Incheon United Club VS Suwon Football Club

Incheon and Suwon lock horns in this South Korean K League 1 round 24 battle at Sungui Arena Park Sunday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is not particularly by global standards but by Asian standards the level is relatively good. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of somewhat average quality by the K League 1 standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to make even more money betting on South Korean football. My fans and I have won five of the last six picks betting on this league! I have previewed three other matches on this league! Incheon have been a clear disappointment so far this season. I have, as a result, significantly lowered their power rating from the comprehensive preseason analysis as the season has progressed.. This rating reflects the teams' pure class - excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue caused by a tough match schedule. Last season Incheon finished in 6th place after the regular season, 33 rounds of play that is. I want to highlight that they have declined significantly this season. Sure, they should have some potential to enhance their level but a quick, substantial improvement is extremely  improbable.. The bookies seem to believe otherwise.. Indeed, the biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits offer odds of around 2.40-2.50 on the home win. I disagree. With the expected lineups, based on my sophisticated expert analysis, see Suwon as slight favourites here! Odds of around 2.90 on the away win are available on the betting market for the fans who want to go for big odds. The Suwon +0.5 goals handicap option is, however, the recommended bet here - with a 72.50% chance of winning - once again! Let's take a closer look at both team's season records/statistics as well as their most recent performances..

Incheon currently occupy the 9th place in this league with a total of 12 clubs. The top-6 teams qualify for the Championship Group and Incheon's chances of succeeding in this are pretty slim as Seoul, in 6th place, have 30 points in their pocket. This must be depressing for the Incheon players.. They have a disappointing 25 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is only marginally higher. They have no huge strengths or weaknesses in their game.. They have simply been disappointing in all areas of the game.. Their defence, however, has been better than their offense - compared to the other teams. Indeed, they have allowed 29 goals but have netted the ball only 26 times. The lowest number of goals scored in this league is 22 - by Daejeon. Their offensive structure is not terrible but their attacks are often too slow and predictable – allowing the opponent to organize the defence. At home Incheon have been the worst team in this league this season – winning just two games in front of their fans! Moreover, Incheon have scored only 11 goals in their 11 home games in the K League 1. Their supporters have, of course, been very dissatisfied with their team's performances.. I do not expect the atmosphere at Sungui Arena Park to be that positive. Indeed, the home advantage here is much lower than on average in this league.

Incheon have been in poor form recently – winning just one of their last seven games. There have been some rumors circulating about some problems within the club.. Most of the Incheon players have not looked confident on the pitch recently which has been reflected for example, but not limited to, in giving the wrong pass at a critical moment as well as being too shy when defending near their own goal. In their last game they faced Ulsan HD on the road in a South Korean Cup quarter-final battle. The hosts were pretty dominant in this game despite winning only 1-0. Indeed, Ulsan recorded massively more goal attempts (17-3), shots on goal (11-2) and shots off goal - 6-1. They also generated much more in expected goals (xG). Incheon did defend pretty well but I still need to mention the Ulsan players were strangely ineffective in making the most of the scoring chances.. The Incheon offense, on the other hand, lacked basically everything needed to generate even a decent number in xG! Before this Incheon defeated Gwangju on the road 2-0. Gwangju are having a somewhat disappointing season taking into account that they finished in 3rd place last season.. Yes, Gwangju were far from their best in this game but Incheon did unarguably play one of their best matches this season. Indeed, on a good day they can beat any team in this league but the good performances have been very rare this season.. Incheon recorded two more shots on target but Gwangju managed many more attacks (159-91) as well as  dangerous attacks – 125-61 to be precise. Despite Gwangju being poor in this game the final score does not reflect the events on the pitch! I will not get too excited by this win.. In round 22 Incheon locked horns with Daegu at home. This pretty low-tempo, uneventful – and low-level match was, in the end, a goalless draw. Both teams had only a few shots on goal. Incheon had two more big scoring chances – 4-2 to be precise - but let's keep in mind that Daegu played a poor game by their standards.. However, Incheon's performance was still satisfactory - better than expected - as a whole. In round 21 Incheon welcomed Gimcheon Sangmu at home and it was a 1-1 draw. However, the visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, attacks and even had a one shot hitting the woodwork. Furthermore, Incheon managed only one big scoring chance. The visitors had many more accurate passes, third phase passes, final third entries and touches in the opponent's penalty area – 28-19.

