Fenerbahce VS Lugano

Fenerbahce and Lugano lock horns in this UEFA Champions League Qualification round 2 second leg battle at Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu in Istanbul very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat high quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another extremely interesting betting opportunity here.. We have won five picks in a row betting on the UEFA Champions League/ Qualification for the best international club competition on the planet!

The hosts are a  Turkish team,  the visitors come from Switzerland. A relatively one-sided battle on the cards here. The home advantage here is massive, even bigger than on average in UEFA's international club games.. The Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu is an intimidating place for any team to play at! Indeed, the Fenerbahce fans are extremely loud, hostile to the visiting team - and demanding towards their favourite team. They do not accept lazy performances from their team and insist on the players to keep going for goals. However, if the hosts managed to take a lead by a margin of say three goals they are still expected to lower the tempo a bit, make substitutions and concentrate on securing a win.. Fenerbahce are now coached by " The Special One'' ( Jose Mourinho) who is one of the most successful coaches in the history of football in terms of different big trophies won. The owners of Fenerbahce have, again, invested hugely on the team this season1 Their goal is to topple the reigning champions of the Super Lig, Galatasaray – and make it to the Champions League Group stage. They have a genuine chance of making both goals a reality; they have players like Dzeko, Tadic, and Fred – not world-class players, in all honesty, but still hugely better than the Lugano players! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Fenerbahce are the bigger team here - by a massive margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated approximately 250 million euros! The Lugano squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 35 million euros. Both numbers are more or less correct in my expert opinion.

The Turkish Super Lig is of better quality than the Swiss Super League as a whole but we must understand that last season, and probably this season as well, Galatasaray and Fenerbahce were/are in a league of their own.. Galatasaray won the championship with a staggering 102 points last season. Fenerbahce took a great 99 points, losing only 38 games. Moreover, at home they won 15 of the 19 games in the Super Lig! Fenerbahce have now won six competitive games in front of their fans. Lugano, on the other hand, finished in 2nd place in the Super League last season with 65 points. However, this season is expected to be a more difficult one.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) last season was "only" 60.11. In their last game they beat Basel 2-1 on the road but did not deserve the win! Indeed, the hosts had hugely more goal attempts (22-6), shots on goal, shots off goal (14-2) as well as more attacks and dangerous attacks. The first leg at Stockhorn Arena last week was a very entertaining battle. It was, in many ways, a pretty balanced clash, but the Fenerbahce players' much better individual skill level won them the game in the end - 4-3 to be precise. The Turkish visitors had only one more shot on goal though. However, I want to highlight that Turkish teams rarely shine on the road and are much better at home! This applies to Fenerbahce as well.

Lugano will have to -  at least try - to be active - even taking some risks here as they are trailing.. I do not expect this to end well for them as Fenerbahce have such a big number of fast and skilled offensive players! Most importantly,  I do not expect Fenerbache to take any risks here as a one-goal-lead is far from safe against a decent team like Lugano.. I expect them to "go for it" right from the kickoff, aiming to demoralize Lugano through a quick goal or two. The Lugano (defence) very rarely faces opponents even nearly as strong as Fenerbahce! Their defence looked pretty poorly organized even at home.. If Fenerbahce score a quick goal Lugano will have to take massive risks.. The hosts will surely "enjoy" this as they will almost surely get many chances to score in transitions. It is, however, possible that Fenerbahce will be able to remain in control on the pitch for the full – or the most of the 90 minutes – no matter how hard Lugano want to try to be offensively active.. Odds of around 1.70 are widely available on the Fenerbahce -1.5 goals handicap option at the time of posting this analysis. The chance of my fans and I winning - once again - is 64.50%. For the fans wanting to go for bigger odds, the hosts -2.5 goals handicap option is a good choice - odds of over 2.80 are offered by some of the biggest bookies. The chance of winning is 42.50%.

GOOD LUCK and thanks to my growing fan-base!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

费内巴切VS卢加诺

北京时间周三凌晨，费内巴切和卢加诺将在伊斯坦布尔乌尔克体育场Şükrü Saracoğlu展开欧冠资格赛第二轮第二回合的激战。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场高质量的比赛，以本届比赛的标准来看。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的赌博机会……我们已经连续五次赢得了欧洲冠军联赛/这个星球上最好的国际俱乐部比赛的资格!

