging game. Brann, on the other hand, played a very tough and important game late on Thursday (local time). Having only two full days between games is far from important in professional football. Taking this factor and the substantial home advantage into account – with the expected lineups - Brann deserve to be only narrow favourites! The professional bettor's choice is the Stromsgodset +0.5 goals handicap option!


Brann have not won any of their last four Eliteserien games! Moreover, they have won just one of their last six games. On Thursday Brann defeated G.A Eagles 2-1 at home in an UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification 2nd round 2nd leg clash. They were priced around 1.60 to win by the bookies when the march started. Brann had one more goal attempt than the Dutch visitors. G.A Eagles, however, recorded more shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks – 51-42. They, too, could have qualified. Indeed, Brann failed to meet the betting market's expectations in this game - despite winning. The first leg was a pretty balanced clash as well. No goals were scored. Before this Brann were priced around 1.80 to beat Sarpsborg, currently in 12th place, away from home but it was a 1-1 draw. Brann were very disappointing as a whole in this game. Indeed, the hosts recorded many more goal attempts (17-5), shots on goal (7-1) and shots off target (7-3). The xG numbers were 2.87-1.27! In round 14 Brann were very big favourites at home against Haugesund (currently in 14th place) but it was another 1-1 draw. They did generate much more in xG than Haugesund but both teams had seven goal attempts. Brann were – once again – highly overvalued on the betting market. In round 13 Bodo/Glimt humiliated Brann at Aspmyra Stadion, winning 5-1 after a dominant performance. Indeed, they generated 3.97 in xG. Brann's S. Nilsen was sent off in the 10th minute though but Brann allowing five goals – and some of their players "throwing in the towel" after the 2-0 goal was something a top-team should not show on the pitch!


Stromsgodset have not been in good form recently either.. However, their latest results are worse than their performances on the pitch. The bookies have overreacted to their lame recent results! In their last game they lost to Odd 0-2 on the road. However, they had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal (8-4), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks - 59-36. The xG numbers were 0.59-0.52 in the visitors' favour. Odd recorded one more shot on goal though. Before this Stromsgodset lost to Tromso at home despite recording 18 goal attempts. They were extremely unlucky not to score even once! Indeed, they generated much more than Tromso in xG! In round 14 Lillestrom played well at home and Stomgodset were, in all honesty,  a bit disappointing as a whole. However, the hosts, who were pretty clear favourites in this game, scored two quick goals (Olsen 15' and Kitolano 17') – as result they gained big momentum and electrified their fans. Stromgodeset did not give up though – Tomasson scored the 2-1 goal in the 32nd minute. Before these three losses Stromgodset were undefeated in five games in a row. In round 13 they played a 1-1 draw with Sandefjord at home but recorded many more shots on goal, shots off goal as well as goal attempts than the visitors. The xG numbers were 1.93-0.87 in the hosts' favour.




More top-quality picks on big games will be posted later today and on Sunday!


GOOD LUCK and thanks to my growing fan-base!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

斯特罗姆塞特VS布莱恩



周日晚些时候,斯特罗姆戈塞特主场迎战布兰恩,将在德拉门的马里恩利斯特球场与挪威精英队进行第17轮比赛。按照联盟的标准,一场比平均水平高得多的比赛即将到来。最重要的是,我们这些认真的、渴望利润的赌徒在这里又有了一个非常有趣的投注机会!我们已经连续赢了六场比赛了!毫无疑问,从纯粹的等级来看,布朗是更好的球队。然而,目前最大的博彩公司提供的2.05左右的赔率实际上太低了!让我们仔细看看……


上赛季,布兰恩从OBOS-Ligaen(后场)升入这个级别,并打出了一个强劲的赛季。他们最终以第二名的成绩结束了比赛,拿到了整整61分。这一数字与排名第三的特罗姆瑟(Tromso)相同。然而,Brann的预期点数(xPTS)“仅”为57.34。另一方面,斯特罗姆多塞特排在第七位,在xPTS方面运气不佳。两队上一次交锋是在6月28日(当地时间),双方在布兰恩以0比0战平。博彩公司给布莱恩开出了1.35英镑的胜率。这显然太低了!事实上,尽管主队有68%的控球率,斯特罗姆斯戈特也有机会,而且绝对可以赢得比赛!事实上,他们创造了13次得分机会,而布兰恩的得分机会是19次。然而,客队又射正了球门。我喜欢他们在这场比赛中“窒息”了布莱恩相当危险的进攻方式——主要是通过非常有组织的防守。我想强调的是上个赛季斯特罗姆斯戈塞特在马里恩利斯特球场3-0击败了布兰恩!在进球次数(8-4)和射正次数(6-1)更多之后,他们理应获得胜利。预期目标(xG)值为2.04-0.63。在博彩市场上,Stromgodset的价格在4.30-4.60左右。事实上,Brann上一次在Marienlyst体育场赢球是在2014年!


