In my opinion Rosenborg has a bigger chance than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

Rosenberg form is on solid level as they went unbeaten in 4 of the last 6 matches in all competitions. They played friendly game against Manchester United and recorded 1:0 win. Without any shadow of doubt, that was big boost of confidence for the players and that should visible today on the pitch.

After 6 consecutive matches without a win (with only 2 goals scored), in last round Fredrikstad won on the road 1:0 against HamKam. That wasn't fully deserved result because HamKam had higher expected goals scored value than their opponents.

Fredrikstad is only 2 points behind place in the European Cups, Rosenborg is only 2 points above the relegation zone, but if You look deeper that shouldn't be like that.

According to the expected goals scored model, Rosenborg offensive formation is in top4 Eliteserien league. Fredrikstad in the same department is in bottom half of the table.

Fredrikstad conceded only 14 goals so far, but they a lot of luck. According to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 20.2. Rosenborg conceded 27 goals, but they should concede 22. As You can see is hard to say Rosenborg playing much worse than hosts of today's game.

Fredrikstad shouldn't be that low in this market. I see excellent value on the away side.

在我看来，罗森伯格有一个更大的机会，比博彩公司希望我们根据他们的赔率。

罗森博格的状态很稳定，他们在最近的6场比赛中保持了4场不败。他们与曼联进行了一场友谊赛，取得了1:0的胜利。毫无疑问，这极大地提升了球员们的信心，这在今天的比赛中应该是显而易见的。

在连续6场比赛没有获胜(只有2个进球)之后，上一轮腓特烈斯塔德客场1:0战胜哈姆卡姆。这并不是完全应得的结果，因为哈姆卡姆比他们的对手有更高的预期进球价值。

腓特烈斯塔德在欧洲杯上只落后2分，罗森堡只比降级区高出2分，但如果你看得更深入一点，情况就不应该是这样。

根据预期进球模型，罗森堡的进攻阵型在精英联赛中排名前4。同一部门的Fredrikstad在表格的下半部分。

到目前为止，弗雷德里克斯塔德只丢了14个球，但他们运气很好。根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢20.2个球。罗森博格丢了27球，但他们应该丢22球。正如你所看到的，很难说罗森博格的表现比东道主今天的比赛差多少。

Fredrikstad在这个市场上不应该那么低。我在客场看到了巨大的价值。