东道主是土耳其队，客队来自瑞士。这是一场相对一边倒的战斗。主场优势是巨大的，甚至比欧足联国际俱乐部比赛的平均水平还要大。Ulker体育场Şükrü Saracoğlu对任何球队来说都是一个令人生畏的地方!的确，费内巴切的球迷非常大声，对客队充满敌意，而且对他们最喜欢的球队要求很高。他们不接受球队的懒惰表现，并坚持让球员继续为进球而努力。然而，如果东道主设法以三球的优势领先，他们仍然希望放慢节奏，进行换人，集中精力确保胜利。费内巴切现在由“特别的人”(何塞·穆里尼奥)执教，他是足球史上最成功的教练之一，赢得了不同的重大奖杯。费内巴切的老板本赛季再次在球队上投入巨资，他们的目标是推翻超级联赛卫冕冠军加拉塔萨雷，并进入欧洲冠军联赛小组赛阶段。他们有机会实现这两个目标;他们有哲科、塔迪奇和弗雷德这样的球员——老实说，他们不是世界级的球员，但仍然比卢加诺的球员要好得多!根据著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，费内巴切在这里是一支更大的球队——以巨大的优势!事实上，他们的球员估计价值约为2.5亿欧元!另一方面，卢加诺队的价值仅为3500万欧元左右。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少是正确的。

土耳其超级联赛的整体水平比瑞士超级联赛要高，但我们必须明白，上个赛季，可能还有本赛季，加拉塔萨雷和费内巴切是他们自己的联赛。加拉塔萨雷上赛季以惊人的102分夺得冠军。费内巴切拿下了99分，只输了38场比赛。此外，他们在主场赢得了19场中超联赛中的15场!费内巴切已经在他们的球迷面前赢得了六场比赛。另一方面，卢加诺上赛季以65分排名中超联赛第二。然而，本赛季预计将是一个更加艰难的赛季。他们上赛季的预期得分(xPTS)“只有”60.11。在上一场比赛中，他们客场2-1击败了巴塞尔，但他们根本不配赢得这场胜利!事实上，东道主的进球次数(22胜6负)、射正和射偏(14胜2负)，以及更多的进攻和危险进攻。上周在斯托克霍恩球场的第一回合是一场非常有趣的战斗。从很多方面来说，这是一场相当平衡的比赛，但费内巴切球员的个人技术水平要高得多，他们最终以4比3赢得了比赛。不过，土耳其客队只有一次射门机会。然而，我想强调的是，土耳其球队很少在客场表现出色，他们在主场的表现要好得多!这也适用于费内巴切。

卢加诺将不得不——至少试着——积极起来——甚至冒一些风险，因为他们落后了。我不认为费内巴切会有好结果，因为他们有这么多速度快、技术娴熟的进攻球员!最重要的是，我不希望费内巴切在这里冒任何风险，因为面对卢加诺这样一支像样的球队，一球的领先远不是安全的。我希望他们从开球开始就“全力以赴”，旨在通过一两个快速进球打击卢加诺的士气。卢加诺(后防线)很少遇到像费内巴切这样强大的对手!即使在主场，他们的防守看起来也很糟糕。如果费内巴切快速进球，卢加诺将不得不冒很大的风险。东道主肯定会“享受”这一点，因为他们几乎肯定会有很多机会在转换中得分。然而，费内巴切有可能在整场比赛中——或者90分钟的大部分时间里——保持对球场的控制，无论卢加诺多么努力地想要在进攻端保持活跃。费内巴赫的赔率约为1.70

在发布这篇分析时，E -1.5进球障碍选项。我和我的粉丝再一次获胜的几率是64.50%。对于想要获得更大赔率的球迷来说，东道主-2.5个进球障碍选项是一个不错的选择——一些最大的博彩公司提供的赔率超过2.80。中奖几率为42.50%。

祝你好运，感谢我不断增长的粉丝群!