Who will qualify in the Olympics?
2024-07-31

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

If both teams make the same performance as they did in the previous game, USA should win this easily.

Australia is coming from a lucky victory 6:5 against Zambia. However, at 56’, they were 2:5 down. They gained confidence, especially upfront, but left a very worrying performance. Conceding 5 goals in 55 minutes against a weak team like Zambia isn’t positive, especially because against Germany in the first round conceded three goals as well. Their defense in this tournament is terrible, and I expect them to struggle here.

Against Germany showed a lack of creativity and clinical finishing which was solved against Zambia, but I think it was more Zambia’s fault that Australia's improvement.

They have a terrible organisation but good pressing tactics, but upfront I expect them to struggle without their main player - Sam Kerr, who is missing this tournament due to an injury. In Zambia’s victory, all 3 goals came from defenders. Kerr’s replacement - Mary Flower is not performing well, and is Haley Raso who looks the real danger upfront. Without their star striker Sam Kerr it’s clear Australia lacks some explosiveness upfront.


On the other hand, the USA has been fantastic so far. Dominated Zambia in the first round winning 3:0 easily, and in the second round they beat one of the title contenders - Germany, winning 4:1. I expected Germany to cause some troubles there, but USA made a brilliant performance with more possession and several players in very good form, such as Sophia Smith (who scored twice) or Swanson, who scored 1 vs Germany and 2 vs Zambia.

Upfront is where USA is performing better, with the trio Smith - Swanson - Rodman at a very high level, as well as Horan, who looks to become the new United States’s star in near future.

If the USA plays with the same intensity and creativity upfront as they did against Germany, they should be able to beat Australia easily. Germany (and the USA) are a much better team than Australia. Furthermore, the defense shown by the Aussies has been terrible so far, whilst USA has proven to be one of the best teams in this tournament: they have scored the highest number of goals so far, won both games, conceded only 1 goal, and have a lot of quality upfront.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

如果两队都能像上一场比赛一样,美国应该能轻松获胜。

澳大利亚刚刚幸运地以6:5战胜赞比亚。然而,在56分的时候,他们落后2:5。他们获得了信心,尤其是在前场,但留下了非常令人担忧的表现。面对赞比亚这样的弱队,在55分钟内丢了5个球,这并不乐观,尤其是在首轮对阵德国的比赛中,我们也丢了3个球。他们在这次比赛中的防守很糟糕,我希望他们在这里挣扎。

在对阵德国的比赛中,我们表现出缺乏创造力和冷静的射门,这在对阵赞比亚的比赛中得到了解决,但我认为这更多是赞比亚的错,而不是澳大利亚的进步。

他们的组织很糟糕,但是他们的逼抢战术很好,但是我认为他们在没有主力球员萨姆·科尔的情况下会很挣扎,因为他将因伤缺席本届比赛。在赞比亚的胜利中,所有3个进球都来自后卫。科尔的替代者玛丽·弗劳尔表现不佳,而海利·拉索看起来才是真正的威胁。没有了明星前锋萨姆·科尔,很明显澳大利亚队在前场缺乏爆发力。


另一方面,到目前为止,美国一直很棒。在第一轮中以3:0轻松击败赞比亚,在第二轮中以4:1击败冠军争夺者之一德国队。我本以为德国队会在那里制造一些麻烦,但美国队表现出色,控球率更高,几名球员状态非常好,比如索菲亚·史密斯(梅开二度)和斯旺森,他在对阵德国和赞比亚的比赛中分别进了1球和2球。

前场是美国队表现更好的地方,史密斯-斯旺森-罗德曼三人组处于很高的水平,还有霍兰,他看起来在不久的将来会成为美国队的新明星。

如果美国队能像对阵德国那样在前场发挥同样的强度和创造力,他们应该能轻松击败澳大利亚。德国(和美国)比澳大利亚强多了。此外,到目前为止,澳大利亚人的防守表现得很糟糕,而美国已经证明了他们是本届锦标赛中最好的球队之一:他们迄今为止进了最多的球,赢了两场比赛,只丢了一个球,而且前场有很多质量。

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