Suwon have improved significantly from the disappointing - but also unlucky in terms of xPTS - last season and are in 5th place in the standings! The bookies should stop underestimating them but we will take advantage of the bookies mistakes - as we always do.. The bookmakers have, in fact, made surprisingly many mistakes with their odds on this league this season. They probably put more emphasis on the bigger leagues - with larger betting volumes -  played in the summer, for example the Brazilian Serie A, the MLS etc.. I want to emphasize that Suwon play very well as a team – better than the list of players would suggest and are very rarely imbalanced on the pitch - even against the top-teams.. Furthermore, according to my sources they have a good team spirit. Suwon have grabbed 38 points – and are just five points away from the current leaders – Gimcheon Sangmu and four points away from the reigning champions, Ulsan HD! They have no massive strengths or weaknesses in their game but do sometimes struggle to defend against fast counter attacks.. They have taken a great 17 points away from home this season - only Pohang have grabbed more points on the road!

Suwon had a few lame performances in June but have now taken three wins and two draws in the last five matches! In their last game Suwon played well at home but Daegu "stole" a point through a 2-2 draw. Indeed, Suwon were the much stronger team on the pitch as a whole.. Indeed, Daegu managed only two shots on target.. The hosts recorded many more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks – 83-66 to be precise. Before this Suwon were priced close to 4.00 away from home against Gimcheon Sangmu but took a fine 3-2 win! They had many more goal attempts and hit the woodwork twice.. The hosts, who - I want to mention again -  top the standings, also hit the woodwork once though. Suwon, however, created three big scoring chances – the hosts had just one. In round 22 Suwon were pretty clear underdogs on the betting market at home against Ulsan HD but took a 1-1 draw. I liked their performance as a whole despite having only 36.40% ball possession. Either team could easily have won the game.. Suwon even recorded one more total shot than Ulsan. Both teams had only two shots on goal. Ulsan recorded many more attacks though. I want to emphasize that Suwon, as usual, played wisely as a whole, letting the stronger opponent have a pretty high ball possession but suffocating not all – but most of their attacks before anything too dangerous happened.. In round 20 Suwon were only narrow favourites on the betting market at the time of kickoff but comfortably beat Daejeon 2-0 on the road. The visitors deserved the three points as they recorded more shots on target, goal attempts, shots off target and corner kicks. I also need to mention that Suwon had a very high number of attacks – over 200! This match was yet another example of the bookmakers underestimating Suwon!

GOOD LUCK and thanks to all my growing fan base!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

仁川联队VS水原足球俱乐部

北京时间8日晚，韩国K联赛第24轮，仁川队和水原队将在顺义竞技场公园展开激战。这个联赛的水平不是特别以全球标准来衡量，但以亚洲标准来衡量，这个水平是相对不错的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以K联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有一个非常有前途的投注机会，可以在韩国足球上赚更多的钱。我和我的球迷在过去的6次选秀中赢了5次。我已经在这个联赛预演了另外三场比赛!本赛季到目前为止，仁川的表现令人失望。因此，随着赛季的进行，我大大降低了他们在季前赛的综合分析中的能量评级。这一评分反映了球队的纯粹级别——排除了激励因素以及紧张赛程可能导致的疲劳。上赛季仁川队在常规赛结束33轮后排名第6。我想强调的是，这一季它们明显下降了。当然，他们应该有提高水平的潜力，但快速、实质性的提高是极不可能的。博彩公司似乎不这么认为。事实上，拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司对主场获胜的赔率约为2.40-2.50。我不同意。根据我老练的专家分析，在预期的阵容中，水原是最受欢迎的!对于想要获得大赔率的球迷来说，在投注市场上可以获得大约2.90的客场胜利赔率。然而，水原+0.5球障碍选项是这里推荐的赌注-有72.50%的获胜机会-再一次!让我们仔细看看这两支球队的赛季记录/数据以及他们最近的表现。

目前，仁川共有12支球队，排名第9位。前6名的球队都有资格进入冠军小组，仁川队在这个小组中取得成功的机会非常渺茫，因为排名第6的首尔队已经拿到了30分。这对仁川队的球员来说一定很沮丧。他们只有令人失望的25分。他们的期望值(xPTS)只稍微高一些。他们在比赛中没有巨大的优势或劣势。他们在比赛的各个方面都令人失望。然而，与其他球队相比，他们的防守要好于进攻。事实上，他们丢了29个球，但只有26次进球。联赛中进球数最少的是大田队的22球。他们的进攻结构并不可怕，但他们的进攻往往过于缓慢和可预测-允许对手组织防守。仁川是本赛季联赛中表现最差的球队，在他们的球迷面前只赢了两场比赛!此外，仁川队在K联赛的11场主场比赛中只进了11球。当然，他们的支持者对球队的表现非常不满。我不希望孙贵竞技场公园的气氛如此积极。事实上，这里的主场优势比这个联盟的平均水平要低得多。

