AIK VS GAIS
AIK welcome GAIS for this Allsvenskan round 15 battle at Strawberry Arena in Solna, Stockholm very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is below average by European standards.. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of somewhat average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here.. GAIS were promoted from the Superettan, the 2nd tier, to this level for this season. They finished in second place in the Superettan with a fine 57 points last season. They are a relatively small club in terms of overall financial resources, success in the past and fan-base. Moreover, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, AIK are the bigger – by a wide margin - team here.. Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated approximately 20 million euros. The GAIS squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 6.70 million euros. I want to emphasize that this is a low number by Allsvenskan standards..
Based on the league table alone the recommended bet of AIK to win at the current odds would, of course, make no sense. The hosts will be without R. Friday. AIK will be missing – once again missing the injured Ali, Ellingsen and Fesshaie. Even with the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account I see AIK as clear favourites here. Odds of 1.80 – or even a bit more than that on the home win are widely offered by the biggest bookmakers at the time of posting this analysis and we will eagerly place a bet on the hosts. Let's not forget that at home AIK have been strong – winning five of the seven home games in Allsvenskan this season. Their fans are very enthusiastic and loud. There were over 23 000 spectators at the stadium in AIK's most recent home game. This is a very high number by Swedish standards! Their score difference at home is strong – 18:9 to be precise. As the majority of my fans probably know by now I never let the league table fool me.. Indeed, GAIS have performed much better than I would have expected in my comprehensive preseason analysis.. I have, as a result, slightly raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They are not in the top-10 in this rating. For clarification, the power rating rating reflects the teams' pure class - excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue caused by a tough match schedule. They have now become way too "hot" on the betting market.. I emphasize that many of the GAIS players have played significantly above their normal level so far this season.. This is not expected to keep happening for the rest of the season. GAIS currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with 25 points to their account. However, I want to highlight that their number of expected points xPTS is much lower!
The GAIS offense is lame for by the Allsvenskan standards.. It lacks in particular individual skill, speed, passing accuracy near the opponent's goal as well as creativity for this level. Their offensive structure is mediocre though. They have netted the ball only 19 times in this league this season.. For example Norrköping, currently in third-last place and Kalmar (second-last place) have scored more goals! The AIK offense is, in all honesty, not top-level but they still have much more firepower than GAIS! AIK have scored 26 goals and can still improve in this area of the game. .Well, in fact, AIK should improve their defence as well.. Their defenders keep making too many silly mistakes.. At home their defence has, however, been much more solid than away from home.. GAIS do defend in a structured way but have been very lucky in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA). They have been in slight decline recently, performance-wise. Yes, they beat AIK 2-0 at home last week but the final score is misleading and probably affects the odds significantly here. I expect AIK to be hungry for "revenge". AIK had 62% ball possession and recorded several more total shots in this match. GAIS had one more shot on goal through – 3-2. AIK also recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks in this game. Before this Sirius, currently in 8th place, beat GAIS 3-1 and the GAIS defence looked surprisingly vulnerable for the most of the 90 minutes..
Before the loss to Sirius GAIS played a 0-0 draw at home with Hammarby as relatively clear favourites according to the bookies – priced around 2.15 to win at the time of kickoff.. The visitors recorded several more shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. AIK have, in all honesty, not been in great form recently – results-wise in particular - but defeated Halmstad, in 10th place at the moment, 2-1 on the road before losing to GAIS. They deserved to win! Indeed, AIK had 62% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target (9-2), attacks and dangerous attacks - 50-30. Before this they lost to Kalmar 1-2 at home and were far from their best level.. Even so, they were slightly the better team as a whole on the pitch. However, we have to respect Kalmar's performance! They played one of their best matches this season. I have not overreacted to this disappointing result. . AIK are currently only in 11th place with 20 points in their pocket but should have a decent chance to finish in the top-6.. Their number of xPTS is 24.03. To sum up, despite being a strongly data-based professional bettor I give AIK's potential for improvement quite a lot of emphasis here.. However, the main rationale behind this pick is to oppose the overvalued GAIS.
