17/20 IN EUROPE+ VALUE BET 欧罗巴 莫尔德VS锡尔克堡
2024-07-25

Wesley

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Molde faced a surprising 2-3 defeat at home against newly-promoted KFUM, despite being the clear favorites. This result reflected the match fairly well. Previously, they drew 0-0 against Fredrikstad in a closely contested game, where Molde perhaps had the better chances but couldn't secure the win. Molde was considered one of the main challengers to Bodo Glimt for the title this season, but their inconsistency has raised doubts about their title ambitions. A recent run of 3 wins and 2 draws suggested they were finding form again, but the loss to KFUM highlighted ongoing challenges. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, Molde sits in 3rd place, eight points behind league leaders Glimt. In the previous season, Molde narrowly missed out on the Champions League group stage, losing 3-5 on aggregate to Galatasaray. They then participated in the Europa League, finishing third in a group with Bayer Leverkusen, Qarabag, and Hacken, moving on to the Conference League. Molde defeated Legia Warszawa in the knockout round but were eliminated in the round of 16 by Club Brugge, following a 2-1 home win and a 0-3 away loss. Silkeborg began their Danish Superliga season with a solid 1-0 home win against Sonderjyske. Last season, Silkeborg had a challenging campaign, enduring a 14-match winless streak before ending the season on a positive note with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their final four games. They finished 6th with a record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses. Silkeborg's season was highlighted by winning the Danish Cup, defeating AGF 1-0 in the final, and securing both a trophy and a spot in the Europa League qualifiers. Two years ago, they were eliminated in the Europa League playoff round by HJK and subsequently competed in the Conference League group stage. They secured 3rd place in their group, notably defeating FCSB twice 5-0 but losing all four matches against West Ham and Anderlecht. Molde is a natural favourite here, but I can't quite trust them at low odds. I think it looks a bit more even than the odds would suggest, so I'm going for a +1.5 AH on the guests



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莫尔德在主场出人意料地以2比3的比分输给了新升入豪门的KFUM,尽管莫尔德显然是夺冠热门。这个结果很好地反映了这场比赛。此前,他们在一场势均力敌的比赛中0-0战平腓特烈斯塔德,莫尔德可能有更好的机会,但未能确保获胜。莫尔德被认为是本赛季博多·格里姆特夺冠的主要挑战者之一,但他们的不稳定让人们对他们夺冠的雄心产生了怀疑。最近的3胜2平表明他们再次找回了状态,但输给KFUM凸显了持续的挑战。莫尔德以8胜4平4负的成绩排名第三,落后联盟领头羊格里姆特8分。在上个赛季,莫尔德在欧冠小组赛中以3-5的总比分输给了加拉塔萨雷。随后他们参加了欧联杯,与勒沃库森、卡拉巴格和哈肯同组,以第三名的成绩晋级欧洲联赛。莫尔德在淘汰赛中击败了华沙莱吉亚,但在16强中被布鲁日俱乐部淘汰,此前他们主场2-1获胜,客场0-3失利。希尔克堡以主场1-0大胜桑德杰斯克开始了他们的丹麦超级联赛。上个赛季,锡尔克堡经历了一个充满挑战的赛季,经历了14场零连胜,在最后4场比赛中以2胜1平1负的成绩结束了这个赛季。他们以10胜6平16负的战绩排名第6。希尔克堡本赛季的亮点是赢得丹麦杯,在决赛中以1比0击败AGF,并获得了奖杯和欧洲联赛预选赛的席位。两年前,他们在欧联杯附加赛中被海克队淘汰,随后参加了联系杯小组赛。他们以5-0两次击败FCSB,但在对阵西汉姆和安德莱赫特的四场比赛中全部失利,确保了小组第三的位置。莫德在这里自然是最受欢迎的,但我不太相信他们。我认为它看起来比赔率建议的要均匀一些,所以我给客队一个+1.5 AH

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