仁川队最近状态不佳，最近七场比赛只赢了一场。关于俱乐部内部的一些问题，坊间流传着一些谣言。最近，仁川队的大部分球员在场上表现得并不自信，这不仅表现在关键时刻的传球失误，还表现在在自家门前防守时过于害羞。在上一场比赛中，他们在韩国杯四分之一决赛的客场对阵蔚山HD。主队虽然只以1比0取胜，但在这场比赛中占据了统治地位。事实上，蔚山队的进球次数(17胜3负)、射正(11胜2负)、射偏(6胜1负)均大幅增加。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。仁川队的防守确实很好，但我还是要提一下蔚山队的球员，他们在利用得分机会方面表现得出奇的低效。另一方面，仁川队的进攻基本上缺乏在xG上取得像样的成绩所需要的一切。此前，仁川客场2比0战胜了光州。考虑到上赛季排名第三的光州队，本赛季的表现有些令人失望。是的，光州在这场比赛中远非他们的最佳状态，但仁川毫无疑问地打出了本赛季最好的比赛之一。事实上，在一个好的日子里，他们可以击败联赛中的任何一支球队，但好的表现在这方面是非常罕见的

季. .仁川队虽然有2次射正，但光州队的进攻(159比91)和危险进攻(125比61)更多。尽管光州在这场比赛中表现不佳，但最终的比分并不能反映球场上发生的事情!我不会因为这场胜利而过于兴奋。在第22轮比赛中，仁川主场迎战大邱。这场节奏缓慢、平淡无奇、水平低下的比赛最终以一场0比0的平局告终。两队都只有几次射正。仁川还有两个进球机会——确切地说是4比2——但我们要记住，以他们的标准来看，大邱踢得很差。然而，仁川的整体表现仍然令人满意，好于预期。在第21轮比赛中，仁川主场迎战金川尚武，双方战成1-1平。然而，客队的进球次数、射门次数、进攻次数都有所增加，甚至有一脚射门击中门框。此外，仁川队只获得了一次重要的得分机会。客队有更多准确的传球，第三阶段的传球，最后的第三次进攻和在对方禁区内的触球——28比19。

水原已经从上赛季令人失望的——但也不幸的是在xPTS方面——有了明显的改善，目前在积分榜上排名第五!博彩公司应该停止低估他们，但我们会利用博彩公司的错误——就像我们一直做的那样……事实上，博彩公司在本赛季联赛的赔率上犯了很多令人惊讶的错误。他们可能会把更多的注意力放在更大的联赛上，比如巴西甲级联赛、美国职业足球大联盟等。我想强调的是，水原作为一支球队踢得非常好——比球员名单所显示的要好，而且在球场上很少有不平衡的情况——即使是面对顶级球队。此外，据我所知，他们有很好的团队精神。水原已经拿到了38分，与目前的领头羊金川尚武仅相差5分，与卫冕冠军蔚山HD仅相差4分。他们在比赛中没有巨大的优势或劣势，但有时确实很难防守快速反击。他们本赛季已经在客场拿到了17分，只有浦项在客场拿到了更多的积分!

水原在6月份的表现不佳，但在最近的5场比赛中取得了3胜2平的成绩!在上一场比赛中，水原队在主场发挥出色，但大邱队以2比2的平局“偷走”了1分。事实上，水原队在球场上的整体实力要强大得多。事实上，大邱队只有2次射正。东道主记录了更多的进球尝试、进攻和危险进攻——准确地说是83比66。在此之前，水原在客场对阵金川尚武的比赛中以接近4.00的价格取得了3-2的胜利!他们有更多的进球尝试，两次击中门框。东道主，我想再提一次，他们在积分榜上名列前茅，但也击中了门框。然而，水原创造了三次重要的得分机会，而东道主只有一次。在第22轮比赛中，水原队在主场与蔚山HD队的比赛中明显处于劣势，但最终以1比1战平。我喜欢他们的整体表现，尽管他们只有36.40%的控球率。任何一个队都可以轻易赢得这场比赛。水原甚至比蔚山多出了1次射门。两队都只有两次射门。蔚山的攻击次数更多。我想强调的是，水原一如既往地打得很聪明，让实力更强的对手有很高的控球率，但在任何危险的事情发生之前，他们的大部分进攻都是令人窒息的。在第20轮比赛中，水原队在开球时在投注市场上只是微弱的热门，但在客场以2比0轻松击败大田队。客队理应得到三分，因为他们记录了更多的正射、射门尝试、射偏和角球。我还需要提到水原的攻击次数非常高——超过200次!这场比赛是博彩公司低估水原的又一个例子!

祝你好运，并感谢我不断增长的粉丝群!