Molde VS Silkeborg
Molde welcome Silkeborg for this UEFA Europa League Qualification round 2 1st leg clash at Aker Stadion in Molde very early Friday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of relatively good quality by this competition's 2nd round standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! We have won four of the last five picks on the Europa League/ EL Qualification. I will post two more picks on UEFA's club competitions soon. The hosts come from Norway, the visitors are a Danish team. Molde are the better team in terms of pure class, there is no doubt about that. However, the odds of around 1.60-1.65 on the home win offered by the biggest bookies who accept the biggest wagers from customers are way too low. Molde finished only in the 5th place in the Norwegian Eliteserien. This season they have, as expected, been better, and are currently in 3rd place with 28 points. However, they are already eight points behind Bodo/Glimt and have taken only two more points than a pretty average team in terms of pure class, Fredrikstad. Yes, they can improve but the bookies seemingly give this potential too much emphasis here. However, the main rationale behind this pick is not to oppose the slightly overvalued Molde but my analysis on Silkeborg - ie. Them being more competitive than the betting market believes.. The home advantage is there, of course, but the distance from Denmark to Molde is not very long and some Silkeborg fans, too, are expected to be at Aker Stadion cheering for their favourite team. Moreover, Molde have won only two of their last six home matches.. We will take the Silkeborg +1.5 goals handicap option with a high probability of winning – once again! They will surely defend hard and the Molde defence will not break them easily. Silkeborg will surely mainly rely on fast counter attacks - this is something they are pretty good at..
As a whole, in my expert analysis, the Norwegian Eliteserien and Danish Superliga are about the same level. Denmark is a country with a great football culture and Denmark qualified for the last World Cup as well as the EURO 2024 and EURO 2020. Danish teams are often undervalued in international club games. Why this is – I do not fully understand.. For example FC Copenhagen, undervalued in many games, even qualified for the UEFA Champions League Playoffs last season! They were eventually beaten by Manchester City, a top-2 team on the planet, though. Norsdsjaelland and Midtjylland have performed pretty well in international games in the last five or so years. Silkeborg, too, have played at a decent level in 2022 in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Molde played some very good games against dangerous opponents last season. Furthermore, Bodo/Glimt too have achieved decent results in Europe.. Silkeborg had a disappointing last season. They ended up in 6th place in the Superliga last season. I expect them to do better this season! They have the quality players to challenge for a top-4 place.. In the opening round of the Superliga they beat Sonderjyske at home 1-0. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal as well as attacks. Moreover, they generated 1.78 in xG – much more than the visitors. Molde have won only one of their last three games and seem to be having a difficult period. In their last game they were priced around 1.50 against KFUM Oslo, a pretty small, newly promoted team. However, they lost 2-3 after a poor defensive performance. The visitors even recorded one more goal attempt and shots on goal! Molde had more shots on goal but KFUM generated more in xG 1.67-1.86. Before this it was a goalless draw against Fredrikstad as solid favourites on the betting market.. The hosts recorded many more goal attempts and shots on goal – 7-2! Moreover, the xG numbers were 1.55-0.79 in the hosts' favour. It was a lame performance from Molde as a whole.. Let's also not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Molde are the bigger team here – but not by a very wide margin.. Indeed, their players are valued at some 26.50 million euros. The Silkeborg squad is valued at about 18.40 million. Both numbers are a bit too low..
Molde VS Silkeborg
北京时间周五凌晨,莫尔德欢迎西尔克堡参加欧联杯资格赛第21轮第1回合的比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场相对高质量的比赛,以本届比赛的第二轮标准来看。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在最近的5次欧联杯/联赛预选赛中赢得了4次。我将很快再发表两篇关于欧足联俱乐部比赛的文章。东道主来自挪威,客队是丹麦队。莫尔德在纯粹的阶级方面是更好的球队,这是毫无疑问的。然而,接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的主场胜利赔率约为1.60-1.65,这太低了。莫尔德在挪威精英赛中仅获得第五名。这个赛季,正如预期的那样,他们变得更好了,目前以28分排名第三。然而,他们已经落后博多/格里姆特8分,而且只比一支纯职业的普通球队多拿了2分。是的,他们可以提高,但博彩公司似乎在这里过于强调这种潜力。然而,这个选择背后的主要理由不是反对略微高估的莫尔德,而是我对西尔克伯格的分析。他们比博彩市场认为的更有竞争力。当然,主场优势是存在的,但从丹麦到莫尔德的距离并不长,一些锡尔克堡球迷也预计会在阿克球场为他们最喜欢的球队加油。此外,莫尔德在过去的六场主场比赛中只赢了两场。我们将采取希尔克堡+1.5进球障碍选项,高概率获胜-再一次!他们一定会顽强防守,莫尔德的防守不会轻易突破他们。锡尔克堡肯定会主要依靠快速反击——这是他们非常擅长的。
总的来说,在我的专家分析中,挪威精英联赛和丹麦超级联赛的水平大致相同。丹麦是一个有着伟大足球文化的国家,丹麦获得了上届世界杯以及2024年和2020年欧洲杯的参赛资格。丹麦队在国际俱乐部比赛中经常被低估。为什么这是-我不完全理解…比如哥本哈根足球俱乐部,他们在很多比赛中都被低估了,甚至在上个赛季打进了欧洲冠军联赛的季后赛!他们最终被世界排名前二的曼城击败。在过去的五年左右的时间里,挪威和荷兰在国际比赛中表现得相当不错。希尔克堡在2022年的欧联杯联赛中也有不错的表现。莫尔德上赛季在对阵危险对手的比赛中打得很好。此外,Bodo/Glimt在欧洲也取得了不错的成绩。上赛季西尔克堡的表现令人失望。他们上赛季在超级联赛中排名第六。我希望他们这个赛季能做得更好!他们有实力挑战前四的位置。在超级联赛的首轮比赛中,他们在主场1-0击败了桑德兰斯克队。他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏以及进攻。此外,他们生成的xG为1.78,远高于访客。莫尔德在最近的三场比赛中只赢了一场,似乎正处于艰难时期。在上一场与KFUM Oslo的比赛中,他们的定价约为1.50美元,这是一支相当小的新晋球队。然而,由于防守表现不佳,他们以2比3输掉了比赛。客队甚至还记录了一次进球尝试和射门!莫尔德的射门次数更多,但KFUM在xG 1.67-1.86的比赛中射门次数更多。在此之前,我们0比0战平腓特烈斯塔德,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。主队的进球尝试和射门次数更多——7:2 !此外,xG值在1.55-0.79之间,对宿主有利。从整体上看,莫尔德的表演很蹩脚。我们也不要忘记,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,莫尔德在这里是更大的球队-但不是很大的差距。事实上,他们的球员身价约为2650万欧元。西尔克堡队的身价约为1840万英镑。这两个数字都太低了。