布兰恩目前在积分榜上排名第三,表现比上赛季有所下降。他们拿到了30分,他们的得分是27.04分。他们在17场比赛中进了25个球。这是一个很好的数字,但不是很大的数字。排名第一的博多-格里姆特在联赛中打进37球,排名第12位的萨尔普斯堡也在精英联赛中打进24球。在客场,他们在联赛中只赢了三场。另一方面,斯特罗姆戈德塞特在2024年的联赛中仅在马里恩利斯特球场输掉了两场比赛。布兰恩丢了20个球,防守确实有弱点。事实上,他们有时很容易受到快速反击。这是Stromsgodset非常擅长的!他们也很容易受到强烈的压迫,但东道主不希望在这场比赛中这样做。斯特罗姆戈特只进了16个球,老实说,与顶级球队相比,他们在进攻中缺乏一些个人技术、创造力和速度。即便如此,他们的预期目标数(xG)仍然是22.01。然而,他们的防守结构很好,他们的防守结构很好,愚蠢的个人失误很少。如果需要,在防守领先时,即使是进攻方球员也会积极参与防守。事实上,东道主只丢了22个球!Stomgodset将没有Enersen, Hansse和Krasniqi。布兰会想念托斯维克和瓦斯伯格的。在发布这篇分析时,辛巴是值得怀疑的。斯特罗姆塞特已经有一个星期的时间来休息和准备这场具有挑战性的比赛。另一方面,布兰恩在当地时间周四晚些时候打了一场非常艰难和重要的比赛。在职业足球中,两场比赛之间只有整整两天的间隔并不重要。考虑到这个因素和巨大的主场优势,加上预期的阵容,布兰恩应该只是一个微弱的热门!专业投注者的选择是Stromsgodset +0.5目标障碍选项!


布兰恩队最近四场精英赛一场都没赢!此外,他们在过去的六场比赛中只赢了一场。周四,在欧联杯资格赛第二轮第二回合的比赛中,布兰恩主场2-1击败了老鹰队。当游行开始时,博彩公司给他们开出了1.60英镑左右的赔率。布兰恩比荷兰客队多进了一个球。而老鹰队的射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数均以51比42领先。他们也有资格。事实上,布兰恩在这场比赛中没有达到博彩市场的期望——尽管他赢了。第一回合也是一场相当平衡的交锋。没有进球。在此之前,布兰恩的价格是很高的

在客场以1.80的比分击败了目前排名第12位的萨尔普斯堡,但双方以1比1战平。Brann在这场比赛中表现得非常令人失望。事实上,东道主的进球次数(17胜5负)、射正次数(7胜1负)和射偏次数(7胜3负)要多得多。xG值是2.87-1.27!在第14轮,布兰恩在主场对阵豪格松(目前排名第14)的比赛中非常受欢迎,但这又是一场1-1的平局。他们的射门机会比豪格松多得多,但两队都有7次射门机会。在博彩市场上,布莱恩再次被高估了。在第13轮比赛中,博多/格里姆特在阿斯迈拉球场羞辱了布兰恩,在表现出色后以5-1获胜。事实上,他们在xG中产生了3.97。布兰恩的尼尔森在第10分钟被红牌罚下,但布兰恩丢了5个球——他们的一些球员在2:0进球后“认输”,这是一支顶级球队不应该在球场上表现出来的!


Stromsgodset最近状态也不太好。然而,他们最近的成绩不如他们在球场上的表现。博彩公司对他们最近糟糕的结果反应过度了!在上一场比赛中,他们客场0比2输给了奇队。然而,他们有52%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射偏(8-4)、角球、进攻和危险进攻(59比36)。xG值为0.59-0.52,对客队有利。奇奇又射进了球门。在此之前,尽管有18次进球的记录,斯特罗姆塞特还是在主场输给了特罗姆瑟。他们一次都没进,真是太不幸了!事实上,他们在xG产生的收益比特罗姆瑟多得多!第14轮,利勒斯特罗姆在主场打得很好,而斯托姆戈塞特,说实话,整体上有点令人失望。然而,东道主,在这场比赛中非常明显的夺冠热门,迅速打进两球(奥尔森15分和基托拉诺17分)——结果他们获得了巨大的动力,让球迷们兴奋不已。斯特罗姆戈德塞特并没有放弃,托马森在第32分钟打进了2-1的进球。在这三场失利之前,斯特罗姆戈德塞特队连续五场比赛不败。在第13轮比赛中,他们在主场1-1战平桑德兰,但他们的射正、射偏和射门次数都比客队多。对东道主有利的xG值为1.93-0.87。




更多高质量的大比赛将在今天晚些时候和周日公布!


祝你好运,感谢我不断增长的粉丝群!

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