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2024-07-21

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IFK Goteborg VS Vasteras SK FK




Goteborg and Västerås lock horns in this Allsvenskan round 15 battle at Gamla Ullevi Beijing time. This is the highest level of Swedish football. The level of this league is pretty low by European standards. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of lower average quality by the Allsvenskan standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to increase the winning streak of four picks – at the time of posting this analysis! Göteborg are having yet another disappointing season. They are a pretty big club in Sweden in terms of overall financial resources, success in the past and the quality of players – at least on paper.. Last season they ended up in 13th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. However, they were unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Västerås, on the other hand, were promoted from Superettan to this level for this season. They will probably be relegated back to the 2nd tier after this season. They simply lack the quality to play even at a decent level in this league! They have a pathetic 11 points to their account and are in 15th place. The teams who finish 15th and 16th will be relegated directly..Västerås have scored only 11 goals in the Allsvenskan. This is clearly the lowest number in this league! Their offense has a poor structure and lacks individual skill, speed, creativity, passing accuracy at critical moments as much as physical strength near the opponent's goal. It is hard to mention anything overly positive about their offense. Their defence, despite not having skilled individuals, has been pretty solid – mainly thanks to a solid structure and the players having a willingness to fight hard. They have conceded 17 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is significantly higher. Let's not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Göteborg are very clearly the bigger team here. Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 18 million euros. The Västerås squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 8.10 million. This is a very low number by the Allsvenskan standards!




Göteborg are in 13th place with 17 points to their account but their number of xPTS is 21.11. I have slightly lowered their power rating from the in-depth preseason analysis but the bookies seem to have reacted more heavily and clearly undervalue Göteborg.. Their offense is not great but their offensive players are still much more creative and skilled than those of Västerås.. They have the potential to improve significantly in this area of the game.. They have netted the ball 14 times in this league but their number of xG is higher. Their defence has worked reasonably well, they have allowed 21 goals and silly defensive mistakes have been pretty rare. Göteborg have won three games in a row at home, in front of pretty loud fans – by Swedish standards! Västerås, on the other hand, have lost four of their six last matches on the road. Yes, Göteborg will be without Abdullah, Carneil, Dahlberg and Johansson. Even with the expected lineups, taking Göteborg's potential and substantial home advantage into account, I see the hosts having a 56% chance of winning. Odds of around 2.10 are widely available on the home win at the time of posting this preview.


 In their last game Göteborg defeated Hammarby 1-0 on the road as pretty clear underdogs – priced around 3.60 to win by the bookies. This was clearly too high! Hammarby are a dangerous team, currently in 6th place in the standings. They had 68% ball possession but Göteborg recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as corner kicks. Hammarby had more shots off target though. Before this Göterborg lost to Värnamo 0-2 on the road partly due to a silly mistake.. The hosts had one more shot on goal (4-3) and generated more in  expected goals (xG) but Göteborg had more corner kicks, attacks (140-88) and dangerous attacks – 66-36. The final score is, indeed, somewhat misleading.. Before this they beat Norrköping 1-0 at home but I was unfortunately not able to watch this game. Västerås, on the other hand, lost to a team from Superttan, Degerfors 1-3 on the road! Before this Västerås were not at their best but beat the rock-bottom team, Norrköping, 2-1 at home. They deserved to win but did not truly impress me as a whole.. They would have to play much better to beat Göteborg.. In round 13 Västerås played at a satisfactory level at home, despite losing to Häcken 1-2. However, Häcken were very far from their best despite – mainly thanks to having much more individual skill than Västerås – grabbed the hard-fought win through Inoussas's 2-1 goal in the 86th minute.



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哥德堡VS威斯特拉斯SK FK




北京时间,哥德堡和Västerås在阿尔斯温斯坎的第15轮比赛中在加姆拉乌利维进行了较量。这是瑞典足球的最高水平。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平相当低。足球迷和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃赌客,可以期待一场低于奥尔斯温斯卡标准的平均质量的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会来增加四次选择的连胜-在发布此分析的时候!Göteborg又经历了一个令人失望的赛季。就财政资源、过去的成功和球员的素质而言,他们在瑞典是一家相当大的俱乐部——至少在纸面上是这样。上个赛季,他们在这个联赛中排名第13位,总共有16家俱乐部。然而,就期望分数(xPTS)而言,他们并不走运。另一方面,Västerås在本赛季从Superettan提升到这个级别。本赛季结束后,他们可能会被降级回二级联赛。他们就是没有足够的实力在这个联赛中打出像样的水平!他们只有可怜的11分,排在第15位。第15名和第16名的球队将直接降级。Västerås在阿尔斯温斯卡只进了11个球。这显然是联盟中最低的数字!他们的进攻结构很差,缺乏个人技术、速度、创造力、关键时刻的传球准确性和对手球门附近的体力。很难对他们的进攻提出任何过分积极的评价。他们的防守,尽管没有技术娴熟的球员,却相当稳固——主要是由于坚实的结构和球员们愿意努力战斗。他们丢了17个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)要高得多。让我们不要忘记,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com, Göteborg是非常明显的更大的球队。事实上,他们球员的身价估计在1800万欧元左右。另一方面,Västerås队的价值仅为810万欧元左右。按照奥尔斯温斯坎的标准,这是一个非常低的数字!




Göteborg以17分排在第13位,但他们的xPTS数为21.11。我在季前赛的深度分析中稍微降低了他们的力量评级,但博彩公司似乎反应更严重,明显低估了Göteborg..他们的进攻并不好,但他们的进攻球员仍然比Västerås的球员更有创造力和技术。他们在这方面有很大的潜力可以提高。他们在这个联赛中有14次进球,但他们的射门次数更高。他们的防守做得相当好,他们丢了21个球,愚蠢的防守失误相当罕见。Göteborg在主场赢了三场比赛,在瑞典球迷的欢呼声中!另一方面,Västerås在最近的6场客场比赛中输掉了4场。是的,Göteborg将没有阿卜杜拉、卡尼尔、达尔伯格和约翰逊。即使考虑到预期的阵容,考虑到Göteborg的潜力和巨大的主场优势,我认为东道主有56%的获胜机会。在发布此预览时,主场获胜的赔率约为2.10。


在他们的上一场比赛Göteborg在客场1-0击败了Hammarby,他们显然是不被看好的球队——博彩公司开出的胜率约为3.60。这显然太高了!汉姆比是一支危险的球队,目前排名第六。他们有68%的控球率,但Göteborg记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数和角球次数。不过哈姆比的射门偏靶次数更多。在此之前Göterborg客场0-2输给Värnamo,部分原因是一个愚蠢的错误…主队射门多1次(4比3),创造了更多的预期进球(xG),但Göteborg有更多的角球、进攻(140比88)和危险进攻(66比36)。最后的分数确实有点误导人。在此之前,他们在主场1-0击败Norrköping,但不幸的是我没能观看这场比赛。Västerås,另一方面,输给了一支来自Superttan的球队,Degerfors客场1-3 !在此之前,Västerås虽然状态不佳,但在主场2-1击败了排名垫底的Norrköping。他们理应获胜,但整体上并没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们必须打得更好才能击败Göteborg..在第13轮比赛中,Västerås在主场的表现令人满意,尽管1-2不敌Häcken。然而,Häcken离他们的最佳状态还差得很远,主要是因为他们有更多的个性

在第86分钟,伊努萨斯以2-1的进球赢得了这场来之不易的胜利。

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