Aik vs gais
AIK欢迎GAIS参加北京时间周二凌晨在斯德哥尔摩索尔纳草莓竞技场举行的阿尔斯温斯坎第15轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的最高级别。按照欧洲标准,这个联赛的水平低于平均水平。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会……GAIS在本赛季从第2级联赛Superettan升级到这个级别。上赛季他们以57分的好成绩排在超级联赛的第二位。就整体财政资源、过去的成功和球迷基础而言,他们是一家相对较小的俱乐部。此外,根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com, AIK在这里是一支规模更大的球队。事实上,他们的球员估计价值约为2000万欧元。另一方面,GAIS队的价值仅为670万欧元左右。我想强调的是,按照瑞典的标准,这是一个很低的数字。
当然,单从积分榜来看,AIK以目前的赔率来赢得比赛的建议是毫无意义的。星期五主持人将没有r。AIK将会缺席——再次缺席受伤的阿里、艾林森和费沙伊。即使有预期的阵容,考虑到巨大的主场优势,我认为AIK在这里是明显的热门。在发布这篇分析时,最大的博彩公司普遍提供1.80的赔率,甚至比主场获胜的赔率还要高一点,我们将热切地把赌注押在东道主身上。别忘了AIK在主场的表现也很强劲,本赛季在阿尔斯温斯坎的7场主场比赛中赢了5场。他们的粉丝非常热情,声音很大。在AIK最近的主场比赛中,体育场有超过23000名观众。按照瑞典的标准,这是一个非常高的数字!他们在主场的比分差距很大,确切地说是18:9。正如我的大多数粉丝现在可能知道的那样,我从来不会让积分榜欺骗我。事实上,GAIS的表现比我在季前赛综合分析中预期的要好得多。因此,我稍微提高了他们的能量等级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。他们在这个排名中没有进入前10名。澄清一下,实力评级反映的是球队的纯粹等级——排除了激励因素以及紧张赛程可能造成的疲劳。他们现在在博彩市场上变得太“热门”了。我要强调的是,本赛季到目前为止,许多GAIS球员的表现明显高于他们的正常水平。在本赛季剩下的时间里,这种情况预计不会继续发生。GAIS目前以25分排名第7位。然而,我想强调的是,他们的期望点数xPTS要低得多!
GAIS的进攻以阿尔斯温斯坎的标准来看是站不住脚的。它缺乏个人技术,速度,在对手球门附近的传球准确性以及创造力。不过他们的进攻结构一般。他们本赛季在这个联赛中只进了19次球。例如Norrköping,目前排名倒数第三,卡尔玛(倒数第二)的进球数更多!说实话,AIK的进攻不是顶级的,但他们的火力仍然比GAIS强得多!AIK已经进了26个球,在这方面还可以提高。嗯,事实上,AIK也应该提高他们的防守。他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。然而,他们在主场的防守却比在客场时稳固得多。GAIS确实以结构化的方式防守,但在预期进球方面(xGA)非常幸运。就业绩而言,它们最近略有下滑。是的,他们上周在主场2-0击败了AIK,但是最终的比分是有误导性的,可能会显著影响赔率。我希望AIK渴望“复仇”。AIK的控球率为62%,并且在本场比赛中射门次数更多。GAIS在3-2的比赛中还有一次射门。AIK在这场比赛中也记录了更多的攻击和危险攻击。在此之前,目前排名第8的天狼星以3-1击败了GAIS,而GAIS的防守在90分钟的大部分时间里看起来都很脆弱。
在输给天狼星之前,GAIS在主场0-0战平了Hammarby,根据博彩公司的说法,Hammarby是相对明显的热门——开球时的胜率约为2.15英镑。客队记录了更多的射门、进攻和危险进攻。说实话,我没有
我最近的状态很好,特别是在成绩方面,但在输给GAIS之前,我在客场以2-1击败了目前排名第十的哈尔姆斯塔德。他们应该赢!事实上,AIK拥有62%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正、射偏(9-2)、进攻和危险进攻(50-30)。在此之前,他们在主场1-2输给了卡尔玛,远远没有达到他们的最佳水平。即便如此,他们在球场上的整体表现还是稍好一些。然而,我们必须尊重卡尔玛的表现!他们打出了本赛季最好的比赛之一。对于这个令人失望的结果,我没有反应过度。AIK目前只排在第11位,有20分,但应该有很大的机会进入前6。他们的xPTS数是24.03。综上所述,尽管我是一个基于数据的专业投注者,但我在这里强调了AIK的改进潜力。然而,这种选择背后的主要理由是反对被高估的GAIS。